Does not involve other people's economic interests. Some people have said that "futures should not be done with their own money", while others have said that "there is only one ultimate winner of futures, that is, brokers". In fact, for sweeping monk, they don't need other people's money at all. They only use their spare money for futures. Even if they started with only 200,000 yuan, according to the principle of compound interest, 10 has done well for more than 10 million years, but they must bear the account risk in full and the relatively slow growth rate. Trading for others is actually just a "workplace person" who manages money for others. The fundamental reason is that people in the workplace have no spare money and can only earn living expenses and fame by selling their physical strength and wisdom. In the futures market, it is actually impossible to provide trading advice to others and try to make the advised person operate synchronously with himself! Sooner or later, mistakes will affect the handling of interpersonal relationships and your normal transactions. If you don't have the ability to trade with spare money and want to be a sweeping monk, please don't let yourself get stuck in the workplace and wait for an independent opportunity. You know, people in the workplace will not be financially free. The source of income for people in the workplace depends on the world, taking kickbacks, reimbursement, being a rat warehouse, and of course, the insignificant salary.
Don't share details of the transaction with others. The first intention of this principle is to stabilize your trading thinking. In this market, there are thousands of methods, and each method always loses money. If you often exchange details with others and happen to be losing money, you will make yourself doubt your own method, which will lead to using another method that is losing money when you should be making money, and eventually form a vicious circle. The second intention is to protect yourself. If the amount of funds in the account is large, others already know your usual methods and even hold positions, which may bring disaster in serious cases, and everyone will join hands to make a counter-offer (in this case, it is necessary to control the total size of funds, which will be discussed in detail later). The third intention is to reduce the switching cost. The more people use an effective method, the more likely it is to fail, and you have to modify or change your trading strategy. In this negative sum game futures market, we should form a habit that is conducive to long-term survival from the beginning. Therefore, the foreign exchange of long-term winners only talks about the direction and conclusion at most, and does not talk about details and main points.
Never be a super family. This is the basic bottom line of respecting the market and the last hurdle to control human greed. Mo Yan once said that things in the world are nothing more than the pursuit of wealth by the poor and pleasure and excitement by the rich. If the previous period is smooth, and you still want to increase funds, I suggest you leave the futures market and do something else, even if you learn from Liu Han as a triad; If you want to be a long-term winner and become sweeping monk, you must control your own capital scale! Stay in awe of the market. If your capital exceeds a certain scale and you have the motivation to manipulate the market, you may meet others to join forces with more powerful funds to kill you. If the stock market is an autocratic dynasty ruled by the imperial court, then the futures market is more like a chaotic world in which people compete with each other, and the result of getting ahead is bound to be the target of gang attacks. Think of Yuan Shu in the Three Kingdoms. If the futures market wants to develop healthily for a long time, it must be in this chaotic pattern, and the final fate of the main force is to be eliminated. Therefore, sweeping monk people are always alert to their own capital scale. They will never let themselves become the main force of one party, and take the extra funds out of the futures market to invest in other businesses or enjoy life. They know that enjoying the pleasure and vanity of manipulating the market is the inducement for many people to fail after success.
Don't set profit targets, especially short-term targets. People in the workplace live in performance goals every day. The goals given by directors every year are ridiculously high, and the managers of the company calculate the target completion rate this year every day. This kind of development is obviously unhealthy, because when the performance target conflicts with the long-term development of the company, the performance target is usually considered first. But the futures market depends on the weather No one knows tomorrow's market, and the opportunity is waiting. Blindly setting goals will only make you eager for success in a market that is not an opportunity, and the result can of course be imagined. But the opportunity won't make you wait in vain. Once you get a chance, eat enough at once. The so-called once every three years is the reason. If thinking still stays on the short-term profit target, it is not in line with the essence of the market to look at the futures market with the thinking of professionals.
It is best to have a parallel career. Futures are not the whole of life, so are long-term winners. He is financially free, has a lot of free time, and has been semi-retired for a long time. In order to expand the breadth of life, it is best to use the extra time and energy to establish a career that does not conflict with futures trading. First, it can achieve a stable cash flow and maintain a basic life in a market without income on the principle of "no profit target"; Secondly, it can enrich life. Sweeping monk's counterintuitive survival principle will suppress people's sociality for a long time. Parallel occupation can greatly make up for this defect, participate in social life and adjust psychology. Third, it can be used as a back road. If you prove that you are not a long-term winner, then you can do other things with peace of mind and you will not go bankrupt.
This is sweeping monk's principle of different places. They live a normal life. They don't want glamorous aura, but as long as they have tangible benefits, they can take a long vacation and travel around the mountains at any time. It sounds like a wonderful life, but everything has a price. Do you have spare money for the above principles? Are there parallel occupations? Can you control your greed and vanity? And these are just off-site principles.
I haven't written anything for a long time, so let's write futures, a little personal experience.
As far as futures are concerned, the most important thing is not to learn how to make money first, but to learn how to lose money first, that is, to learn to stop loss and fix the loss in an affordable range. Only God knows how much you made in a transaction, but you can decide how much you lost. People who don't lose money want to make money in every transaction, so they die if they lose money, and they will be safe if they make money, so as not to let the glistening money slip away. Usually in 80% cases, their losses will eventually be carried forward to no loss or even profit, but in 20% cases, they will lose money and lose all their short positions, and then disappear from the futures market.
The two most important things are to know what money you want to earn, what money you can earn, big money or small money.
