Recently, China Fruit Circulation Association released "Analysis Report on Apple Production and Marketing Situation in 20021Season". According to the report, from the national survey, the total output of apples in 20021season is expected to exceed 45 million tons, a slight increase over the previous year. However, since September, both the apple period and the spot price have risen to a certain extent. The reporter learned in the interview that an important reason is that Apple Futures helps Apple achieve "high quality and good price" in the spot.

During 202 1 season, abnormal weather worried fruit farmers. Freezing injury occurred in some producing areas in spring flowering period, and hail occurred frequently in summer fruit expansion period. When planting trees in autumn, it was attacked by large-scale hail and continuous rainfall. Shaanxi, one of the main apple producing areas, is affected by the weather drought, with small fruit and poor quality, especially in the eugenic producing areas such as Luochuan and Fuxian, which are seriously affected by large-scale ice disasters. Shandong area is greatly affected by rainfall, and the problem of fruit rust is serious. Jiang Keqiang, a fruit grower in Yantai, Shandong Province, said that in his 7-mu apple orchard last year, he could pick about 60% of apples that met high standards, but only 30% to 40% this year, and the yield of good fruits decreased significantly.

In addition, apples are cash crops and need highly refined management. The cost of apple planting mainly includes land cost, material cost and labor cost. In recent years, with the increase of material price and staff cost, the cost of apple planting has remained high. For example, the labor cost of bagging in 20 17 years is about 0.06 yuan/bag, which has increased greatly in the past two years. The labor cost of bagging in 202 1 year was about 0.08 yuan/bag, and the labor cost increased by nearly 33.3%. According to estimates, the average planting cost of apples in China is 570O yuan/mu. According to the national average output of 2 tons/mu, the average planting cost of fruit farmers is nearly 2,900 yuan/ton, equivalent to 1.45 yuan/kg, which is relatively high. If the buyer's spot price is low, it is easy to appear "fruit cheap hurts farmers"

Under this industrial background, how does Apple Futures play a role? The reporter learned in the interview that the benchmark delivery of Apple futures corresponds to the supply of high-quality stars in the spot. The clear delivery standards and standardized operation procedures of Apple Futures have enhanced the value of commodities, and the price of Apple Futures has operated reasonably, reflecting the high quality and good price. Delivery products "sell well and fall less" are gradually recognized by the industry.

Affected by factors such as the high output of apples in last season, large storage capacity, and low consumption caused by epidemic situation, in the first half of this year, the price of apple futures continued to fall, and the lowest price of apple futures reached 520 yuan/ton, that is, the spot price.

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4800 yuan/ton, which is relatively low in the past three years. Recently, futures and spot prices have risen to a certain extent, which is the return of value when spot fundamentals change.

Wang Jianfeng, deputy director of Yan 'an Fruit Industry Center, told the reporter that due to the disastrous weather, the quality of apples in the new season was affected to some extent, and the excellent fruits were relatively reduced, while the prices of apple futures and spot high-quality fruits rose. According to the current purchase price of Apple plus various costs, at present, the futures price basically reflects the spot market situation, which is relatively reasonable. Peng, executive general manager of Shaanxi Huasheng Modern Agriculture Group, also said: "Due to disastrous weather, market expectations have changed and quality issues have become the focus. In this context, the current apple futures price reflects the overall situation of the spot and fully embodies the price discovery function of high quality and good price. Lee Tae, an industrial enterprise, has taken gratifying steps in risk management by using Apple's futures price discovery function to guide the acquisition and operation of the new production season. "

Feiyu Wang, director of Yanchang County Fruit Industry Center, told reporters that in order to help fruit farmers predict the spot price this year, Shaanxi Yanchang County Fruit Industry Center and Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange began to broadcast the apple futures price continuously on Yanchang County TV station on September 23rd, providing price reference for fruit farmers to sell fruits and improving their bargaining power.