Since my country entered an aging society, it has shown a trend of large elderly population base, rapid growth, aging, disability, and empty-nest trends. In addition, our country's national situation of getting old before getting rich and the structural superposition of small family size Together, the issue of elderly care is extremely serious.
Data show that as of 2014, the total number of elderly people aged 60 and above in my country reached 212 million, accounting for 15.5% of the total population. China has become the country with the largest elderly population in the world.
On February 26, 2015, the National Bureau of Statistics released the 2014 National Economic and Social Development Statistical Bulletin.
According to the communiqué data, at the end of 2014, the number of people aged 60 and above in my country was 212.42 million, accounting for 15.5% of the total population; the number of people aged 65 and above was 137.55 million, accounting for 10.1%, exceeding 10% for the first time.
Data show that at the end of 2014, the total population of mainland China was 1,367.82 million, an increase of 7.1 million from the end of the previous year, of which the urban permanent population was 749.16 million, accounting for 54.77% of the total population.
The number of births in the year was 16.87 million, with a birth rate of 12.37‰; the number of deaths was 9.77 million, with a death rate of 7.16‰; the natural growth rate was 5.21‰.
The number of people whose households have been separated nationwide is 298 million, of which 253 million are migrants.
When the population of a country or region is over 60 years old and accounts for 10% of the total population, or when the population over 65 years old accounts for 7% of the total population, it means that the population of this country or region is in an aging society.
The aging of the population has become more serious. The number of elderly people has exceeded 200 million. On November 29, 2015, five institutions including the Insurance Association of China and the Social Security Research Institute of the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security jointly released the "2015 China Employee Pension Reserve Index"
City Report".
The "Report" shows that my country's population aging has reached a relatively serious level.
Data from the sixth national census show that Hebei Province’s population aged 65 and above ranks 19th in the country with 5,919,726 people, accounting for 8.24% of the province’s total population①.
According to international practice, when the population aged 65 and above exceeds 7% of the total population, it is called an aging society.
Obviously, Hebei Province has entered an aging society.
Census results show that 26 provinces in my country have entered an aging society.
According to expert predictions, during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, the elderly population in Hebei Province will enter a stage of high growth at an average annual rate of more than 3%②.
This means that as one of the 26 aging provinces in the country, Hebei Province’s aging process is still accelerating.
As the capital of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang has a more obvious aging population.
According to relevant statistics from the Shijiazhuang Municipal Aging Working Committee, as of the end of 2011, the total population of Shijiazhuang was 9,972,927, and the number of elderly people over 60 years old was 1,467,116, accounting for 14.71% of the total population③.
As early as 1993, the ratio of the elderly to the total population in Shijiazhuang began to exceed 10%, entering an aging society, six years ahead of the rest of the country.
Shijiazhuang has entered a period of rapid aging development and is facing an increasingly severe situation of population aging.
China is the most populous country, and its population continues to expand, with an annual growth rate of 5.7 million.
On the one hand, the total population continues to grow, and on the other hand, the average life span of the population continues to extend. Population aging is an inevitable and increasingly serious social problem.
The China topic of the last issue of Allianz Group's "Demographic Change Report" shows that the ratio of China's retired population (population aged 60 and above) to working-age population (population aged 15 to 59) is approximately 19:100
.
Calculated based on China's current retirement age of 60 years, the turning point of the labor force will be highlighted in 2013. The working-age population between the ages of 15 and 59 will reach its peak, and then begin to enter the retirement wave. At that time, the social pension security system will face severe challenges.
Against the backdrop of accelerating urbanization and an increasingly aging population, the reform of China's social pension system appears to be a long and arduous task.
Experts say that as the first pillar, the reform of the social pension system with the goal of sustainability is the key.
The huge pressure of population aging is testing the government's ability to plan for elderly care.
According to statistics, as of the end of 2008, China had 37,623 various elderly welfare institutions and 2.45 million elderly care beds, accounting for only 1.5% of the elderly population over 60 years old. This is not only lower than the 5%-7% ratio in developed countries, but also lower.
Compared with the 2%-3% level in some developing countries.
In addition, in addition to ensuring the basic life of the elderly, elderly care also requires a large number of professional nursing services suitable for the elderly in many aspects such as psychology and medicine.
The development of elderly care in the future should see the elderly’s life security gradually become socialized. It is a general trend to transform family care into social care and be borne by the government.
Although institutional elderly care plays a supplementary role in China's elderly welfare service system, its role is considerable.
With the development of the economy and social progress, especially the aging of the population, the downsizing of families, and the urbanization of rural areas, the people's demand for elderly care services will be increasing, and the total number of existing elderly care facilities will be difficult to meet the growing demand.
pension needs.