This is indeed a very contradictory question. If the government rescues the market, because stamp duty is a powerful medicine, institutions will have the opportunity to pull the boat again. After the institutions are out, the stock market may die faster, and retail investors will really be full. Now the government is also very contradictory. What we should do now is to save ourselves, instead of waiting for the government's help.
Now you should follow the trend, don't be a dead cow and a dead bear, just be a diaosi.
The market has reached a turning point in the stock market in recent weeks, which may determine the final market outcome this year. The breakthrough of pressure near the 20-day moving average of 3653 and the 30-day moving average of 3850 is the key to whether the market can reverse. If the market fails to break its position successfully, it may go down again because of the selling pressure of the profit-taking disk. There were many good rumors about the reduction of stamp duty and the announcement of stock index futures in the market before. Now the results are all false, and now they are basically institutional rumors. So if the market weakens again, please refer to the trend after February 19. Five weeks ago, the space diary suggested that many indicators were still in danger (some indicators had not been tested since July 2005, but now they have been seriously decomposed). I hope the market can be as optimistic as I predicted, but the short-term market does face a very dangerous situation, which was never encountered in 2006 and 2007. If the stock market weakens again in the afternoon and continues to break through 3400 points, it is recommended to control the position. Although many people believe by experience that the bottom of the market will be born when the previous strong stocks make up for the decline, the nature of this wave of plunge caused by the main selling of blue chips has changed greatly. The previous crackdown was for stock exchange. Nowadays, under the suppression of many negative factors, such as huge refinancing, sustained high inflation and non-lifting of the ban, the operating pressure of institutions is increasing. The main force now is not only to suppress the stock exchange, but to force the government to adjust the stamp duty, regulate the negative problems such as vicious huge issuance and non-lifting of the ban. This embarrassing situation often leads to unexpected situations. The bottom of the market is not just the so-called analyst's analysis based on the past experience of the market. In fact, the emergence of the bottom of the market only needs two conditions. First, the policies required by the main institutions are fulfilled, and second, the main funds enter the market on a large scale. To judge whether the bottom is formed by these two basic conditions, we should try our best to reduce the probability of failure in bargain hunting and prevent ourselves from copying halfway up the mountain. On the previous trading day, there was a situation of killing more and killing less in the market, mainly because the fund was shorted, which was caused by the redemption of the fund, which offset the income from the opening of the new fund. The panic selling of funds is different from that of retail investors, which is very destructive to the market. Now there is also a serious market target differentiation within the organization, which will make the fund's actions contradictory and make the market unstable. Please remember that the bottom of the market is copied by the main force, not by the retail investors. It is wise for the main force to do more before and after without a unified rhythm. It is safest to have money in hand.
No matter where the bottom is, if these two conditions are not met, it is not the bottom. Some indifferent benefits are just to ease the decline of the stock index. In view of the huge risk of current positions, investors are advised to control their positions below 1/3 to cope with the uncertainty of the current market. Because the quantity is not ideal, the stamp duty adjustment has not been fulfilled for the time being, so it is just a rumor. It is necessary to prevent the main force from deliberately creating it again to boost positions and lighten positions. As the conditions have not yet appeared, please be careful to regard it as an oversold rebound. Now in the case of too many market uncertainties, controlling positions is to avoid risks and avoid risks.
The law of the stock market will not change, the strong will always be the weak, and the essence of stock trading is the main force. As long as the main force does not intervene in the late trend on a large scale, the varieties and plates that are shipped in large quantities will not be ideal. Please keep up with the pace of main funds and minimize the risk of losing your own funds and time. Although the large-cap stocks such as finance, real estate and petrochemical, which were mainly shipped in the early stage, oversold, the rebound strength of the main funds without large-scale intervention is still cautious. Only when the main force is involved in this kind of plate on a large scale can it be considered as a real hot spot switch, and the ups and downs in a day or two do not mean anything.
3500 points is no longer the point of capital competition, and may become a turning point for bulls and bears. If it falls below 3,500 again, it will still be unable to stand firm at 3,500 without the continuous large-scale intervention of large funds. It is suggested to temporarily hold the money in your hand to avoid risks, and the market may bottom out again. If there is no breakthrough in the support level of 3300~3400, you can still be optimistic about the market outlook. If it falls below, look down at the next support level of 3000 points. Good luck.