If you want to make a lot of money and make a long-term trend, you must endure countless failures and losses, and you can always enter the market at the first time when the price breaks through. Take my rubber operation in the past two months as an example. I tried three times in the first month and a half, and failed three times, with a stop loss of 150 points each time, and my hands lost 9000 yuan. But my last attempt in the last half month succeeded, and I earned 1800 points in two weeks, which is 36,000 yuan, making up all the previous losses and making more profits.
If you want to earn small money and short-term price difference, you need high understanding and determination, and abide by the discipline of being strict with yourself. In the futures market, 90 out of 1000 people are losing money, 9 can draw, only one can make money, and only one out of1000 people can make money by short-term trading. The vast majority of people who "speculate" futures either earn less money than the handling fee, or slowly lose money until they completely disappear from the market. It is also doomed that unless you are a genius, it is basically impossible to make money by doing short-term trading. Of course, if you do futures purely for pleasure, in order to pursue the excitement of gambling, then you only need money and nothing else. This is also the reason why most retail investors lose money: not for making money, but for excitement and pleasure.
People who want to make big money and small money both make small money and lose big money quickly, because the ideas and methods of making these two kinds of money are different. You can't ask a person to eat with his left hand and his right hand, and both hands reach into the bowl with chopsticks at the same time, then you must fight. Personally, I have no habit of staring at the market. After I opened a position and set a stop loss, I left it alone. My trading model does not require me to stare at the market every day, unless I look at the market for the sake of being happy.
The general trend is coming. As a qualified trader, we must seize it. After this village, there is no such shop. A big trend is often brewing for months or even more than half a year. In this period of no trend, futures are losing money, relying on a wave of megatrends to achieve a substantial increase in wealth and make up for all previous losses. This is the same as real life. Times make people, and trends bring great wealth. From the commercial housing reform 20 years ago, to the non-tradable share reform 10 years ago, and then to the internet, mobile internet wave, PPP model and so on in recent years, the general trend of all levels and industries has created countless industrial giants and internet upstarts. In the past two years, any product manager of BAT resigned to make a similar APP, which can attract considerable investment and realize the substantial appreciation of personal wealth. Seeing through the bubble from the beginning, people who don't participate are getting smarter, while those who have been swimming in the bubble are getting richer. The key is to be able to do what Soros said: "The whole world is a scam. We should get involved as soon as possible and leave before the scam is seen by everyone." That is beside the point.
Personally, I have a habit of never reading the daily news, never reading expert comments, and only reading the weekly, monthly and quarterly reports of futures companies with spot background. Usually, the data in these reports are true and can provide some forward-looking information. The so-called expert comments are always nonsense, and the daily news is even more nonsense. When the price goes up, you will find various reasons to explain it, such as "unexpected decrease in inventory", "unexpected demand", price drop, you will say "unexpected increase in inventory" and "year-on-year decrease in demand" and so on. People with first-hand information don't make money. How can you expect to make money from the information they provide?
Only those enterprises with spot background can make more money in this market by honestly hedging in the futures market, even if they lose money in the futures market, they can make stable profits after hedging.
In fact, I don't know if I can live in this market all the time and how long I can live. What I know is that what I have gained in this market is far greater than what I have lost, and it has never been money.
MACD
MACD, also known as convergence and divergence of moving averages, is developed from double moving averages. Slow moving average minus fast moving average. The meaning of MACD is basically the same as the double moving average, but it is easier to read. When MACD turns from negative to positive, it is a buy signal. When MACD turns from positive to negative, it is a signal to sell. When the MACD changes at a large angle, it means that the gap between the fast moving average and the slow moving average expands very quickly, which represents the change of the market trend.
Composition of MACD
1, 0 axis
2.DIF express
3.DEA goes slow
4. Cylinders
Basic default value: 12269 5345
MACD usage
1, a golden cross is formed on the 0 axis of the cylinder-much longer.
2. A dead fork-short space is formed on the 0 axis of the cylinder.
3. Form a dead fork below the 0 axis of the cylinder-the sky.
4. Form a golden cross under the 0 axis of the cylinder-much shorter.
Generally do more on the MACD0 axis.
Generally short under MACD0 axis.
Applicable time: 30 minutes or more chart
MACD disk situation
Turn left | turn right
Kiln-dried (in kiln)
The Chinese name of KDJ indicator is stochastics, which is one of the technical analysis indicators. It originated in the futures market and developed on the basis of WMS.
Composition of KD
1, k line
2. line d
3, 20 axes
4, 80 axis
Basic default value: 53 38 35
KD usage
1, when the values of k and d are less than 20, it is oversold, which is a buy signal.
2. At the low position, the K-line crosses the D-line from bottom to top, which is called the golden fork, which is a buy signal.
3.k-line and D-line are the best buying signals in the low secondary gold fork.
4. If the value of K and D is greater than 80, it is overbought and a sell signal.
5. At the high position, the K line crosses the D line from top to bottom, which is called the dead fork and is the selling signal.
6.k-line and D-line are the best selling signals when the dead fork is high.
Applicable time: 5 minutes 15 minutes.
KD disk situation
Turn left | turn right
MACD+KD deviation problem
What is deviation?
Deviation refers to deviation, dispersion or violation, refers to deviation from the original, usual, normal or recognized track, or deviation from the conventional and normal track, habits, etc.
MACD deviation
Top deviation:
The price is constantly hitting new highs, but MACD is not hitting new highs ~
Bottom deviation:
The price has not hit a new low, MACD has been hitting a new high ~
(The deviation applies to 1 hour and 4 hours)
After seeing the deviation, you have to wait for the MACD to form a bifurcation before you can enter the arena.
Off-disk
Top deviation
Turn left | turn right
Bottom deviation
Turn left | turn right