This may not be good news for farmers, but it is good news for ordinary consumers. After all, wheat belongs to rations and flour belongs to daily necessities. After the price drops, it helps to reduce the cost of daily life. In this state where everything goes up but wages don't go up, life will be happier.
Compared with the domestic calm, international food prices are still experiencing great storms.
It is reported that the daily limit of Chicago wheat futures price has once again appeared, which has always been the reference benchmark for global grain trading. This increase is likely to mean that the international wheat price will rise again.
There are several reasons for this judgment: 1. Although the price of wheat in Russia has dropped, other countries cannot complete import and export trade because banks refuse to transfer money; 2. There are as many as 50 countries that depend on Russian and Ukrainian wheat supply. At present, these 50 countries have begun to seek wheat import help from other countries; 3. It is reported that the wheat stocks in some countries are not even enough for one month; Due to the rising international wheat price, restaurants in some countries began to hoard flour.
There are indications that the supply of wheat in the international market is still in short supply.
Although Russia and Ukraine are actively looking for export channels, and other grain exporting countries are also taking the opportunity to increase their exports, the global wheat supply is still tight due to the large export volume of Russia and Ukraine.
Will the international wheat market make a comeback and make the domestic wheat price rise again?
The wheat supply in China is generally stable, and the quantity of wheat imported from China in June 5438+0 and February also decreased year-on-year, which means that the impact of international food price fluctuations on domestic food prices is weakening.
At present, the state has launched a policy grain auction, and so far, 654.38 billion Jin of wheat has been sold. The rice auction that started in early March will arrange another 3.6 billion Jin per week. Although it is difficult to change the current situation of tight grain supply, it at least enhances the supply capacity of grain sources in the market and will cause certain resistance to domestic and international wheat prices.
In more than a month, the new season of wheat will be listed one after another. According to farmers' feedback, wheat is growing well all over the country. If there is no flood like last year, wheat production is expected to increase again this year.
Considering the high price of wheat and the listing of new wheat, flour enterprises, traders and feed mills will think twice before snapping up new wheat.
On the whole, it is unlikely that the domestic wheat price will rise sharply again.
20 billion subsidies on the road, farmers: happy.
Wheat prices may not rise further, but farmers' income still needs to be guaranteed. One-off subsidy to grain farmers is the key link to ensure farmers' income in China. Farmers, family farms, agricultural enterprises, farmers' cooperatives and large grain growers who use freely contracted land to grow grain every year can receive this subsidy, and this year is no exception.
In mid-March, the Ministry of Finance announced that this year's one-time subsidy from the central government to grain farmers was 20 billion yuan.
This 20 billion will be distributed according to the planting area of each place. At present, it has been determined that the actual one-time subsidy funds for grain farmers in Henan Province will be 65.438+0.87 billion yuan in 2022, and that in Hebei Province will be 65.438+0./kloc-0.06 billion yuan. Farmers in Hebei Province will receive this part of the money before April 2.
The allocation of 20 billion yuan can effectively alleviate the increase in farming costs caused by the increase in agricultural prices and effectively ensure the basic income of actual farmers, which is a very gratifying thing for farmers.
Farmers' farming income is guaranteed, and their enthusiasm for farming will not decline, which is of great significance to ensuring China's grain output and stable grain supply.