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In the daily K-line chart, the white line, yellow line, purple line and green line represent the daily average of 5, 10, 20 and 60 respectively, but this is not fixed and will change according to different settings. For example, it can also be set as a moving average of 5, 15, 30, 60 in the system.

On the moving average

What is the moving average (MA)? Jones' concept of average cost is the theoretical basis, and the moving average principle in statistics is used to connect the average stock price in a period of time into a curve to represent the historical fluctuation of stock price, and then reflect the future development trend of stock price index. It is an intuitive expression of Dow's theory.

Definition of moving average: "average" refers to the arithmetic average of the closing price in the last n days; "Moving" means that we always use the price data of the last n days in our calculations. Therefore, the average array (the closing price of the last n days) moves forward day by day with the change of the new trading day. When we calculate the moving average, we usually use the closing price of the last n days. We add new closing prices to the array day by day, and the closing prices of n+ 1 from bottom to top are removed. Then, divide the new sum by n, and you will get the new day's average (n-day average). ■ Calculation formula:

Ma =(C 1+C2+C3+...+Cn)/N C: closing price of a certain day n: moving average period.

According to the calculation cycle, the EMA can be divided into short-term (such as 5th, 10), medium-term (such as 30th) and long-term (such as 60th, 120) EMA.

The moving averages are divided into arithmetic moving averages, linear weighted moving averages, step moving averages and smma. The arithmetic moving average introduced below is the most commonly used.

1) Meaning of moving average:

1, at the beginning of the rising market, the short-term moving average breaks through the long-term moving average from bottom to top, and the intersection formed is called the golden cross.

It indicates that the stock price will rise: the yellow 5-day moving average crosses the purple 10 moving average; The crosses formed by the 30-day moving average crossing green on the 10 moving average are all golden crosses.

2. The crossover formed when the short-term moving average falls below the medium-and long-term moving average is called the death crossover. It indicates that the stock price will fall. The yellow 5-day moving average crosses the purple 10 moving average; The intersections formed by the green 30-day moving average below the 10 moving average are all dead intersections.

3. When the rising market enters a stable period, the moving averages of 5th, 10 and 30th are arranged from top to bottom and moved to the upper right, which is called long arrangement. It indicates that the stock price will rise sharply.

4. In the falling market, the 5-day, 10, and 30-day moving averages are arranged from bottom to top, and move to the lower right, which is called short arrangement, indicating that the stock price will fall sharply.

5. In the rising market, the stock price is above the moving average, and the multi-position moving average can be regarded as a multi-party defense line; When the stock price returns to the vicinity of the moving average, each moving average will generate support in turn, and buying will push the stock price up again, which is the role of the moving average.

6. In the falling market, the stock price is below the moving average, and the moving average with short positions can be regarded as the defense line of the empty side. When the stock price rebounds near the moving average, it will encounter resistance, and the selling will gush out, prompting the stock price to fall further. This is the help of the moving average.

7. The turning point of the moving average is when the moving average turns from rising to falling and the lowest point turns from falling to rising. It indicates that the stock price trend will reverse.

(2), the eight rules of the mean line of coercion.

1, the moving average gradually leveled off from the decline and rose slightly, while the stock price broke down from the moving average, which was a buying signal.

2. The stock price runs above the moving average, and the buying time is when it does not fall below the moving average and then rises again.

3. The stock price runs above the EMA and falls below the EMA when it returns, but the short-term EMA continues to show an upward trend. This is the time to buy.

4. The stock price runs below the moving average and suddenly plummets. Too far away from the moving average, it is very likely to be very close to the moving average. This is the time to buy.

5. The stock price runs above the moving average, rising sharply for several days in a row, and getting farther and farther away from the moving average, indicating that the recent stock buyers have made huge profits, and there will be profit selling pressure at any time, so they should sell the stock temporarily.

6. The moving average has gradually leveled off from the rise. When the stock price falls below the moving average from the top of the moving average, it means that the selling pressure is getting heavier and heavier, and the stocks held should be sold.

7. The stock price runs below the moving average, does not break through the moving average when rebounding, and the decline of the moving average slows down, then tends to be horizontal, and then shows a downward trend. This is a sales opportunity.

8. After the stock price rebounds, it hovers above the moving average, but the moving average continues to fall, so it is advisable to sell the stocks it holds.

Articles 3 and 8 of the above eight rules are not easy to master, and their specific application is risky. Before mastering it, you can consider giving up using the moving average.

