in p>214, the global economy was under constant downward pressure, the trade growth was lower than the relatively sluggish economic growth, and economic globalization was facing severe challenges. During this G2 agenda seminar, member countries also looked forward to the complex situation facing the global economy in 215. Zhu Guangyao, Vice Minister of Finance of China, said at the meeting that the global economy in 215 is still full of uncertainty and complexity. Zhu Guangyao said: "We believe that the global economy is still full of challenges and the situation is uncertain and complicated. At the beginning of this year, the International Monetary Fund lowered the global economic growth forecast index from 3.8% to 3.5% again, which is the fourth consecutive time that the International Monetary Fund lowered this index since last year. This is an important challenge that the G2 and the world must face. These uncertainties and complex factors must be faced by G2 members, and they should choose the right macroeconomic policies to deal with them. "

Zhu Guangyao believes that the uncertainty of the global economy in 215 is first manifested in when the Federal Reserve will start the interest rate market normalization process, which has an important impact on the economic development of the United States and even the economic trend of the world; Secondly, the financial crisis in Greece in recent years has had a negative impact on the stability of the euro zone; Third, since the oil price dropped by more than 5% in 214, it is expected to remain at a low price in 215, and commodity prices will remain low. Finally, the geopolitical crisis has affected the regional economic development, and the Ukrainian crisis and western sanctions against Russia have all produced unstable factors in the regional and global economy.