Plastic raw material is our common material, and its price fluctuation is closely related to our life. So what factors can affect the price of plastic raw materials? In fact, there are many factors that affect the price of plastic raw materials, such as futures trend, crude oil price, downstream demand, import source, RMB exchange rate, economic environment, macro-trade, device operation, national policy, capacity growth and so on. Crude oil is the upstream raw material of plastics, and its price trend is generally positively related to the price of plastics. However, judging from the market trend over the years, its impact on plastic prices is limited. This year's crude oil price trend has a phased impact on plastic prices.
Since 20 18, the plastic market price has been deeply disturbed by the Sino-US trade environment. 20 19 due to the trade conflict between China and the United States, the price of plastics fell to the lowest point in the year. 10, Sino-US trade eased and the market began to pick up. At present, the unstable trade between China and the United States continues to affect market procurement, and most manufacturers choose to avoid risks.
The operation of the factory is also an important factor affecting the price of plastics. During April 2065, 438+09, 65, 438+0, petrochemical inventory has been at a high level. Even in the peak season, plastic prices continue to fall. In May and June, factory maintenance was concentrated, petrochemical stocks were effectively consumed, and plastic prices were lowered.
After July, equipment maintenance decreased, petrochemical stocks recovered slowly, and market prices fell again. Downstream demand is also the main factor affecting plastic prices. This year, due to the global economic downturn, the downstream fields such as real estate, automobiles and household appliances have performed poorly, and the demand for plastics has also been greatly reduced. In addition, the expansion of domestic and international production capacity has led to the phenomenon of oversupply in the plastic market, so the plastic price has been in a weak haze. Regarding national policies, take environmental supervision and safety inspection for example. After the big explosion in Yancheng this year, the safety inspection was strict, and the operating rate of plastic production enterprises was declining, especially PVC materials. At that stage, the price was greatly boosted. The RMB exchange rate is also one of the factors that affect the price of plastic raw materials, because the decline of RMB exchange rate is beneficial to the export of plastic products and the downstream demand increases, while the upstream imported raw materials decrease, the supply decreases and the demand increases, which is conducive to the upward price. On the contrary, the appreciation of RMB, the increase of raw material imports and the decrease of product exports are unfavorable to plastics.
Price trend, the above is the analysis of several factors affecting the price of plastic raw materials.