The temperature will be 0.5℃ to 1℃ lower than in previous years. In the precipitation map, most parts of Northeast China are also occupied by light blue, which means that the precipitation will be more than the same period last year 10% to 20%. The temperature is low in spring and there is much precipitation in winter and spring. It seems that there is still the possibility of low temperature and spring waterlogging in Northeast China next year.
Once the low-temperature spring flood occurs in Northeast China, it means that the main agricultural products such as corn and rice will face the threat of shortening the frost-free period and relatively advancing the first frost. If the crops suffer from severe frost before they are fully mature, it will cause a devastating blow to the yield. In order to avoid this blow, farmers are likely to adopt more early-maturing varieties with relatively low yield, which will also have a certain impact on the year-end output. This situation is undoubtedly beneficial to corn and rice futures.
At the same time, low temperature and spring waterlogging may trigger a dispute over the planting area of agricultural products. When a low temperature spring flood occurred in Northeast China in 20 13, some farmers had to switch to soybeans with short growth period and waterlogging tolerance because the sowing date of corn had passed. If the corn planting area decreases and the soybean area increases next year, it will indirectly affect the output of these two crops, thus having a chain reaction to the market.