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How much can the price of cotton rise back to a catty?
Nanfeng Finance Network Cotton Price Quotes 20 1 0.12.16 Cotton Price Quotes Analysis Reference1. Today's cotton market reference: origin type ex-factory price/date tonnage Shaanxi Dali 328 cotton price: 26300 12- 16 Shanxi Yuncheng 328 cotton price: 25500 12- 16 Shanxi Linfen 328 cotton price: 26500/kloc-0. 2-65438 Jiangsu Xinghua 328 cotton price: 38+06 Jiangsu Sheyang 328 cotton +02- 16 Jiangsu Dafeng 328 cotton price: 26700 12- 16 Henan Yanling 328 cotton price: 27000/kloc-0. 0 12- 16 Henan Taikang 328 cotton price: 26700 12- 16 Henan Shangqiu 328 cotton price: 26400 12- 16 Henan Sanmenxia 328 cotton price: 150 12- 16 Biyang 328 cotton price: 28000 12- 16 linying 328 cotton price: 26400 12- 16. Flower price: 26800 12- 16 Henan Anyang 328 cotton price: 2615012-16 Hebei Xinhe 328 cotton price: 2680012-/. Wuqiao 328 cotton price: 26500 12- 16 Hebei Wenan 328 cotton price: 26800 12- 16 Hebei Weixian 328 cotton price: 2660012-/kloc-. North Hengshui 328 cotton price: 27000 12- 16 Hebei Hejian 328 cotton price: 27500 12- 16 Hebei Gucheng 328 cotton price: 2580012-/kloc-. Kloc-0/2-6666 Xinjiang Kuqa 328 cotton price: 27000 12- 16 Xinjiang Kashi 328 cotton price: 26500 12- 16 Xinjiang Hutubi 328 cotton price: 26800/kloc. +06 Anhui Wangjiang 328 Cotton Price: 27000 12- 16 Anhui Susong 328 Cotton Price: 26900 12- 16 Anhui Linquan 328 Cotton Price: 2673012-/kloc. 6 Guzhen 328 8 8+06 Anhui Fanchang 328 Cotton Price: 27300 1602- 16 Shandong Wucheng 328 Cotton Price: 26650 12- 16 Shandong Taian 328 Cotton Price: 28800/kloc-. +02- 16 Shandong Juye 328 cotton price: 27000 12- 16 Shandong Jinxiang 328 cotton price: 26900 12- 16 Shandong Huimin 328 cotton price: 26400/kloc. 8+02- 16 Shandong Hekou 328 cotton price: 26900 12- 16 Shandong Gaoqing 328 cotton price: 27800 12- 16 Shandong Gaomi 328 cotton price: 26900/. 38+02- 16 Hubei Zhongxiang 328 cotton price: 27900 12- 16 Hubei Zengdu 328 cotton price: 27000 12- 16 Hubei Wuhan 328 cotton price: 24800. 438+02- 16 Hubei Gongan 328 cotton price: 26900 12- 16 Hubei Ezhou 328 cotton price: 26600 12- 16 Second, cotton price trend analysis: outer disk, USA. At the same time, the risk of escalating debt problems in the euro zone led to a sharp decline in the euro against the US dollar, which curbed the buying of commodities and led to a corresponding decline in ICE futures. The decline in cotton prices is a revision of the previous continuous increase, and the long-term upward trend has not changed. ICE monthly contract closed at 142.33 cents/lb, down 235 points, or 1.63%. In the news, the data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed that the total retail sales of social consumer goods in 2065 was1391billion yuan, up 0.7% year-on-year, up 2.9 percentage points from the same period last year and up 0.65438 percentage points from the previous month. Among them, the total retail sales of clothing, shoes, hats and knitwear was 59.6 billion yuan, up 20.4% year-on-year, down 5.4 percentage points from the same period of last year and down 12.2 percentage points from last month. 20 10+ 1 1 In that month, the total retail sales of social consumer goods was1392.24 billion yuan, up 18.4% year-on-year, 0.4 percentage points slower than the same period last year. Among them, the total retail sales of clothing, shoes, hats and knitwear was 5 177 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%. In the international market, the price of cotton imported from major ports in China continued to rise yesterday, with all varieties rising by 2-3.5 cents. Although the contract volume of foreign cotton in China has decreased recently due to the expiration of quotas and the increase in cotton prices, the demand for foreign cotton in China has not decreased. This year, almost all major exporting countries have more or less problems with foreign supply and shipment, and the tight supply and demand situation will continue to support the strong pattern of foreign cotton prices. In addition, the news about India's cotton exports deserves close attention from the market. Judging from the current situation, India's cotton exports are basically hopeless this year. In the domestic market, although the domestic lint trade has partially picked up recently, the overall situation is still sluggish. Textile enterprises rarely purchase in large quantities, and most of the market transactions are small orders within 100 tons. At present, the follow-up orders for gauze are weak and the sales have not improved. In addition, the price trend of raw materials is still unclear, and downstream manufacturers are cautious. Some small and medium-sized enterprises in Hebei, Shandong and Jiangsu cut production, stopped work and took early holidays. According to some enterprises, due to the relatively high yarn inventory this year, the amount of funds occupied is larger than in previous years, and the financial pressure before the year is relatively large, which has brought a lot of pressure to the procurement of raw materials. Spot price, 65438+February 15, US C/A cotton price is 178. 