Articles 4 and 5 are not clear about how far the stock price is from the moving average, which can be solved by referring to the deviation rate (discussed in detail in the middle school).

(3) Buying time of EMA:

1, the stock price curve breaks through the 5-day moving average and the 10 moving average from bottom to top, and the 5-day moving average crosses with the 10 moving average to form a golden cross, which shows that the strength of many parties has been enhanced, and the short-term pressure line has been effectively broken, and the market outlook is likely to rise, which is a buying opportunity.

2. The stock price curve breaks through the 5-day, 10, and 30-day moving averages from bottom to top, and the three moving averages are arranged in multiple positions, showing that many parties are strong, and the market outlook is a foregone conclusion. This is an excellent buying opportunity.

3. In the rising market of strong stocks, the stock price is consolidating, and the 5-day moving average is intertwined with the 10 moving average. When the stock price breaks through the consolidation zone, the 5-day, 10, and 30-day moving averages are arranged in long positions again, which is a buying opportunity.

4. In the bull market, the stock price fell below the 10 moving average but did not fall below the 30-day moving average, and the 30-day moving average still pushed to the upper right, indicating that the stock price decline was a technical retracement, and the decline was not too great. This is the time to buy.

5. In the short market, after a long-term decline, the stock price runs below the moving average on the 5th and 10, and panic selling keeps pouring out, resulting in a sharp drop in the stock price and an increase in the deviance rate. At this time, it is an excellent opportunity to grab the rebound and buy stocks.

(4) Selling opportunities of EMA:

1. In the rising market, the stock price fell below the 5-day moving average and 10 moving average from top to bottom, and the 5-day moving average fell below the 10 moving average to form a dead fork. The upward trend of the 30-day moving average shows signs of leveling off, indicating that the empty side has an advantage and has broken through two lines of defense. At this time, it is time to sell the stocks you hold and leave the market to wait and see.

2. The stock price rebounded after the plunge and could not break through the pressure of the 10 moving average, indicating that the stock price will continue to fall, and this is the time to sell.

3. The stock price has continuously fallen below the 5-day, 10, and 30-day moving averages, and the 30-day moving averages tend to move to the lower right, indicating that the decline in the market outlook will be deeper, and the stock should be sold quickly.

4. After a long period of stock market, the moving averages on the 5th and 10 began to decline, indicating that the short-term strength will increase and the market outlook will fall, so the stock should be sold.

5. When the 60-day moving average turns from an upward trend to a flat or downward trend, it indicates that there will be an intermediate decline in the market outlook, and stocks should be sold at this time.

This is the moving average, which is (5, 10, 20, 60) respectively.

The purpose of the moving average is mainly to judge the trend of the stock.

The movement of stock price often takes the form of jumping, and the moving average slows down the jumping into a relatively gentle curve.

There are many ways to calculate the average, and the most common one is to take the closing price as the reference for calculating the average. For example, if you want to calculate the ten-day average, add up the closing prices of the past ten days and divide by ten to get the ten-day average. Add the molecular formula to the closing price of the new day every day, and then subtract the closing price of the eleventh day. The denominator remains the same, and the latest average is taken. When these moving averages are connected, they become moving averages.

The shape of the average line depends on the number of days selected. The more days, the smoother the turning point of the moving average.

The increase of a stock is determined by the amount of funds involved to a certain extent. The greater the amount of funds used by the banker, the more substantial the future increase will be. So, how to estimate the weight of the banker's position? There are several ways:

1, according to the length of delivery period. For stocks with obvious absorption period, the simple algorithm is to roughly estimate the banker's position by multiplying the daily turnover of the absorption period by the absorption period, and the banker's position = absorption period × daily turnover (ignoring the buying amount of retail investors). The longer the delivery period, the larger the banker's position; The greater the daily turnover, the more the dealers suck in goods. Therefore, if investors see the long-term sideways consolidation of stocks after listing, it is usually dark horses that are quietly eating grass. Some new shares do not go through the full absorption period, and their market is difficult to sustain.

2. According to the turnover rate. Stocks with active trading at low positions and high turnover rate, but with little increase in share price, usually attract bookmakers to enter the market. The greater the turnover rate here, the more fully the main force will attract funds. Quantity and price seem to be a pair of little brothers who are not to be outdone. As long as the quantity comes first, the price will keep pace with the quantity, and investors can temporarily pay attention to the stocks whose price lags behind the quantity.

