1. Establish a portfolio according to the degree of risk;
A. Extremely high risk: for example, the combination of futures and commodity options or the combination of stocks and warrants; Generally mature traders, the success rate is 30%-55%, and the maximum profit can be expected to be 10- 100 times under the condition of allowing losses of 20%-60%. Due to the protection measures of one-way trading and risk-free hedging, the two extreme results are a loss of 20%-60% and a gain of 10- 100 times.
B. Medium risk: fund investment and stock index futures arbitrage model; The normal profit of 6- 18% needs a clear direction of the market. When the market direction is chaotic, it can only play the role of maintaining value, and it is best to lock in profits; The specific calculation formula is designed as the ratio relationship between the α coefficient of individual stocks and the number of stock index contracts; There is also pure stock speculation, with OBV as the selection index. If you hold positions for more than 9 months, the success rate of mature traders is 20%, and the trading system can earn 30%-40% annually. Futures speculation, with MACD, 5 15, 20, 30, 50 and other five lines as judgment indicators, a trading system with a success rate of 20-30%, a stop-loss order of 5-20% and a three-step fund management model of 20-30%-50%, with an average annual income of 30-40%;
C. Low risk: many ... gold objects and financial derivatives, various bonds and capital preservation wealth management businesses; To be honest, it is difficult for you to spread out an annual interest rate of 5% on these; In the bear market, the basic risk of partial stock funds is not small, but the income is not seen;
2. According to the overall expectation and the total amount of funds allocated.
Some methods require higher capital, such as arbitrage between capital and stock index, and some can use leverage to amplify risks and returns, such as the combination of commodity futures and commodity options, to sell more contracts in the same period when shorting commodity futures, to receive funds in time to continue to use when selling options, and to increase positions in the existing direction, but it is tantamount to suicide. The State Reserve Copper case is based on this trading model.
3. Appropriate selection of hedging methods to control risks.
Some investment methods have a certain hedging effect, for example, most of the time the dollar and gold are upside down; Stocks and stock indexes can also play a hedging role; Buying stocks and shorting the corresponding stock index can keep your risk to a minimum.
That's all I can think of now. As for other overseas financial derivatives, I am not familiar with them and the foreign exchange market, so I don't need to say more. In addition, it is more economical to sell dollars in the foreign exchange market when making loans, and it is more economical to borrow equivalent dollars in domestic loans than to borrow RMB directly. The interest saved per 1 100 million yuan is about100-200 w.