10 (cents/pound), which is equivalent to RMB general port trade delivery price of 30 1 13 yuan/ton (calculated by sliding tariff) Australian cotton price 173.2 1, equivalent to general port trade of 29,292 yuan/ton. The price of cotton in Uzbekistan is 203.59, which is equivalent to the general port trade delivery price of 34,327 yuan/ton. West Africa cotton price 176.98, equivalent to the general port trade delivery price of 29,925 yuan/ton. The national cotton price A index is 28 1 16 yuan/ton, rising by 70 yuan; The B index was 27,336 yuan, up by 59 yuan. The uncertainty of India's cotton export policy has led to a continuous shortage of spot supply, which has prompted the US cotton sales data to reproduce optimism, the international cotton price continues to rise, and the market continues the bull market pattern. In the United States, American cotton sales are strong, but the supply is tight. According to the latest data of American Cotton Export Weekly, the export shipment volume of American upland cotton was 73,400 tons, up 65% from the previous week, among which China was active in purchasing, accounting for 46.7% of the contracted volume. According to the US Department of Agriculture's 2065438+February 20th10/1global cotton production and sales forecast, the US cotton production decreased slightly from the previous month. The Indian government discussed and decided whether to raise the cotton export ceiling in June 5438+February 65438+March. From the current point of view, the market is more inclined to drift away from the international market. In Pakistan, it is reported that the government may ban the export of cotton yarn from next year, which also provides reasons for international cotton traders to hoard cotton. On the whole, the fundamental pattern of the international cotton market is stable, and cotton prices may remain strong in the short term. It is difficult for the domestic cotton market to continue to strengthen. As the central bank raises the deposit reserve ratio to 18.5% again and further tightens liquidity, the expectation of market tightening remains strong, and agricultural products including cotton will continue to bear pressure from the macro level in the future. Judging from the fundamentals of the cotton market, the market has a strong wait-and-see atmosphere, and the enthusiasm of textile enterprises to purchase local cotton is still not high. As of early June, 5438+February, the national cotton industry inventory was about 35. 1 day, up 6. 1% year-on-year. Sales of yarns and fabrics have slowed down, inventories have increased, and prices are still falling. At present, cotton prices have stabilized and the purchase and sale prices have rebounded slightly. However, there are many constraints between the policy and the downstream industrial chain, and the cotton price will mainly fluctuate widely. Market review CF 1 109 Zheng Mian 12 15 was affected by the sharp rise and fall of foreign crude oil, and the cotton price opened lower at 27895. After the price dropped slightly, the trend rebounded to the highest point of 27985, and the price was blocked to form a weak shock pattern, with the lowest point of 27380 and closing at 27395. The volume decreased by1438,466 lots, the position decreased slightly by 240,380 lots, and the position was -4 10 lots, a decrease of 2.27%, and it closed with a small negative line. In Shandong, Hunan and Hubei in the Yangtze River valley, cotton farmers have better shipments, but lint is mostly concentrated in the hands of rural economic agents and distributors. With the liquidity of the market capital chain tightening, cotton is still hoarding in many areas. At present, cotton sales are directly affected by funds. It is expected that with the weakening of cotton merchants' reluctance to sell, the funds of textile enterprises will be relaxed. The mobility of cotton will also be greatly active. Investors have recently left the market to wait and see and remain cautious about the recent market. Operational ideas CF 1 109 Zheng Mian: Recently, there are still variables in the supply of cotton in the international market, and domestic cotton planting depends on the actual situation. The fluctuation of cotton price in the future, whether domestic or international, will inevitably intensify. It is expected that cotton prices will remain at a high level, with the fluctuation range of domestic cotton prices ranging from 24,000 yuan to 28,500 yuan per ton. There is still a wave of seed cotton listed around the Spring Festival, and the domestic cotton price will basically maintain a high fluctuation pattern. Yesterday, the cotton K-line was supported by the 5 10 moving average flow and closed at the Xiaoyin line, and the rebound was under pressure again. Recently, the price has returned to the rising point of 26500 from weakness. From the analysis of weekly K-line chart, the weekly average flow of 5 and 10 has turned to support, but the K-line has not been settled this week, so investors with uncertainties should be cautious. Today's opening will be near the opening price of 2750 0, and the trend will fluctuate between 27750-27 1 10. (1) Long-term investors: Continue to hold long positions involving 5% and re-enter the market. (2) Mid-line investors: Continue to wait and see. (3) Short-term investors: Make short-term market near today's rebound high of 27650. Today's operation interval is 27750-27 1 10. If the short-term stop loss position effectively breaks 27900, it is necessary to stop the loss, and the position must be controlled within 20%. Be careful. Original address:/20101216/51737.html.