What kind of financial situation is the currency crisis? Generally speaking, interpretation is divided into narrow sense and broad sense. First, in a narrow sense, it mainly refers to those countries that implement a fixed exchange rate system. When they are in a passive situation, they will adjust their exchange rate system and usually turn to a floating exchange rate system. But in general, the exchange rate determined by this market is higher than the original deliberately maintained level, so it will cause some uncontrollable and bad effects. This phenomenon is called currency crisis, which is mainly related to the exchange rate.
But in a broad sense, it is easy to explain, which mainly means that a series of bad events will happen when the exchange rate changes beyond the range that a normal country deliberately bears.
Why is there a serious exchange rate change in a country? What is the main reason? Below we summarize some reasons to help us better understand the currency crisis.
First, generally speaking, the overvalued exchange rate in the market, the decline of national exports, the slowdown of economic activities, and the huge current account deficit. Can be seen as a precursor to a possible currency crisis.
Second, but from the actual situation, the currency crisis is mainly caused by the bursting of the bubble economy, serious imbalance of international payments, financial crisis, excessive foreign debts, increased bad debts of banks, political turmoil and distrust of the government.
Third, in recent years, more and more countries have abandoned the fixed exchange rate system, mainly because it is an infeasible scheme under the condition of large-scale and rapid flow of international capital.
Fourth, generally speaking, some countries have improper exchange rate policies, insufficient foreign exchange reserves, fragile banking systems, too fast opening of financial markets (such as Mexico and Thailand) and heavy foreign debt burdens.
In the 1990s, international financial crises frequently occurred in the market, and Turkey was one of them. Take the recent plunge in the exchange rate of the Turkish lira against the US dollar as an example, which is caused by Turkey's very serious trade deficit, high debt and particularly serious inflation.
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