1. Analysis of local market conditions:
Today, pig prices across the country mainly fell on a large scale, with pig prices in some areas falling by 1.5-2.0 yuan/jin.
Looking by region:
Pork prices in the northern region mainly fell.
The price of Sanyuan pigs outside Heilongjiang fell by 0.8 yuan/jin, and the mainstream price was 10.4-11.0 yuan/jin; Jilin fell by 0.7 yuan/jin, and the mainstream price was 10.7-11.2 yuan/jin; Liaoning fell by 0.5 yuan/jin, The mainstream price is 10.8-11.5 yuan/jin.
Terminal demand is weak, sales of white strips are poor, and slaughterhouses are still willing to collect pigs at low prices, but local rainfall affects the purchase of live pigs.
The price of pigs in the southern region has accelerated its decline.
The price of Sanyuan pigs in Guangdong fell by 0.6 yuan/jin, and the mainstream price was 11.6-12.0 yuan/jin; in Guangxi, it fell by 0.8 yuan/jin, and the mainstream price was 10.4-11.0 yuan/jin; in Hainan, it was stable, with the mainstream price at 11.5-11.0 yuan/jin. 11.8 yuan/jin.
Downstream demand is weak, and Tuqi Baitiao orders have been reduced and continue to operate at a loss.
2. Baitiao and pork price data information
According to Quotebao, the wholesale price of Baitiao in the national wholesale market continued to fall today, and the price of Baitiao in some markets was reduced by 1,500-2,000 yuan/ton.
Traders are not very enthusiastic about receiving goods, and the market transaction situation is poor.
The price of white-striped pigs in Xinfadi, Beijing, is 13.7-16.0 yuan/catty, and the price difference between fat and thin has increased to 2.3 yuan/catty; the rear rump tip is 13.5-15.0 yuan/catty, and the highest price is 15.5 yuan/catty, down 0.5 Yuan/jin.
Pork belly 14.5-18.5 yuan/jin.
3. Live pig futures progress:
On July 7, the opening price of the main live pig futures contract was 21,120 yuan/ton, and the closing price on July 1 was 21,995 yuan/ton, up 3.12%, the highest in the session. The price once again rose above 22,000 yuan/ton.
Farmers are still reluctant to sell, and coupled with their consistent optimistic expectations for the market outlook, futures prices have risen again.
4. Views on the pig market outlook
The price of pigs in most areas across the country exceeded the 10 yuan mark this month.
On the one hand, the number of pigs slaughtered has declined.
The farmers' unwillingness to sell at high prices and secondary fattening further led to a reduction in the number of pigs of moderate weight in the market.
In addition, rainfall in some areas also makes it more difficult to transport pigs.
Under the consistent bullish expectations of the entire market, pig prices have risen on a large scale.
However, as the price of pigs rises, so does the price of Baitiao.
But hot weather is not conducive to pork consumption.
The operating rate of slaughterhouses this week dropped by about 2.0% compared with last week.
The increase in weight in the early stage will lead to an increase in the supply of pork in the market. Quotation Bao predicts that the increase in pig prices in July will be less than that in June.
It is recommended to collect the slaughter situation of pigs for secondary fattening and initial slaughter.
丨Source: Zhinongtong Quotebao丨Original author: Li Haiyan
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