Current location - Trademark Inquiry Complete Network - Futures platform - A lot of corn is not exported. Will the price increase after the Spring Festival? Not rising in the short term, falling in the long term.
A lot of corn is not exported. Will the price increase after the Spring Festival? Not rising in the short term, falling in the long term.
There is a real situation in the current corn market: "There is no corn export in many places in Northeast China.

Grass-roots farmers sell grain quickly, and these grains only enter the hands of grain collection units or individuals, and do not flow into the market for digestion. "

People who bet on the price increase after the Spring Festival are everywhere. As can be seen from the emotions in the network, everyone's expectations are high.

Every day, the so-called gap is called and the so-called production reduction is called. Is there such a situation? Yes, but the market is not static. The market is dynamic! In the past few years, we have been clamoring for gaps and production cuts every year. When the price rises, we really can't see an effective grain source. But when the price falls, this kind of food is like firecrackers in the Spring Festival. Do you think this is a market problem or a cognitive problem? Or are our emotions at work?

One grain and one island has opened many warehouses in various regions, but few of them really collect a large amount of grain.

The main body who really dares to "collect grain on a large scale" is either the order, the delivery date or the abundant funds and resources, otherwise no one dares to blindly collect a large amount of grain.

# Corn #

Grain merchants and grass-roots grain vendors who have grain now, as well as farmers who didn't sell grain years ago, are eagerly looking forward to the price increase of corn after the Spring Festival, and then quickly realize it to earn meager profits. Can this expectation be realized?

It can go up, but it doesn't go up or down.

Due to high expectations for futures, large grain storage entities will conduct bilateral operations on futures, which will boost market sentiment and prices, but the price increase will fluctuate around 50 yuan/ton.

At the same time, I am not optimistic about the market after September, but this has nothing to do with the time when farmers sell grain.

We are all market participants, not market decision makers. Let's take the time to verify how the future market will go.

Many people read Bian Xiao's viewpoint and think it makes sense, but it doesn't seem to make sense. The key is that everyone always wants to hear an exact number and price. No one will say it, even if it is said, it will not be correct. Because the market changes all the time, the overall trend will not change.

We can't see the time, we just look at a trend, and we can find the time node when we buy or sell grain in a relative trend. No one can see through the price in the next week, how can they understand the change of the whole price? If you are not a great god, you are a fortune teller.

Therefore, Bian Xiao never arbitrarily uses specific data to judge the market, because it is unfair and irrational.

All opinions must be tested by the market, because the market is correct. If the market is wrong, it will repair itself or adjust in other ways.

The market will not raise prices because you are bullish, nor will it lower prices because you are bearish. If the market does not recognize it, everything is "lying" in front of the market.

Therefore, the corn market will not fluctuate too much in the short term. If the increase in storage is implemented, the corn market will increase in price and the market sentiment will be higher.

If this matter does not enter the market because of the price, resulting in market stability, then the price of corn may also fall, but the magnitude will not be great.

The ups and downs of the market are normal, and we can't give a definite answer to uncertain things. It is extremely irresponsible to give a positive answer to uncertain things.