On the question of Chongqing beer, my understanding is this:
First of all, the opening of the down limit should not be done by new entrants. Why? First, the institutions with Dacheng Fund as the quilt cover hold more than 40 million shares, accounting for nearly 10%. In the case of negative news one after another, the follow-up trend of the stock is basically clear, that is, it continues to fall after the technical rebound, and it takes longer for large funds to open positions to obtain more cheap chips, so there is no need to take over in such a position; Second, in terms of shareholding ratio, excluding Chongqing Beer Group 20%, Carlsberg 17.46%, Carlsberg Hong Kong 12.25% and investment funds nearly 10%, more than 40% of the chips are distributed among more than 27,000 retail investors, and retail investors generally like to chase up and kill down. In this way, there is a great resistance to the entry of funds in this position.
Secondly, from the technical analysis, Chongqing Beer Weekly peaked in the week of165438+1October 25th. After the classification of the top of the weekly line is confirmed, at least a downward stroke will be formed, that is to say, at least five K lines will be dropped on the weekly line. The landlord will see that this sum is not over yet, and there will be big funds (the reason why big funds can be bigger is certain), except for the mouse warehouse of course.
Based on the above analysis, this time, the daily limit is opened, and the upside is close to the daily limit, changing hands by more than 20%. After that, it is not difficult to understand that the stock price continued to fall: it should be the self-help behavior of internal investment institutions (it may be a monopoly, or it may be an agreement of several institutions), eating a lot of meat and vegetables from retail investors or other institutions at the daily limit. In the first minute of opening, the turnover exceeded 50 million shares, and then it rose easily. Of course, some institutions with few chips and low costs may also be eliminated after this opportunity.
In any case, the follow-up trend of this stock is basically clear: that is, the trend of shock → yin decline → shock → bottoming; Most stock and futures experts died in bargain hunting, so without Jin Gangzuan, it's best not to work in porcelain. If you don't have friends with this stock, try not to be greedy and think that the stock price has been halved, and the price has been reduced by a small margin. Look at the last month, the index fell by 10%, but many heavyweights fell by half in less than a month, with no lowest price, only lower; I won't say anything if I have a ticket, but I will be offended anyway.