Among them, the price of wheat has increased significantly, and the recent increase has exceeded 40%. For example, the prices of some high-quality wheat sold to flour mills are basically around 1.60 yuan/kg, once again hitting a record high.
After entering March, spring ploughing activities in various places were officially launched. Affected by this high-priced wheat, many wheat farmers' enthusiasm for planting was activated. Everyone expects a good harvest this year.
So will the follow-up wheat continue? How will the trend develop? What is the price of wheat now? Let's have a look.
How much is wheat now?
Hebei province: wheat 1.35 yuan/kg in Zhengding county, Shijiazhuang city, Hebei province; Rye in Qian 'an City, Tangshan City, Hebei Province is 5.33 yuan/kg; Broken wheat 1. 15 yuan/kg in Qinghe County, Xingtai City, Hebei Province.
Henan Province: Wheat 1.6 1 Yuan/Jin in Yucheng County, Shangqiu City, Henan Province; Wheat 1.73 yuan/kg in Luyi County, Zhoukou City, Henan Province; Mairen, Wancheng District, Nanyang City, Henan Province, 3.22 yuan/kg; 4.2 yuan/kg of green wheat in Yichuan County, Luoyang City, Henan Province; 0.9 yuan/kg of wrinkled wheat in zhenping county, Nanyang City, Henan Province; Zhongmou county, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province rye 2.4 yuan/kg, etc.
Shandong Province: Wheat 1.39 yuan/kg in Zhanhua District, Binzhou City, Shandong Province; Baimai 1.08 yuan/kg in Tancheng County, Linyi City, Shandong Province; Selenium-enriched wheat in Yuncheng county, Heze city, Shandong province 1.7 yuan/kg; Broken wheat in Cao County, Heze City, Shandong Province 1.05 yuan/kg, etc.
Jilin Province: Mai Ren 4.4 yuan/kg, Gan 'an County, Songyuan City, Jilin Province; Common wheat 1.6 yuan/kg in Tongyu County, Baicheng City, Jilin Province.
Heilongjiang Province: Wheat 1.55 yuan/kg in Suiling County, Suihua City, Heilongjiang Province; Red wheat 1.32 yuan/kg in Jiagedaqi District, Daxinganling, Heilongjiang Province.
Hubei Province: zhijiang city, Yichang City, Hubei Province 1. 15 yuan/kg; Baimai 1.24 yuan/kg in Xiangzhou District, Xiangyang City, Hubei Province; Hong Mai, Tianmen City, Hubei Province 1.37 yuan/kg.
Sichuan Province: Wheat 1.33 yuan/kg in Dayi County, Chengdu, Sichuan; 0.97 yuan/kg of wheat in jinniu district, Chengdu, Sichuan; Chongzhou city Baimai 1.3 yuan/kg, Chengdu, Sichuan; Chenghua district, Chengdu, Sichuan, wheat germ 5 yuan/kg, etc.
Remarks: The above prices come from the wholesale price (non-market retail price) of Huinong. Com, for reference only!
What is the reason for the price increase of wheat?
1, the supply of imported wheat was blocked.
Affected by the international situation, the international wheat supply and demand are balanced and the price rises, which in turn affects the domestic wheat market.
In addition, affected by the epidemic, many major wheat exporting countries are restricted in exporting wheat, and the domestic supply of wheat is insufficient, thus contributing to the price increase.
2. The prices of soybean meal and natural gas skyrocketed.
With the soaring price of soybean meal, feed enterprises have to seek other alternative raw materials, and wheat is just a good choice, and the demand for wheat is increasing; Natural gas is an important raw material for producing nitrogen fertilizer. The surge of natural gas will lead to the increase of fertilizer cost and wheat planting cost.
Under the influence of both, the price of wheat will naturally rise.
3. The auction price of grain storage reached a record high.
Recently, grain depots in various places have been continuously put in, but the auction transaction price is constantly refreshing the historical high point.
In this case of high premium, it effectively boosted the bullish sentiment of the market. When the auction price rose, the wheat market price also rose.
The Latest Trend Forecast of Wheat Market in March 2022
Judging from the current market situation, many people are still optimistic about the subsequent rise of wheat, and there are even voices in the market calling for the price of wheat to rise to 1.70 yuan/kg.
On the other hand, the weather is getting warmer and warmer after March, and the flour will enter the off-season for a long time, so the demand for wheat is relatively weak. Moreover, because the price of wheat rises too fast, it is hard to say what kind of regulation policies the subsequent countries will make.
Therefore, the price of wheat will not remain high, but it is easy to rise and difficult to fall. It is expected that wheat prices will continue to rise in the short term.
After the spring wheat harvest and listing in June and July this year, the market supply will increase, and the wheat price may usher in a period of concentrated decline.
Tips: the best planting time of spring wheat in various places
Spring wheat has strong drought resistance, short ear and short growth period, which is suitable for current spring sowing.
Its producing areas are mainly concentrated in Heilongjiang, Hebei, Tianjin, Xinjiang, Gansu, Inner Mongolia and other places. Now I will share with you the best planting time in these areas:
1, Xinjiang: The temperature in southern Xinjiang is high, so it can be sown early, and spring wheat can be sown in February; The suitable sowing date of spring wheat in northern Xinjiang is April.
2. Hebei and Inner Mongolia: The suitable sowing period is generally from mid-March to mid-April.
3. Ningxia, Qinghai and Gansu: They belong to the northwest spring wheat area, and the suitable sowing date is generally around the beginning of March.
4. Heilongjiang: Spring wheat in Heilongjiang can be sown in April every year, and August is the harvest period.
5. Tianjin: Late February to early March is the most suitable season for sowing.
Generally speaking, the recent increase in wheat prices is caused by many factors, and the subsequent wheat prices are likely to fluctuate and strengthen.
The price increase of wheat seems to be a good thing, but in fact, many growers sold out their grain years ago, and now they have no stock and cannot benefit from this high-priced wheat.
On the contrary, the increase of chemical fertilizers, pesticides and other materials is also obvious, which increases the economic burden of spring ploughing.
In addition, it is impossible for enterprises to digest the price increase of wheat by themselves, and they can only pass it on to consumers.
However, even if the wheat market is in chaos, the national policy situation is still relatively clear, and China is not short of food, so we need not worry too much.
The first task is to do well the current spring ploughing production and lay a good foundation for this year's bumper harvest.