It is difficult to draw a specific trend chart because it is subjective and meaningless. But we can make a macro direction prediction. Since July this year, housing prices have shown signs of loosening across the country. Housing prices in Xiamen, the most bullish market, have also turned downward in the past two weeks. We also need to pay attention to several other trends: 1. Li Ka-shing has sold all real estate projects in the mainland last year. You must know that he is an extremely shrewd capital investor; 2. In the past two months, Shanghai, which has been falling for 7 consecutive years, has The market index began to quietly rise from the bottom. Is this somehow related to the decline in housing prices? In addition, from the perspective of the laws of economics, any commodity that has surged will have a reasonably long period of decline. The stock market, commodity futures and spot, gold and silver, art market, stamp market, etc. have all experienced this kind of bear market. , is it true that China’s housing prices do not obey this law? Therefore, it is predicted that in 2015, China's housing prices will actually fall by more than 5% (including disguised price reductions such as free area, free garages, discounts, free cars, free decoration, free furniture, etc.), which are not consistent in various places. I have made comments on the stock market, futures, gold and silver We have made quite accurate predictions (accuracy rate: 85%) for the decline in prices. At present, the only prediction that has not been accurately realized is housing prices (I once predicted that housing prices will start to decline from the second half of 2012, and will decline for more than 3-5 years. , the decline ranged from 35% to 50%, but the prediction was wrong, and only Zhejiang Province verified this prediction.
It started to fall in July 2012. By the end of last month, the average house price in cities in Zhejiang Province fell by more than 20%, with Wenzhou falling the most by 36%.) Am I really going to fall here?