3. Analyze the performance of the stock according to the market consolidation period. It is difficult to clearly define the absorption period of some stocks when the absorption period is not obvious, or when Zhuangzi makes a comeback, or when the banker pulls it, or when it falls. The positions held by these stock makers can be judged by their performance during the consolidation period. Great Wall Electric went downhill wave after wave after listing last year, and the delivery period was not obvious. The pull-up from May to June is obviously the banker's behavior, and the market is adjusted from July to September. At the end of June, the stock was near 12 yuan, and at the end of September, it was still stuck in the consolidation area near 12 yuan, with a smaller decline than the broader market, and the bookmakers were deeply involved. Look at the more than 80 million outstanding shares of this stock. The main force of such large-cap stocks is also free to "adjust", and the amount of funds held can be seen.

4. According to the volume in the rising process. Generally speaking, when the stock price rises, the trading volume will be enlarged simultaneously. As the stock price rises, the trading of some stocks controlled by the dealer will decrease, and the stock price will often rise again, so these stocks can be valued rather than priced; The dealer holds a lot of chips, which can be held all the time and then bet a lot.

1, oversold rebound rebound: the stock falls sharply to a certain support level, and there is a demand for upward rebound (that is, upward rebound), which is called oversold rebound; Buying a stock at this time and selling it when it rebounds is called grabbing a rebound. The rebound is not a reversal, it just rises for a few days and then falls, so it is necessary to "grab".

2. Index stocks, heavyweights and weighted index stocks: These concepts are similar and refer to stocks with a very large total share capital. Because of its large total share capital and a large proportion in the stock market, its rise and fall have a great influence on the whole stock market. For example, Bank of China is a standard index stock with a weight of 25%. For every 65,438+0 cents increase or decrease, the market increases or decreases by 65,438+0 points.

3. Box shock: The stock price fluctuates up and down within a certain range, just like a stock box.

4. Outlook of Bank of China: It may fall below the issue price, so it is best for small retail investors not to touch him.

] How do you know whether a stock will open higher, flat or low the next day?

This can't be said to be a prediction, but a guess:

If today's energy is very large, for example, it is more than three times that of yesterday, and the sun closes sharply (there is no daily limit), but there is no obvious upper shadow line, then the probability of opening higher the next day will be quite high. If the upper shadow line is finally formed and is very long, then the lower shadow line may be bigger. If it is lower, it is necessary to start to intervene.

Today's trading volume is lower than the opening. If the trading volume is gradually enlarged by the close, the probability of opening lower the next day is extremely low, and the possibility of opening higher is also great. If the opening volume is relatively large, but the energy can't be sustained, the volume can't be amplified again at the close, so pay attention to opening lower tomorrow.

The sudden explosive volume of late trading depends on the transaction. If the transaction is solid, it will not open lower the next day, but if it rises quickly and the transaction is not solid, it is likely to attract more. ...

This is just a simple narrative, and it doesn't contain many complicated situations.

Please tell me how to choose one among so many stocks. I can't always rely on others to recommend me.

Choosing your own stocks is actually very simple. If you have a lot of money, choose high-priced stocks such as Kweichow Moutai or Suning Appliance. If you want to believe in high-priced stocks, you must be impeccable in all aspects, because you can stand on high prices. Secondly, if you don't have much money, you should choose cheap stocks. At this time, you should be cautious and look at the net assets per share of this stock. How much is the profit per share? Is the return on equity higher than last year? We also need to know whether the company has foreign debts and whether there are lawsuits. What product is the company? Is there any growth potential? Then look at the recent stock price trend, is it at a historical low? Still high?

You can find it in the leaderboard and rank it in proportion, which is between 1.2-2.0, with an increase of 2%-4%. Generally speaking, this stock has a good upward trend.

Commission ratio: the ratio of the difference between the daily trading volume and the total amount of a certain variety.

