Current location - Trademark Inquiry Complete Network - Futures platform - Why are there fewer people making money in futures and more people losing money?
Why are there fewer people making money in futures and more people losing money?
Why are there fewer people making money in futures and more people losing money? In fact, everyone in the futures market knows that the most difficult thing here is to judge, that is, to judge the price trend. In fact, when it comes to judgment, not only ordinary people, but also experts who have studied economics may not be able to judge accurately, so it is normal for us to say uncertainty. So you say there is no futures business in the world? The answer is no, futures trading is to learn to operate and judge. Since we are uncertain, there is bound to be a difference in probability in our judgment, which means that experts have a good way to judge the trend, and the probability of judging correctly will be greater. According to probability theory, futures can be judged from two directions, one is to be long and the other is to be short. If we do this, the probability that we ordinary people are right is 50%, which means that when we do futures, the probability of earning is the same as the probability of losing. Why do futures people lose more and earn less? If the probability of making money is the same as the probability of losing money, then basically you can mix up without making money or losing money. There are two factors that we must consider. The first one is the handling fee, but the handling fee seems to be very small. If you do more, you will accumulate a lot, which is equivalent to the money lost by many people. Another factor is the price difference. We all know that futures have two prices, one is the buying price and the other is the selling price. The selling price is at least higher than the buying price. We always buy at a high price when buying and sell at a low price when selling, so there are two minimum changing prices between opening and closing positions. Generally speaking, the money we lose is caused by these two factors, what's more, people who didn't see these two factors at first may lose more because of their own misjudgment. Now if the probability of judging the direction reaches 50%, we will definitely lose, so we must learn some skills to improve our judgment probability. The above is only from the perspective of the judgment probability of futures. In fact, people who do futures still have a problem of opening positions and poor positions. They often judge that the right list makes a few points and want to run, but they are afraid to pick it up. For the loss sheet, it is trapped anyway, and I always want to solve it, and the result is getting deeper and deeper. Even if the judgment is correct this time, it won't take them long, even a few points before they close their positions. . document