Starting from this issue, Bian Xiao Knight will talk about how to profit from the game (Sword Spirit) around the topic of "hoarding goods". The first issue is an introductory article, the content is relatively simple, mainly to popularize economic knowledge for players who don't understand investment:

First, the relationship between supply and demand determines everything.

As we all know, the object of our research, whether it is securities, futures, options or other financial derivatives (sword-spirit commodity investment or hoarding goods as players say, all belong to the category of financial derivatives), can be expressed by numbers, that is, prices. So what is the most fundamental factor that determines the price rise and fall? The answer is supply and demand.

In fact, this question is very simple. If the supply exceeds the demand, the price will rise, and if the demand is insufficient, the price will fall.

Sketch:

1 for

Step 2 supply

4. For "Seeking: Great Rise". (""means much greater than)

Let's take Bailonglin as an example:

There is a potential demand when Bai Qing conducts public beta, because the 32nd chapter of the main plot needs to be completed by a Bailonglin. At that time, the only way to get Bailonglin was sect production. Only a few were produced in a few days. Players who want Bailonglin need to queue up to subscribe. This is the fourth situation I mentioned. We often say that demand exceeds supply and prices begin to skyrocket. Once fired to 100 gold.

But later, because the player reflected that the product was too expensive to do in the first face-to-face planning, probably in late August, the planning said to do one get three free. Make one for three, and we can think of it as giving you two away for nothing. Then some clever players will borrow one first, and then return the borrowed Bailonglin to their friends after receiving three. This is the most awesome move of our finance, "empty gloves and white wolves", referred to as "arbitrage". Due to the plan of sending two people each, the production capacity was instantly surplus, and the price began to plummet to the lowest point of about 3.5 gold. Then it continued to run around 4 gold for recent months.

Knight reminded his friends to reserve some Bailonglin at the end of August, because the planners would not give away some worthless things for no reason. So when the time continued to 65438+February, Bailonglin became a consumable again. Once it entered the altar of fate, it would consume one, and the demand was in short supply again, which made the price of Bailonglin rise from 4 gold to about 12 gold.

But because some clever friends invented a "big trick", the price of Bailonglin dropped from 12 gold to about 6 gold. Ha ha laugh

This is just a kind of price fluctuation caused by the relationship between supply and demand of commodities. In just four months, the price has experienced ups and downs like a roller coaster.

Therefore, it is very important to study the relationship between supply and demand of a commodity. Then some people will suggest that this view is known to junior high school students and even primary school students. Is it necessary to say?

Bian Xiao thinks this is absolutely necessary. Why do people who make stocks know that "buy low and sell high", but in the end they often buy at a high level and leave at a low level? Because we don't fundamentally understand the supply and demand relationship of this commodity.

On the surface, the relationship between supply and demand is simple, but we understand that "total supply" and "total demand" are not simple things. We need to consider all aspects and take all factors into account.

Fortunately, Jianling's hoarding is not as complicated as the financial market. There are only two factors that determine the price of goods in the game, namely internal factors and external factors:

First, the internal cause: the relationship between supply and demand of the commodity itself. Need to understand the relationship between total supply and total demand.

Second, external cause: official behavior. We know that some official behaviors, including activities, rewards, gift packages, etc., will directly affect price fluctuations, which we call macro-control for short.

So grasp these two points, consider external factors first, and then consider the relationship between supply and demand of goods, so that you can make a choice.

Second, the price fluctuates around the value.

As we all know, every commodity has its intrinsic value. For example, the official price of Lingshi is 7- 1 1 silver (calculated by an activity), so 7-1/silver is the value of the commodity. If the current price is 2 1 silver, it inevitably means that the price is too high and will be adjusted downwards. If Lingshi is now 5 silver, which is lower than its value, it will inevitably rise to the range of 7- 1 1 silver.

Intrinsic value is just a reasonable price. The so-called value regression means that the price will fluctuate around the value of the commodity. When it is much higher, it will fall back, and when it is much lower, it will be pulled back by a reasonable price.

It is simple to understand this truth. For example, the official price of Ghost Stone is 1.2- 1.5 gold, and now the price is 80-90 silver, so when the demand increases in the future, the price will inevitably return to the range of 1.2- 1.5 gold, and even far exceed 1.5 gold.

Third, the intrinsic value is determined by the market.

Mr. Market is always right. Players must adapt to the market in order to make money. So who is the market?

The market consists of a large number of participants and is controlled by the government.

This official has a fatal influence on the price of a commodity. When the official influence on goods is digested by the price, the price will run with supply and demand.

Very impressive, isn't it? Ok, translate it and give an example.

Did you send a lot of fiery water seal symbols when you were in the public beta in Bai Qing? The official behavior hit the price of this symbol below 20Y, but with the end of the activity, the official will no longer affect the price of the goods after the player receives all the symbols.

Next, the relationship between supply and demand comes. After the activity, there is no other way but to go shopping. The fiery Shui Yue seal symbol was discontinued and the demand was increasing, which led to the rising price until it reached the highest 3 gold.

Investment is actually not difficult, it is really not difficult. As long as you have a little concept of economics, a little more foresight than others, and do more homework than others, you can find opportunities to make money (business opportunities). I hope the above content will help my friends to invest (stock trading).

In the future, we will update the investment skills of Sword Spirit from time to time and talk about more practical skills. Knight pointed out that these methods can be applied to any field, such as stocks, futures, options, or other financial fields, but the latter needs to consider more factors, and there are more factors affecting prices. In short, in our current game, only the supply and demand relationship between the official and the commodity itself affects the price, so everyone is still very happy. Oh, not bad. :)