The commission rate is an index to measure the relative strength of the order in a certain period. Its calculation formula is: commission ratio = (number of entrusted buyers-number of entrusted sellers)/(number of entrusted buyers+number of entrusted sellers) × 100% number of entrusted buyers: the total number of all stocks entrusted to buy in the next three files now. Number of consigned sales lots: the total number of the last three consigned sales of all stocks. The commission ratio ranges from-100% to+100%. When the commission ratio is-100%, it means that there is only selling but not buying, which means that the market is selling a lot. When the commission ratio is+100%, it means that there is only buying but not selling, which means that there is strong buying in the market. When the commission ratio is negative, selling is greater than buying; And the commission ratio is positive, indicating that buying is greater than selling. The change of commission ratio from-100% to+100% is a process in which selling gradually weakens and buying gradually strengthens. For example, the order of buying and selling orders of stock G at a certain moment is as follows: serial number, entrusted buying price, quantity (hand), serial number, entrusted selling price, quantity (hand),13.64 413.65 62 3.607 23.706 33.753 43.506 The quantity of the next three orders entrusted to buy now is/kloc. The last three orders are 15 lots. At this time, the commission ratio of stock G is: commission ratio = (number of entrusted buyers-number of entrusted sellers)/(number of entrusted buyers+number of entrusted sellers) ×100% = (17-15)/(65433)

Commission: the current purchase amount of a variety minus the sales amount. Reflects the balance of power between buyers and sellers. A positive number means the buyer is stronger, and a negative number means the selling pressure is heavier.

The commission ratio is (consignment-consignment)/(consignment+consignment)

The commission is consignment-consignment, and a negative number means selling more.

Who said that the turnover has gone up? Nobody said that. ...

But sometimes the heavy volume is aborted, and sometimes the probability of heavy volume is greater in some key positions.

Many stocks that can shrink sharply have often released a lot of money at the beginning. This situation is understood as a high degree of control.

The types of volume-price relationship can be divided into two categories. One is the ordinary type, that is, low quantity and low price, flat price increase, price increase and price decrease, price increase and price decrease. The other is a special type, that is, land price, sky-high price, infinite rising sky, infinite falling shade, heavy volume at the bottom and upside down at the top.

1, small quantity and low price

Low volume and low price mainly refers to a phenomenon of volume-price coordination in which the trading volume of individual stocks (or large markets) is very scarce and the stock price of individual stocks is also very low. Low volume and low price generally only appear in the stage of long-term bottom consolidation of stocks.

When the stock price falls all the way from the high level, with the obvious reduction of trading volume, the stock price stops falling and stabilizes near a certain point, and it is sideways for a long time at the low level. After several repeated bottoming, the lowest point of the stock price has become more and more clear. At the same time, due to the recent volume can gradually shrink to the lowest value, the trend of the stock has appeared the phenomenon of low volume and low price.

The appearance of low quantity and low price only shows that the possibility of the formation of the staged bottom of the stock price is greatly enhanced, and it cannot be used as the basis for buying stocks. Investors should also study whether the fundamentals of stocks are good and have investment value before making investment decisions.

2. Price increase and price leveling

Price rise and price leveling mainly refer to the phenomenon that the trading volume of individual stocks (or market) increases, while the stock price of individual stocks fluctuates almost at a certain price level. Price rise and price leveling may occur at all stages of the rising market or at all stages of the falling market. At the same time, it can be used as a signal to sell stocks and also as a signal to buy stocks. The main feature of distinguishing buying and selling signals is to judge whether the "price" in the "price increase parity" is high or low.

If the stock price is in a relatively high price range after a relatively large increase for a period of time, the trading volume is still increasing, but the stock price fails to continue to rise, showing a phenomenon of high price increase. The stagflation trend of this heavy volume stock price shows that the main force of the market may quietly ship the goods while maintaining the stock price unchanged. Therefore, the price rise and price leveling when the stock price is high are the signs of top reversal. Once the stock price turns around and runs down, it shows that the top of the stock price has been formed, and investors should pay attention to the high risk of the stock price.

If, after a long period of decline, the stock price is in the low-priced area, and the trading volume begins to be released continuously, but the stock price does not rise synchronously, showing a phenomenon of low-volume increase and flat price, this stagflation trend of low-volume stock price may indicate that there are new main funds to suppress the opening of positions. Once the stock price turns around with the effective cooperation of trading volume, it shows that the bottom of the stock price has been formed, and investors should pay close attention to the stock.

3. Increase in quantity and price

The rise in volume and price mainly refers to the phenomenon that the volume of individual stocks (or the market) increases and the stock price of individual stocks also rises simultaneously. The rise in volume and price only occurs in the rising market, mostly in the early stage of the rising market, and a small part in the middle stage of the rising market.

