Traders are not faced with the problem of making money, but how to survive.
The futures market is different from the securities market, and the amplification leverage ratio is ten. In this market, the most typical weaknesses of traders, greed and fear, are magnified ten times or even higher. If the greedy look is magnified ten times, it is self-evident; It is also conceivable to magnify the fear ten times. Either of these two weaknesses may make the account face disaster.
I have a securities friend in Shanghai. In 2007, he bought 1 10,000 shares of Huangtai wine at the price of 10 yuan, and then the share price plummeted. At the lowest point, he kept it in 2.4 yuan, and finally 24 yuan was out. It took about four years before and after. This wealth effect can be seen everywhere in the futures market. If it is done well, it will increase by 40%. If you can't do it well, the funds will shrink by 40% that day, and the risk is extremely high. In such a magnificent and turbulent market rhythm, it is difficult for people who don't know fund management and trading strategies but only know technical analysis to survive. Such a market is called a virtual market because it has leverage; The stock market is a firm transaction with no leverage effect. The property market is between the two, with 3-5 times leverage, so Europe and the United States de-leveraged in the subprime mortgage crisis, and we issued money to speculate on real estate, which runs counter to the world economy.
If he is a simple and rational trader, even without guidance, he will only take up110 for trading; If you have a little knowledge of fund management and risk control, you will only take 2% of the funds to pursue low risk, and 2% here is the safety margin of Jiancang Fund. Many traders call themselves experts. They traded Man Cang, Bancang and 1/3 positions easily, but in fact, they smashed tanks with their bodies or blocked trains in dung beetles. Their fate can be imagined.
The road to futures trading is full of difficulties, either to survive or to perish.
For futures traders entering the market, the question is simple: to do or not to do. Getting rich is the next problem, and it is difficult to get rich without solving the problem of survival. If a trader who enters the market has an account of 200,000 yuan and uses 2% of the funds to open a position each time, his survival period may be extended and the survival barrier will be opened; If he trades in Man Cang, Bancang and 1/3 warehouses, the outcome is doomed, and only destruction awaits him.
I advise many friends who want to engage in futures trading to stay away from this market. They often retort: you didn't ask me to do it. How do you know I can't do futures? When they do futures trading, I suggest that they learn to control and manage funds. They argue that I only study technical analysis to find a high chance of winning. Why can't I enter the market with a good chance of winning? As soon as the news came out, they told me: I have at least experienced what futures are. If you follow your method, it will be worse than making stocks. There is no denying that futures has its unique charm, which is not available in real life. There are virtual transactions and leverage multiples, everyone's ego, ideas, concepts, desires, greed, panic, hallucinations and so on. Magnified like a mirror. It should be said that futures trading brings people a unique experience that does not exist in real life.
There is no doubt that survival in the futures market is the first, and destruction will also bring different experiences to traders. Everyone comes to this market to make money. To make money, we must first solve the problem of market survival. It's easy to make money after survival.