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How to judge the trend by using the opening price of futures prices
If you want to analyze the futures market, you must first understand what futures analysis is. Gann believes that futures market analysis should be divided into three aspects: 1 market trend analysis and price trend judgment. 2. Fundamental analysis: judge the future price trend by analyzing the value of the commodity itself. 3. Technical analysis: judge the price trend through the analysis of the market itself. Fundamental analysis Fundamental analysis is to solve the problem of market direction and long-term trend, and its main basis is the law of value and the law of supply and demand. This analysis method focuses on the implementation of politics, economy, laws and regulations, and the direct and indirect influence of commodity production and consumption on the relationship between supply and demand of commodities. First of all, let's get familiar with the relationship between supply and demand. Futures trading is the product of market economy, so its price is affected by the relationship between supply and demand. If the supply exceeds demand, the price will fall, and if the supply is less than demand, the price will rise. In the futures market, the price will also be affected by economic factors. With the change of economic factors, futures prices will go up and down. There are of course policy factors. Some policies and measures formulated by various countries will bring different factors to the market price. At the same time, seasonal changes will also have an impact on market prices, which is particularly prominent in the agricultural product market. The influence of psychological factors What we call psychological factors is investors' confidence in the market, which is what we often call popularity. If most investors are optimistic about a commodity, the price will go up even if there is no good news. If investors are already very pessimistic about a commodity, the price will fall even if there is no bad news. There are also many speculators who use investors' psychology to achieve their goals. They will spread some news and then think that they will engage in speculation to make profits. Technical analysis judges the price trend through the analysis of the market itself. Generally speaking, we have three assumptions about this trend theory, they are: 1, and market behavior reflects everything. 2. The price changes in the trend. 3. History will repeat itself. This is because the price is determined by the relationship between supply and demand. The price factors of commodities are determined by various reasonable and unreasonable factors. Ignore the small changes in the price, then the price will have a certain trend in a period of time. If you find it useful, I hope to adopt it! thank you