1. Characteristics of shrinkage decline: Although the traffic volume has decreased, the traffic volume will occasionally increase. If the stock price falls by more than 20%, the dealer may have shipped the goods. After shipment, the K-line shape will show signs of fracture, and the strength of the support level will be obviously weakened, so shadow lines often appear. Therefore, after the main funds are shipped, it is less likely that the stock price of retail investors will rise in the future, so it is best not to intervene. If the trading volume decreases and the price falls, but the decline can stop at the support level, and the low point of this round of adjustment is higher than the low point of last year's adjustment, the stock can continue to hold. If it can't stop falling and stabilize near the support level (such as the 30 th and 60 th lines), the stock will be sold if it continues to explore. For example, at the beginning of June, 2009, 5438+February, the amount of traditional Chinese medicine shrank after it was pulled up, but it could not stop falling on the 30th line, fell below the 60th line after a slight rebound, and then fell all the way until new funds entered the market. It is also very important to see whether there are good expectations for future stocks.
2. If the performance expectation is significantly improved, it is mainly a cleaning. There will be strong support below, and you can add positions on dips! First of all, this means that the fund's position is overweight. To a certain extent, the fund's shareholding ratio is close to the last market high of about 6000 points; Secondly, this means that the ammunition of the fund is limited, and it is in a state of surplus but insufficient strength. It is impossible to expect institutional funds to further push up the index in the short term; Third, the fund's position will be so large, of course, because it is optimistic about the future market performance. Although institutional optimism is reasonable in the long run, it is precisely because they are too optimistic that it will have an impact in the short term.