It is a good thing for natural gas to enter every household in rural areas, which can clean energy and reduce environmental pollution. Of course, more importantly, cooking, heating and bathing are all inseparable from natural gas.

With the rapid economic development in rural areas, many families have installed natural gas like cities.

It is a good thing for natural gas to enter every household in rural areas, which can clean energy and reduce environmental pollution. Of course, more importantly, cooking, heating and bathing are all inseparable from natural gas.

Therefore, its price quotation is also a matter of great concern to everyone.

So what is the reason for the recent surge in natural gas prices? 202 1 How will the price of natural gas develop? Let's get to know each other.

Reasons for the recent surge in natural gas prices

According to the data of natural gas trading center, as of June 5438+1October 15, the domestic LNG ex-factory price was 29 12 yuan/ton, up by 12.4% from the same period of last month, compared with1October 91.

The average price of LNG in five northern provinces such as Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi, Shanxi, Xinjiang and Ningxia is higher than the national average price, and the average price in Xinjiang is as high as 3 1.20 yuan/ton.

So what is the reason for the skyrocketing price of natural gas? There are three main reasons:

1, the domestic weather turned cold, and the natural gas market began to usher in the peak season.

At present, the northern cities are gradually entering the winter heating period, so the demand for LNG has risen sharply, thus supporting its upward price.

At present, it is the middle and late of 10, less than two weeks before the heating season in the north, and the supply and demand of natural gas have further increased.

The price increase of natural gas is a market behavior. Demand increases, and the price increase is certain.

2. Thanks to the previous continuous price reduction, the inventory pressure is relatively small now.

According to reports, as early as before the National Day, the downstream has begun to replenish, the purchasing heat has also improved, and the delivery of liquid plants has been smoother, so the LNG price has increased before the holiday.

3. After the National Day holiday, the road transportation has resumed smoothly.

From the supply chain point of view, after the National Day, with the end of floods and other weather in the south, road transportation resumed smoothly, and the downstream further replenished the warehouse, and the futures market price rose again.

202 1 natural gas price forecast

In the international market, EIA predicts that the continuous decline of natural gas production in the United States, coupled with the increase of domestic demand and LNG export demand in winter, will lead to the spot price of HenryHub jumping from 202 1 and 1 to 3.40 USD/million British heat.

The monthly average spot price will remain above 3.00 next year, and the average price of 202 1 year will reach 3. 19, which is higher than the predicted average price of 2. 16 in 2020.

In the domestic market, China's natural gas production in 20021year is expected to reach182.5 billion cubic meters, and its apparent consumption is expected to reach 304.7 billion cubic meters.

With the favorable factors such as policy promoting industry reform and environmental protection demand driving in recent years, the demand for natural gas will continue to grow in the next few years.

It is estimated that the price of 202 1 domestic market will remain relatively stable.

As the north enters the heating period, the domestic demand for LNG will continue to rise in the future, and its price is expected to rise steadily.

Driven by favorable factors, the price of 202 1 natural gas will also run smoothly, and the price is promising.