Not optimistic. It is a bear market now, and there is hope for a bull market only after the lifting of the ban. There is no bottom in the bear market. When rebounding from an oversold situation, reduce your position or ship goods on rallies to reduce losses. There is a risk that the market will continue to break down in a short period of time. It is recommended that

Hold money to avoid risks. It will definitely continue to fall, and it will continue to hit new bottoms after the oversold rebound in the bear market. This oscillating box that started on August 12 has lasted for 18 trading days, although it has experienced a rebound in the middle.

The big rise brought about by rumors, however, rumors are rumors. As the rumors were shattered, the market continued to fluctuate and fall. The hot money in the middle was less and less aggressive in bargain hunting, and the market continued to be suppressed by the moving average. The market fluctuated and fell, unable to break through. In the end, I chose

The gap broke, breaking the oscillatory box to a new low. If the market cannot break through with a huge amount of more than 110 billion and fill the gap, then the downward channel of the market will open, and this gap will become a new top.

In the pressure area, the market outlook will continue to reach new bottoms. The market has previously formed a supporting role at the 720-day line twice, but it still fell sharply below the level on August 8, opening the downward channel, and when the market moved near the 960-day line

It once fell, and later it surged 178 points because of hot money using rumors to push up the market. But the rumors were just rumors and did not come out. The 960-day line broke again and fell, and then went down. Now the 1440-day line, the 1800-day line, and the 2160-day line have been intertwined below.

Together, it has formed the strongest support area since 3300 (the short-term final support area is 2034~2150 points). However, if even this area fails to stand firm, the next support area below the market will drop to

It’s around 1400~1500 points.

In the short term, so-called positive rumors continue to circulate in the market, and there is a high probability that institutions will cooperate with shipments. Don't have too much hope in the government's policies. Investment is a rational activity and should not involve too many emotional factors. And the recent market situation

The net reduction of institutional positions in August announced on the Internet was nearly 20 billion.

According to the spirit of the recent relevant meeting of the Political Supervision Commission, it was revealed that the two bailout policies of margin trading and stock index futures that the market is looking forward to are still in the discussion stage. It is optimistically estimated that they will be on the right track in early 2009. The Chairman of the Political Supervision Commission once again said that the market

The problems should be solved by the market. Don’t expect policies to bail out the market when something goes wrong. That does not meet the government’s requirement for the stock market to become market-oriented. However, large and small problems are very huge and need to be reviewed by the State Council, not the Political Supervision Commission.

Just say it is prohibited. The Political Supervision Commission does not have this authority. Please follow the government’s policies when investing, and do not turn a blind eye to the government’s well-intentioned risk warnings. There are many good rumors in the market, mainly in the following aspects: 1. Securities Regulatory Commission”

"Second offering" solves the problem of large and small non-profits (Relevant people from the China Securities Regulatory Commission have stated that the secondary offering only breaks up the large and small non-profits and reduces the concentration of the lifting of the ban, and does not limit the lifting of the ban on large and small non-profits. At the same time, they said that restricting large and small non-profits is against the spirit of the share reform and the market.

The state will not restrict it. This news is a major negative. If any investors can understand it?) 2. Margin financing may be introduced after the Olympics (not confirmed) 3. JPMorgan Chase Gong Fangxiong said that the government will introduce a 100 billion level

Economic stimulus package (on Tuesday, the black mouth said that the so-called 100-billion-level economic stimulus package is only what he thinks the country should provide, and is not a plan or idea produced by the country. This rumor was also denied by Li Ka-shing, and he advised investors to face it rationally.

With the current market situation, he believes that the stock market will not be ideal until 2009, and investors should intervene with caution) 4. According to reliable information from senior people very close to the China Securities Regulatory Commission, it will be announced on 8/2* that the stamp duty will be adjusted to a two-way levy of 0.05% from now on.

(Not confirmed) 5. Suspension of approval for new stock listings for three months (Not confirmed) 6. The National Stabilization Fund will enter the market to rescue the market (the relevant spokesperson said that the stabilization fund has not yet been established, and the funding sources for the establishment are temporarily unavailable.

OK, so it is impossible to enter the market for a long time, medium negative) 7. The Political Supervision Commission organized a meeting of fund managers, and the key topic at the meeting was to rescue the market (but some managers attending the meeting said that the meeting did not talk about bailing out the market at all, and it was mainly about

Some issues on fund issuance) During the Red July market, there were countless good rumors, which brought about a small rebound driven by hot money, but what was the result? It was not until the end of August that the rumored good news came out. So it is stable.

Investors are advised to wait for the official announcement of good news before getting involved to make steady profits, and not to be fooled by hot money and institutions that lighten their positions. Every time a really good policy comes out, the government quietly enters the village, and there has never been one in advance.

In the case of Duo Yueqian's call, is it the institution creating rumors to facilitate shipments or is it really beneficial? Think about it more and then consider whether you want to intervene.

Fundamental investors will now also face bad news: 878 companies' semi-annual reports: Although earnings per share increased slightly by 1 cent, the growth rate has slowed down significantly, and net profit growth and cash flow have declined, with a drop of as much as 64.47%.

The decline in overall cash flow does not mean that cash flow in all industries has declined. For example, the cash flow in the extractive industry increased significantly year-on-year in the first half of the year.