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Is it reliable to buy funds with hot spot analysis?
Is it reliable to buy funds with hot spot analysis?

Faced with the dazzling market, many investors said that it was difficult to keep up with the pace, and they frequently encountered the dilemma of "Man Cang stepping on the air" or even "Man Cang falling". How can investors get rid of this embarrassment? Bian Xiao sorted it out here, whether it is reliable to buy hot funds, for your reference. I hope everyone will gain something in the reading process!

Chasing hot spots? Suggest calm down

In China, many people feel that since they have participated in the stock market, they often take a chance mentality-"take a chance and turn a bicycle into a motorcycle". It is said that one of the characteristics of A-share individual investors is that they like to follow the industry sector to chase hot spots, which can be called the "casino thinking" of stock market investment.

The increase of hot spots can bring benefits, but not by "chasing", but by seizing opportunities. If you don't explore investment opportunities through professional analysis and research, you just rush in when you see the heat, and it often gets cold when you touch it.

A brief statistics of the top three industry sectors in the week since this year will show that the short-term heat often comes and goes quickly. For example, the pharmaceutical sector, which rose first in the first half of the year, recently ranked last.

Let's talk about fund investment. Contrary to "casino thinking", the relationship between fund investors and funds is more suitable for "tool thinking": it gives full play to your skills on the basis of mastering the correct use methods, and you should understand the characteristics of different kinds of tools. In addition, a unique mutual achievement is needed-professional investment and research teams create long-term and stable investment returns for investors, and investors give enough trust to the fund.

Chasing market hotspots, especially investing in hotspots driven by events without fundamental support, is a heartbeat, and experienced veterans are estimated to be involved.

There are many ways to make money. If we want to choose, we should choose the one within our ability and with greater probability.

Last year, the market sector rotated obviously, first big consumption, then medicine, and then technology, which can give us a good reference.

If a fund manager with a medical or scientific theme grasps the wind, it at least shows that the fund manager still has certain strength.

So you can look at the fund rankings corresponding to the theme and lock the top funds first.

Then go and see how this fund performs in the near, medium and long term, and is it still outstanding among similar funds? Here, I would like to remind everyone in particular that we must pay attention to whether these good results are all managed by the current fund manager. If he just happened to "stand on the shoulders of giants", he ignored it for a while.

Finally, you can also look at the latest position structure of the fund to see whether the industry configuration and the top ten awkward stocks are concentrated in the industries you are optimistic about.

After the whole step, the fund you finally choose should not be bad.

How can hot spots switch too fast to make more profits with less losses?

Faced with the dazzling market, many investors said that it was difficult to keep up with the pace, and they frequently encountered the dilemma of "Man Cang stepping on the air" or even "Man Cang falling". How can investors get rid of this embarrassment?

1, if you want to lose less, you have to move less.

According to the current market, it is easy to see the plate that rose sharply the day before, and fell sharply the next day, and the theme rotated quickly. If you run behind the hot spots every day, it is easy to "eat noodles" every day, so be more patient at this time, don't trade in the day, and reduce the frequency of buying and selling funds. Otherwise, you will only fall into the trap of quick exchange and quick compensation.

As long as the funds you hold are in line with the main line of long-term investment in the market, such as consumption, medical care, etc., you may wish to be more "Buddhist" and more patient. Because from the historical data, the general trend of consumption and medicine is upward. I can't help it It is also suggested that under the premise of having enough spare money, it is also a way to invest on dips and reduce costs.

In short, it is to move less, not to chase up, not to kill down.

If you want to earn more, you should learn to distribute it evenly.

From the beginning of April to the end of June, the growth rate of consumption and growth sectors continued to be the highest, approaching 24% and 20% respectively. The cycle and financial industries performed poorly, and the growth rate was insufficient 10%.

However, the third quarter cycle and the financial sector rose strongly, and the increase once exceeded growth and consumption.

Since June 10, liquor and new energy vehicles have taken the lead.

When someone sees a balanced allocation, the first reaction may be to buy those whose valuations are low and have not yet risen. In fact, the industry configuration suggested by Bian Xiao is balanced, not to change industries.

How to balance the configuration?

More and more institutions predict that the future market style will be dominated by large-cap stocks, and small and medium-sized stocks driven by policies, events or performance will have trading opportunities and the market style will be more balanced.

For small partners who choose to invest in funds, it is recommended to match broad-based index funds and narrow-based index funds. That is, when the index fluctuates within a narrow range, the broad-based tracking index performance (such as CSI 300 and CSI 500) is used to balance the allocation of large and small index funds to prevent the unilateral impact caused by market style rotation, thus controlling the exit and risk of the portfolio; The role of a narrow base is to gain policy-driven opportunities, thereby increasing income.

3. Finally, listen to how the organization grasps the next investment opportunities.

Guosen Securities believes that the low valuation and pro-cyclical sectors in the second half of the year are relatively more cost-effective. First, from a fundamental point of view, with the sustained economic recovery, the low-valued pro-cyclical sector's earnings are relatively more flexible, and the improvement of earnings in the third quarter is in the forefront; Second, from the trading point of view, the latest data of the third quarterly report of the Fund shows that near the end of the year, the institutional positions are more balanced, and the layout of sectors such as cycle and consumption is increased, while the positions of sectors such as technology and medicine, which had higher gains in the previous period, have decreased.

The open source securities strategy team said that after entering 1 1, the layout of 202 1 will become the main focus of the market for some time. At this time, the financial sector (bank, insurance, real estate) will become the best choice: it can provide considerable income in the upward risk, provide protection in the downward, and ensure that investors get basic income under the neutral assumption. At the same time, open source securities also suggest paying attention to chemical industry (large-scale refining, titanium dioxide), nonferrous metals (copper, aluminum), container transportation, coal, household appliances, automobiles and construction machinery.

abstract

Investors are advised to have a "long-term" investment mentality. The longer you hold it, the more likely you are to get an ideal return, and the higher the probability of making money, and get rid of the curse of "the fund makes money and the people don't make money". Faced with the current market, some small partners are worried about buying at a high level, but they don't want to miss investment opportunities. They can allocate high-quality assets in batches through fixed investment, smooth the fluctuations over time, and expect a perfect smile curve ~

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