Introduction to "Black Swan: How to Deal with the Unknown Future" (Financial Times, Businessweek's annual business bestseller) Before the discovery of black swans in Australia, Europeans thought that swans were all white. "Black swan" was once an idiom in European speech and writing, which was used to refer to the impossible, but this unshakable belief collapsed with the appearance of the first black swan.
The existence of the black swan symbolizes an unpredictable and rare event, which is unexpected, but it has changed everything. Humans always believe in experience too much, but they don't know that the appearance of a black swan is enough to subvert everything. However, whether it is the expectation of the stock market or the decision of the government, the black swan is unpredictable. The "9 1 1" incident, the subprime mortgage crisis in the United States and the snowstorm in China are all the same.
In life, randomness can be seen everywhere, as well as in the capital market. People always use their limited life experience and fragile beliefs to explain unpredictable events; Even professionals who are good at calculation will not be fooled by randomness. In fact, what we have to do is to adapt to this unknown future. This book will teach you to change your way of thinking, grasp the opportunity brought by the black swan, and take countermeasures to benefit from it. This book will change our views on the world, humanity and money.
The author introduces nassim nicholas taleb, who devoted his life to studying luck, uncertainty, probability and knowledge. He is not only a literary essayist, an empiricist, but also a rational trader of mathematical securities. At present, he is a professor in the Department of Financial Engineering of new york University Institute of Technology. His last bestseller Fooled by Randomness was published in 20 languages. He lives in new york most of the time.