The rise and fall of futures is determined by the long and short forces in the futures market, that is, when the short force in the futures market is strong, the futures trend will fall, and when the multi-forces in the futures market are strong, the futures will rise.

The following are eight factors that affect the change of futures prices:

1. Supply and demand. Futures trading is the product of market economy, so its price changes are affected by the relationship between market supply and demand. When supply exceeds demand, futures prices fall; On the contrary, futures prices will rise.

2. Economic cycle. In the futures market, price changes are also affected by the economic cycle, and price fluctuations will occur at all stages of the economic cycle.

3. Government policies. Some policies and measures formulated by governments of various countries will have different degrees of influence on the futures market price.

4. Political factors. The futures market is very sensitive to the change of political climate, and the occurrence of various political events will often have different degrees of impact on prices.

5. Social factors. Social factors refer to the public's ideas, social psychological trends and the information influence of the media.

6. Seasonal factors. Many futures commodities, especially agricultural products, have obvious seasonality, and their prices fluctuate with the changes of seasons.

7. Psychological factors. The so-called psychological factor is the degree of confidence of traders in the market. If you are optimistic about a commodity, even if there are no favorable factors, the price of the commodity will rise; When you are bearish, there is no bad news and the price will fall. For another example, some large speculative commodities often use people's psychological factors to spread some news and artificially sell or supplement speculative commodities in large quantities to seek speculative profits.

8. Financial and monetary factors. In the process of world economic development, inflation, currency exchange rate and interest rate fluctuations in various countries have become common phenomena in economic life, which have brought increasingly obvious influence on the futures market.

One or more changes in the relationship between supply and demand, economic cycle, government policies, political factors, social factors, seasonal factors, psychological factors, and financial and monetary changes will comprehensively affect the rise and fall of futures.