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How to treat the main capital inflow index?
How to treat the main capital inflow index _ notes for stock trading

If there is a main force flowing into the stock at a high level but the stock price falls, it means that the main force is shipping, with the intention of raising the stock price to lure investors into buying, and then throwing out their chips at a high level. The following is how to treat the main capital inflow indicators compiled by Bian Xiao, for reference only, hoping to help everyone.

Matters needing attention in stock trading

1, the whole-day trading volume of the stock list is the main fund, and it is also the favorite data tracked by retail investors. When the total amount of buying one, two, three, four and five is obviously greater than the total amount of selling one and five, it can be considered that the main force is buying. On the contrary, if the total amount sold is greater than that bought, it can be considered that the main force is selling, or changing dealers.

2. In the trading software, there are a lot of capital inflows and outflows. Generally, it is a net inflow of large funds, which can be positive or negative. Add up the orders bought more and subtract the orders sold more. If it is a positive number, it is considered that the main force is buying, and a negative number indicates that the main force is selling.

How to treat the main capital inflow index?

First, for ordinary retail investors, the simplest method is to subtract the number of hands in the internal market from the number of hands in the external market, and then multiply it by the average stock price of the day to get the net capital flow of the day. If the external disk is larger than the internal disk, it is a net inflow of funds. If the outer disk is smaller than the inner disk, it is a net outflow of funds.

Some stock technical analysis software may have more complicated calculation formulas and more comprehensive data, but the principle is the same, that is, according to the stock trading volume returned by the market, the inner disk and the outer disk are calculated and distinguished.

Second, when the stock price rises, the transaction is inflow, and when the stock price falls, the transaction is outflow. However, this calculation method is more complicated than the first method above. The following small series introduces the statistical method for everyone:

The 1. index is higher than the previous minute, and the turnover of this minute can be regarded as capital inflow, and vice versa. If the index hasn't changed, it doesn't count. Do a calculation every minute and a * * * calculation every day. Stock is the inflow and outflow of funds on the same day MINUS the net inflow of funds on the same day.

In this way, the trading volume of the index in the rising state is the power to push the index up, which can be defined as capital inflow, while the trading volume in the falling state is the power to push the index down, which is defined as capital outflow. The difference between the two is the net power to push the index up, so that the net capital inflow of the stock on that day can be calculated.

2. We calculate the capital inflow of buying and selling. When the price rises, it is counted as capital inflow and when the price falls, it is counted as capital outflow, and the difference between capital inflow and outflow on that day is calculated.

The same is true of stocks. Under normal circumstances, the volume of stock price rising in a period of time is regarded as inflow, and the volume of stock price falling in a period of time is regarded as outflow, and then the total net flow is counted.

In short, buying a fund is the same as selling a fund, that is, if you buy more actively within a certain minute, the stock price will go up. At this time, it is a net inflow of funds, while selling more actively, and the stock price goes down. This part is the net outflow of funds, and the main concern of stock trading is the main force. If the time is long and the amount of funds is large, you can follow up in time. If time is short and the amount of funds is small, we can.

The main inflow is more, but the stock price falls.

In fact, the data may not be false. The main capital inflows, why the stock price will fall? The key is to look at two points: first, what kind of main force is the main force flowing into the main capital; Second, look at what to do after the main capital inflows. The following is a detailed explanation.

Let's first look at what type of main force has made capital inflows. The main force is different from the "banker". Some institutions are the main force, but they rarely go to the village. For example, in Public Offering of Fund, some QFII and some securities firms tend to be optimistic about the long-term stock investment value of a stock when buying a stock, and will not move for a year, two years or even three to five years after buying it. Of course, when capital flows in, the stock price may rise briefly, but it won't be too big. After the main force buys, due to the decline in trading volume, and some retail investors and short-term hot money don't like the stocks held by Public Offering of Fund, they throw out their stocks one after another, which will cause a short-term decline in the stock price. Then, will stocks with capital inflows from private equity funds or other investment institutions definitely rise? It doesn't have to be like this. We will explain the next question in detail.

Second, it depends on what to do after the main capital inflows. First of all, pay attention to a problem: in most cases, institutions will not withdraw stock chips (that is, inject funds) when the stock price is high, but only withdraw funds at a low level or in a shock range. Then, will the stock price rise after the main fundraising? Obviously not. Since it is the main force, it is impossible to raise money only once, and often it will be raised two or three times or even more. Because of the large amount of main funds, more chips are needed.

Opening a warehouse is not completed in a day or two, but it takes a long process. As short as two or three months, as long as six months or even a year. As I said just now, the main force is unlikely to raise funds at a high level. Then, during the opening of the main position, although the funds continue to flow in, in order to ensure that they can absorb enough chips at a low level, the main force will continue to suppress the stock price through knocking in the process of absorption and absorb chips at a lower price. In addition, even if the main fund-raising is completed, some retail investors who are not determined to follow suit will be washed out by washing dishes. This is the fundamental reason why the stock price fell after seeing the main capital inflow.

So when we choose to hold a stock, we can't buy it when we see the main capital inflow. First, there may be a short-term risk of stock decline. Second, it is possible to enter a long waiting period, and the stock will not rise much in three or four months or even six months or even longer, wasting money. Instead, observe that the main funds are stationed and start holding shares after entering the pull-up period. To put it simply, it is not to do stocks in the period of institutional opening, but only to do stocks in the period of pulling up.

So, is there any way to judge that the main stock has been pulled up and entered the pull-up period? There are many methods, but none of them can guarantee the success of 100%. Because some institutions will conduct a trial run before pulling up, if they find that there are many follow-up disks, most of them will still take the method of re-pressing the disk to wash out the follow-up disks.