According to a large number of live pig data monitoring, on May 6th, the national average soybean meal price was 43 1 1 yuan/ton, down 209.0 yuan/ton from the previous month.
Among them, the highest price in Yunnan Province is 4540 yuan/ton, and the lowest price in Guangdong Province and Guangxi Province is 4 140 yuan/ton.
Soybean meal continues to cool down, and the price drop in some areas exceeds 1000 yuan/ton.
Looking back on the trend of soybean meal price after the year, it began to rise rapidly after the Spring Festival this year. The average price once rose to 52 15 yuan/ton, and even the price of soybean meal soared to 5,500 yuan/ton in some areas.
For some time, feed prices have been rising, and even a number of feed enterprises have intensively adjusted prices.
After Tomb-Sweeping Day, the price of soybean meal gradually began to fall, and then stabilized at 4,500 yuan/ton. During this period, due to the downward adjustment of soybean meal price, some feed enterprises adjusted feed prices.
However, since then, the price of soybean meal seems to show no signs of falling. Feed enterprises only lowered their prices once in April, and there was no news of price reduction after that. At that time, pig prices fluctuated in 6 yuan, and farmers were miserable.
In late April, the price of pigs rose rapidly, and the May Day holiday continued its upward trend.
At this time, the price of soybean meal also ushered in a slight downward adjustment, and gradually began to move closer to the 4000 yuan mark. Take Henan Province as an example. At the end of March, the price of soybean meal was 5,407.92 yuan/ton, and it dropped to 4,360 yuan/ton on May 6, a decrease of more than 1 10,000 yuan/ton.
Then the question is, why has the industry been predicting that the price of soybean meal is easy to rise and difficult to fall, but it can once again usher in price cuts?
Three reasons, the price of soybean meal will drop in May?
Bian Xiao believes that there are three main reasons for the downward adjustment of soybean meal prices:
1, affected by the short-term increase in domestic soybean supply.
Due to the sharp rise in soybean meal prices, regulation began at the national level. In April alone, the government held many intensive soybean auctions, even in late April. It can be seen that the domestic soybean supply is sufficient in the short term.
Domestic soybean demand is decreasing.
As we all know, the domestic soybean demand peaked in recent two years, which is inseparable from the vigorous development of aquaculture, and the amount of soybean in feed began to increase substantially.
However, since last year, the pig industry has entered the stage of de-capacity, and the consumption of soybeans in feed has gradually decreased.
3. International soybean futures prices have been falling continuously.
As China's soybean is highly dependent on foreign countries, the international soybean price directly affects the domestic soybean price trend.
According to international news, CBOT soybean futures prices continue to fall, which in turn affects spot prices. During the May Day holiday, the price dropped by 3.2%.
Feed enterprises began to announce price cuts! Dong hopes that the feeding enterprises will cut 75-275 yuan/ton!
Based on the above three reasons, the cost of feed raw materials has decreased, and some feed enterprises have begun to announce price cuts because of the decreasing trend of feed demand at the breeding end.
Up to now, the highest drop of concentrated feed is 275 yuan/ton, and the highest drop of other pig feed is 75- 100 yuan/ton.
Even some feed enterprises made it clear in the price reduction notice that due to the drop in soybean meal price, the company made a price adjustment notice for the products.
Generally speaking, the domestic soybean market was in a situation of strong supply and weak demand in May, and the soybean meal market will still be weakened mainly by the weak trend of the international soybean market.
Next, there is still room for further decline in feed prices, don't you think?