If we want to talk about gold futures, we can basically refer to the trend of stocks and waves.
The only difference between gold futures and stocks is that there are two situations to judge its overall trend. 1 It means that the world economy is in good condition, banks implement low-interest monetary policy, and people's investment desire increases. At this time, the stock and futures markets will be very bullish. 2. The world economy is depressed, people's economic expectations are pessimistic and the currency is unstable. At this time, people will buy gold to preserve their wealth. At this time, the stock market is in a downturn, and gold will appreciate sharply! Of course, sometimes we have to consider the speculative factor, which is very important!
Do you think gold will depreciate after the 2008 Olympic Games? I think you should consider these problems comprehensively:
1。 Can China's current government stabilize prices?
2。 Can China's current government solve the challenge of RMB's rapid appreciation?
3。 Can the tight monetary policy implemented by China's current government play a positive role in the stability of the stock market, and can it really restrain the biggest financing channel of bubble economy such as real estate?
4。 Can China's current government lead China to play an important role as an engine again when the world economy is obviously declining?
There are other reasons. If it can be handled properly, China's economy will not suffer too much, and the economy will continue to grow steadily and rapidly, so the price of gold will not fall sharply. If the answer is no, then gold will be hit by both international and domestic, and it will be crazy for a long time!
I don't study economics, I only talk about my personal views, hoping to help the landlord! After all, the current economy is not a closed economy, and there are too many places affected by the current economy!