It is impossible and unrealistic to take it for granted to survive and develop in this unpredictable risk market for a long time.
The capital market is always full of changes, but it is not without rules to follow. From its essence to actual operation, from entry and exit, risk management, fund management to mentality control, we must study and study comprehensively and carefully, thoroughly grasp the essential laws of the futures market, and resolutely do not violate the objective laws. Investment is investment cost = capital+skills. If you only invest in skills, the market will teach you a lesson with lock-in and loss.
What is mentioned here refers to the all-round study, understanding and summary of all aspects of the trading market, not just the study of speculation theory. Theoretical concepts can't make money. Although your theory is extremely correct, people who make money will eventually master it, just like military schools teach you correct strategies and tactics, but winning the battle depends on your improvisation.
Learning theory can't be done without thorough understanding and digestion, without good grades, without bold style, without calmness in the face of crisis and psychological preparation for failure. Therefore, to be an excellent commander requires a variety of comprehensive qualities. The correct theory is only a necessary condition, not a sufficient condition, and so is the concept of futures.
The correct concept is only a necessary condition for you to become a winner. Winning in the market is also closely related to your competitive state, including physical state and psychological state, and also closely related to your talent-not how high your IQ is, but whether your psychological rhythm and personality characteristics are more suitable for trading or theoretical research.
Stock market futures are not scientific, purely rational reasoning, or one formula leads to another. No method in the market is eternal. You must regard it as art, and feel the charm of art and your genius and personality from it!
Second, analytical ability-learning from the past, know yourself and know yourself.
The comprehensive and objective analysis ability of the market is the applied intelligent thinking ability that a trader must have, the most basic ability in the investment system and the basis of operational ability. Comprehensive analysis almost runs through the whole trading activity. Observation and research, induction and arrangement, and operational decision-making are indispensable.
Synthesis is to collect, summarize and generalize various phenomena and problems in the speculative market in order to understand their common essential characteristics. Analysis is to analyze and study the market situation and contradictions, and find out their nature, characteristics, development, reasons and relations with other aspects. Through comprehensive analysis, judgment and reasoning, it provides accurate information for making objective and correct trading plans and action directions.
Ability can be acquired through study and training. If you want to make a difference in the investment field, you must study hard by yourself. The acquisition of investment analysis methods is as follows: first, learn the methods and works of predecessors; Second, find and accumulate their own research; Third, the training and thinking about the sense of disk; Fourth, study and communicate with others.
The improvement of comprehensive analysis ability absolutely depends on the improvement of the operator's thinking ability and insight ability. In the complex and dangerous capital market, there are both phenomena that reflect the essence of the market and false components that do not reflect the essence of things. When we make a comprehensive analysis, we should try our best to extract the essence from the rough, discard the false and retain the true, and summarize from this to that, from outside to inside, from dispersion to concentration, from concrete to general. Subjective, one-sided and superficial comprehensive analysis should be avoided.
In addition, another way to improve the comprehensive analysis ability is to insist on learning more, summarizing more and understanding more. We should combine theory with actual combat. We must use our brains and think hard, which is the most important process to effectively promote the transformation of trading theory into operational ability. People who are lazy to summarize and neglect to think can't have superb comprehensive analysis ability.
Third, the ability to see the market-autumn will be a mystery.
How to cultivate an extraordinary ability of forecasting or ultra-short-term is very important. The evaluation of stock market futures is composed of various aspects, including fundamentals, wave analysis, moving average analysis, K-line chart and combination form, important trends, KDJ indicators, MACD indicators and so on. Each method provides operators with an understanding of the market, and each method is in an important direction within a certain period of time, within a certain price fluctuation range, within a certain price support or resistance.
fundamental analysis
Pay attention to whether there are unexpected factors that affect the production of a day. There are mainly three aspects: 1, the influence of interest rate; 2. The influence of variety supply and demand; 3. Major national macro-policy orientation;
(2) Wave position analysis
Trend, the main trend should be consistent with the main wave in the wave, and the secondary trend should be consistent with the adjustment wave. In the price space, the support level of the moving average system should be consistent with the adjusted price in the waves. In the combination of weekly K-line, the multi-head arrangement should be consistent with the main rising wave of this wave.
In the amplitude space, the rising amplitude of 135 wave should be consistent with the measured height of W. V inversion and mutually verified. Find out whether the price of the product you want to see is rising, adjusting, falling or rebounding, and then adopt different trading strategies.
If we calculate the rising interval space in the main rising wave, we should mainly buy on dips in this process. Calculate the interval space of possible callback in the adjustment wave, mainly selling.
(c) Average arrangement analysis
To evaluate the stock market and futures market, we should look at the long-short moving average arrangement of varieties, know the current moving average position of the price you are analyzing, then look at the long-short moving average arrangement of the peripheral moving average system, and analyze the trading opportunities of opportunity varieties with the 20-day moving average as the long-short watershed.
(D) K-line technical form analysis
Check whether the pattern is reversed or sustained in the graphic combination of K-line technology, adopt different trading strategies according to different patterns, and find out time space, price space, rising or falling space and direction space.
(E) Multi-cycle analysis of key parts
Check the important support and resistance levels of the weekly and daily K-lines of the varieties to be made. The bulls are mainly looking for support in the callback, and the 5-day line is the first important. Bears look for the 5-day resistance in the rebound, look at the 60-minute and 30-minute long-short arrangement, and look for the most likely opening point.
(6) Real-time intraday frustration analysis
Check the high and low points, secondary high and low points, closing price, price difference between opening price and settlement price of yesterday's varieties, the significance of the integer mark of the day, and the gap and breakthrough direction of the support resistance level of the 55438+00 moving average on the 5th. The price of varieties to be made every day should be clear.
(VII) Variety activity analysis
At any time, when you start to make a market, you start to increase your position substantially and buy and sell according to the ups and downs. Later, when adding positions, I thought more about it, and the market was the strongest in buying and selling. See which variety is the leader and which variety is the follower. Do what you have started first, and then follow suit. Then the market came to an end. Buy the strongest and sell the weakest on the same day. Become a habit.
(VIII) Analysis of the external market situation
Anyone who does futures, before opening every morning, the first thing to do when turning on the computer should be to look at the external market, what to look at and how to look at it. This is one of the basic skills of doing futures!