There are140 thousand people living in the existing stock houses in the country, but there are still vacant houses in the city that cannot be sold for 12 years?

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Some cities do face great risks.

Lao Lei thinks the problem lies in the word "city".

The inventory situation in each city is different.

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For example, in Greater Bay Area, where Lao Lei is located, nine cities can be divided into four levels.

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The best ones are Shenzhen, Zhuhai and Dongguan, with low inventory.

The decontamination period is within 12 months.

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Followed by Guangzhou and Foshan, although the inventory area exceeds100000 ㎡,

However, the chemical removal cycle is only slightly higher than 12 months, which proves that the market confidence is good.

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More dangerous are Zhongshan, Jiangmen and Zhaoqing.

Although the inventory area is not high, the de-chemical cycle is too long, which proves that the market confidence is not good.

The motivation of subsequent real estate enterprises to take land and buyers to buy houses is estimated to be inferior to the previous two.

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The most dangerous place is Huizhou,

It "won" the champion in Greater Bay Area's inventory field,

The chemical cycle is only slightly lower than Zhaoqing, ranking second.

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I value cycle more than inventory.

Cities with high inventory but short chemical cycle,

This area is actually not the most dangerous.

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Because the short chemical cycle proves that the sales speed is fast,

The market is not too severe.

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On the contrary, low inventory but high chemical cycle is more dangerous.

It may be that housing enterprises have long realized the danger of slowing down or even stopping new construction.

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Of course, the most dangerous city is the city with high inventory and long chemical cycle.

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The reasons for vacant houses vary from city to city.

The nine cities in Greater Bay Area mentioned above are all first, second and third tier cities, and the situation will not be too serious.

Other small and medium-sized cities are different.

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For example, Qingyuan, which is near Guangzhou, has a stable chemical cycle of more than two years (24 months) and continues to rise.

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It proves that the confidence of the market is seriously insufficient, but due to the influx of some housing enterprises due to misjudgment in previous years,

As a result, the current sales speed can't keep up with the new construction speed.

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This is a typical city close to collapse.

The real estate industry is basically at a standstill, and the inventory has risen sharply;

The reason is generally because it "rose" in the early years, but it has not picked up since then.

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Slightly better, it is not close to first-and second-tier cities, and property prices have not been "speculated" in earlier years.

The market bubble is not big, and there are not many real estate enterprises that misjudged land acquisition in the early years.

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It is well known how many new houses can be sold every year, so the inventory will not rise too fast.

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According to this line of thinking, in fact, the outer suburbs of first-and second-tier cities are not safe, especially the new areas piled up in the future planning.

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