After the last round of long-term decline and bottom consolidation, many favorable factors gradually appeared in the market. These favorable factors have enhanced the expected positive psychology of the market, stimulated the demand of the stock market, and the market trading has gradually become active. With the enlargement of trading volume and the synchronous rise of stock price, investors can make profits in a short time by buying stocks, and the demonstration effect of making money has stimulated more investors' willingness to invest.

With the gradual enlargement of trading volume, the stock price began to climb slowly, and the stock price trend showed a trend of rising both in volume and price. This good combination of quantity and price has formed a real and substantial support for the further rise of stock prices in the future.

4. the quantity shrinks and the price rises.

Shrinkage and price increase mainly refers to a phenomenon that the share price of a stock (or market) rises rather than the volume increases. The increase of quantity and energy, shrinkage and price mostly appears at the end of the rising market, and a small part will also appear in the rebound process in the middle of the falling market. However, in the rising market and the falling market, the phenomenon of volume contraction and price increase is not the same.

In the continuous rising market, moderate volume shrinkage and price rise indicate that the main force has a relatively high degree of control, a strong force to maintain the stock price rise, and a large number of circulating chips are locked by the main force. But after all, the shrinking volume and the rising price show a trend of deviation between volume and price. Therefore, in the subsequent rising process, the volume will be enlarged again, which may mean that the main force may ship at a high level.

In the continuous decline of the market, sometimes there will be a rebound trend of decreasing trading volume and rising prices. When the stock price fell sharply in a short time, the main force failed to ship all the goods because of the sharp drop. Therefore, they will seize the psychology that most investors can't bear to cut meat easily, and use a small amount of funds to raise the stock price again, causing the illusion that the quantity can shrink and the price will rise, so as to use this rebound trend to achieve the purpose of shipment.

In short, investors should treat the market with declining trading volume and rising prices differently, and generally wait and see by holding shares or holding money.

5. The quantity increases and the price decreases.

The rise of volume and price mainly refers to a phenomenon that the share price of a stock (or market) falls rather than the volume falls. Most of the phenomena of falling volume and price appear in the early stage of falling market, and a small part also appears in the early stage of rising market. However, in the rising market and falling market, the phenomenon of falling volume and price is not the same.

At the beginning of the decline, after a relatively large increase in the stock price, there were more and more profitable chips in the market, and some investors threw out their stocks one after another, causing the stock price to begin to fall. At the same time, some investors still expect the stock price to rise. When the stock price began to fall, they were still buying stocks. The difference between long and short sides on the stock price is the main reason for the rise and fall of the stock price. However, this phenomenon will not last long. Once the stock price falls below the important support level of the market, the downward trend of the stock price begins to form and will gradually disappear. This phenomenon is a sell signal.

At the beginning of the rising market, some stocks will also rise in volume and price. After a long period of decline and a long period of consolidation at the bottom, in order to get more low chips, the main force took the means of suppressing the stock price while absorbing goods, which led to the phenomenon that the stock price trend fell together, but this phenomenon will disappear with the gradual increase of buying and the simultaneous increase of trading volume. This phenomenon of falling volume and price is the buying signal at the bottom.

6. The quantity shrinks and the price falls.

Shrinking trading volume and falling prices mainly refer to the phenomenon that the trading volume of individual stocks (or the market) decreases and the stock price of individual stocks also falls simultaneously. The phenomenon of shrinking trading volume and falling prices can occur in the middle of falling market or rising market, but their judgment processes and results are different.

In the rising market, when the stock price rises to a certain height, the market volume begins to decrease, and the stock price also drops slightly, showing the phenomenon of shrinking volume and falling price, which is an active adjustment process for the previous rising market. "Falling price" means asking the stock price to take the initiative to sort out the floating market and correct the higher technical indicators, while "shrinking volume" means that investors have strong confidence in holding funds and are unwilling to sell them. When the stock price completes the sorting process, it will rise again.

In a falling market, when the stock price started to fall from a high level, some profitable investors fled one after another due to poor market expectations, while most investors chose to wait and see with money, which led to the stock price falling and the transaction shrinking. The appearance of this phenomenon indicates that the stock price will continue to fall.

The decline in volume and price in the rising market shows that the market is full of reluctance to sell, which is the active callback of the market. Therefore, investors can hold shares to rise or intervene on dips. However, the price drop in the rising market should not be too big, otherwise it may be a sign that the main force will ship at no cost.

The decline in volume and price in the falling market indicates that investors will no longer be "short covering" after shipment, and the stock price will continue to decline. Therefore, investors still wait and see mainly by holding money.