It is difficult for A-shares to reach 10,000 points. Now more than 3,000 points is a market value of 70 trillion. If it rises three times, it will be a market value of 200 trillion. Then the financial capital bubble is too serious, not to mention that listed companies are still

It is constantly increasing, which is unreasonable. If it takes decades to go up, no one can guarantee that it will not reach 10,000 points. After all, GDP is increasing. As long as GDP increases, it will bring market capital capacity.

, will promote the rise of the stock market, but this process will be very long and will have ups and downs. It is very clear if you look at the historical trend of A shares.

There is no doubt that it will rise in the future, but it will take decades to rise. The stock market is not a speculative market in principle, it is just a speculative market. Maybe a person will not encounter three big events in his entire stock market life.

In a bull market, it is still possible to encounter it once.

This trend chart has far-reaching meaning, and it does not come from chasing ups and downs every day.

The benevolent sees benevolence and the wise see wisdom. Look at problems from different angles. Everyone has their own different opinions. Only when you step out can you know whether it is right or wrong.

A shares will not go up to 10,000 points, but can go up to 10,000 listed companies, so A shares will always fluctuate around 3,000 points!

why would you say so?

This is because: 1. Risks will arise when there is an increase. How much weight does it take to increase 10,000 points by how many times?

This year it has only reached 3458 points, and there have been various suppressions and various reductions in holdings, and the index can only fall.

If A-shares rise too much, they will be considered too risky, and the villagers are worried that there will be a crazy bull market like the one in 15 years.

At that time, the Mad Bull index started to plummet when it reached more than 6,000 points. If it reached 10,000 points, it would need to be even crazier than the Mad Bull at that time, and even require various policy incentives.

Therefore, 10,000 points is impossible, and some people think that 3,500 points is too risky.

2. The issuance of new shares is too fast. The current stock market is about to be fully registered. The purpose is not to make the stock market rise. The index is too high and is not conducive to the issuance of new shares.

There are only over 4,000 listed companies now, and the comprehensive registration system has not yet been implemented.

When the comprehensive registration system begins, there may be tens of thousands of listed companies, and the index is unlikely to rise.

Solving the IPO barrier lake problem and allowing more companies to go public is the purpose of establishing a stock market, as long as the issuance of new shares can be completed.

3. Financing market and policy market A shares are a typical financing market and policy market.

The financing market is to take money away from the stock market, and now various reductions in holdings, etc., have led to the increasing speed and amount of money being taken away.

In addition, policies are not necessarily good policies, and it is impossible for the stock market to grow wildly, and systemic risks will arise.

People in the domestic stock market like to make quick money in the short term, including social security, funds, institutions, etc. They will not invest in a stock for decades like foreign countries, even if it is a value investment!

In short, there are some reasons. Everyone knows that 10,000 points is an ideal state. No one is willing to take such a risk, so A shares can only float around 3,000 points, which can accomplish a lot of things!

What do you think?

OK!

However, a certain period of time must be given, and it is best to hope for the next round of bull market or in the next round of bull market.

The reason is very simple: 1. The bottom area of ??A-shares is constantly improving, such as the original 325 points, 998 points, 1849 points, and now 2440 points.

Then, the advantage brought by the continuous improvement of the bottom is that the probability of breaking through 10,000 points increases.

When the bottom reaches 3,000 points, 4,000 points, or even 5,000 points one day in the future, it will not be difficult to break through 10,000 points.

2. A big bull market is needed!

Judging from historical rules, every large-scale bull market will have room for the index to increase by more than 2-3 times.

Just like 325 points rose to 2245 points, the index doubled nearly 7 times; Just like 998 points rose to 6124 points, the index doubled nearly 6 times; Just like 1849 points rose to 5178 points, the index doubled 2.8 times; Then, if

Calculated based on 2,440 points, this bull market is at least a bull market of over 5,000 points. However, if you want to reach 10,000 points, you need to have an increase of more than 4 times, which is a bit difficult.

3. Survival of the fittest after the registration system, and revision of the index.