In this year's corn market, the bad rumors about the temporary storage policy have impacted the fragile spiritual barrier of industry personnel wave after wave. For a time, the short-selling atmosphere in the market was strong, industry confidence was suppressed, and employees were worried.
The purchase price of temporary storage has been greatly reduced, and growers are most affected. At the moment of high planting cost, coupled with the expected reduction of production caused by drought, the income of growers will drop significantly, or even lose money; Due to the sharp drop in the price of temporary storage, the purchasing enthusiasm of grain enterprises has declined, and more attention has been paid to the listing stage of new grain. At the moment of weak consumption, the impact on the corn market is worse; Reflected in the futures market, the far-month contract has been greatly reduced and consolidated in the low range for a long time.
Keep faith
Recently, many negative rumors about the temporary storage policy flooded the corn market, and the far-month contract in the futures market was severely suppressed. Grass-roots growers and downstream grain enterprises are also affected by this, resulting in different psychological expectations.
On the whole, like the stock market, the corn industry has entered a strong short-selling atmosphere, and the normal development of the industry has been seriously distorted by market rumors. How to implement the temporary storage policy affects the hearts of all practitioners in the corn market.
The author believes that at this moment, in the case of insufficient confidence in the whole industry, food policy is particularly critical. Promulgating favorable policies in advance is conducive to stabilizing the grain market, stabilizing the confidence of employees in the grain industry, and firmly grasping the "rice bowl" in their hands.
Guaranteed income
Judging from the current situation, in the process of implementing the temporary storage policy, farmers have gained good benefits from increasing grain production and rising food prices, but they have also increased the planting costs in grain production, the most important of which are land rent costs and labor costs, and other costs have also shown a gradual increase trend.
The increase in planting costs has narrowed the space for farmers to bear the fall in food prices. If other factors appear, this space will be even smaller. This year is an example. This year, most of the producing areas in Northeast China have suffered from the worst drought in many years. The main characteristics of this year's drought are early stage, long duration and great influence.
At present, the bad rumors that the temporary storage price has been greatly lowered have been known by many farmers. Promulgating a favorable temporary storage policy in advance will help to give farmers a "reassurance" before the new grain is listed, and will not cause losses to some farmers because of the influence of bad news and the late introduction of the policy.
Maintain grain quality
For a long time, the purchase of temporary storage corn was carried out late. Although some annual policies were introduced earlier, they were basically delayed to 65438+February when the final acquisition was made. Northeast corn 5438+ 10 began to be listed in succession. Due to the large planting area, high yield and difficult storage in Northeast China, the risk of bad grain before temporary storage and purchase is high, and the mildew rate gradually increases with time.
After the temporary storage began to purchase, the overall grain quality decreased significantly. This is also the reason why a large number of bad grains have been put into storage in recent years.
Starting the purchase of temporary storage in advance can not only make farmers' good grain sell at high prices, but also enable the country to have more high-quality grain sources. Therefore, this year's temporary storage policy may not only be announced in advance, but also the implementation of the acquisition may be initiated in advance.