It is now early June and China has entered the rainy season, which means that large-scale heavy rainfall in southern China will gradually increase.
Moreover, the current wave of heavy rainfall covers a very wide area, covering at least ten provinces.
Moreover, the accumulated rainfall in some areas of these provinces is unprecedented and is expected to be more than 400 millimeters. This is the first wave of heavy rainfall in southern provinces since the beginning of summer 2020. Friends in the south have already prepared for rainy days and begun to deal with it.
So, will there be precipitation in Henan and Anhui provinces, which are in drought areas? What is the amount of precipitation? Will the drought situation since May be alleviated?
Southern Anhui has abundant rainfall, while most of Henan is still dry. Judging from the current weather conditions, the south is still drinking the rain while the north sits and watches.
Specifically, there is sufficient rainfall in the south and insufficient rainfall in the north. At best, Henan and Anhui will experience local, short-term heavy rainfall after strong convective weather occurs. As for continuous rain, Henan and Anhui will not occur.
According to meteorological data from the Central Meteorological Observatory, it is expected that in early June, there will be obvious short-term heavy rainfall in five provinces and cities including eastern Hebei, Beijing, Tianjin, southern Liaoning, and central and northern Shandong. At the same time, the above-mentioned parts
The region will also be accompanied by strong winds or hail of magnitude 8-10, so the summer weather in the north is also unpredictable.
In addition to the above-mentioned northern regions, short-term heavy rainfall will also be encountered in eight provinces, including parts of Qinghai, Chongqing, Hunan, Jiangxi, Fujian, Guizhou, Guangxi, and Guangdong.
Therefore, this rain is fierce and powerful. It not only covers a wide area, but also has high intensity.
However, the two provinces of Anhui and Henan that we are concerned about have become a paradise. From the weather forecast of CCTV, Henan has almost no chance of rainfall and is a bystander.
Most areas in Anhui are relatively lucky. Although this large-scale rainfall is concentrated in the southern part of the Yangtze River Basin, Anhui is not as pitiful as Henan. At least there will be rain in southern Anhui. It can be seen from the basic rainfall that Anhui Province
One-half of the area may experience widespread rainfall in early June.
Among them, the maximum accumulated rainfall will reach 200 mm and 400 mm per month. In some areas, the rainfall is even greater, reaching 100 mm and 200 mm on average.
But when southern Anhui welcomes the rain, northern Anhui can only watch helplessly, because in early June, there is basically no rain in northern Anhui, and this rain will pass by.
Moreover, when forecasting the weather, the Central Meteorological Observatory specifically reminded that geological disasters may occur in southern Anhui. Therefore, we can judge that Anhui has more rainfall than Henan, and the rainfall is not at the same level.
Henan and Anhui have had no rainfall for a long time. If we look at the meteorological data, we can easily see that there is very little rain in Henan. At least for a month, there has been no decent rainfall in the province. It is only local, short-term sporadic light rain, and the patter.
Even if there is decent rainfall, it is in the range of 10 mm to 50 mm. If you look at the precipitation in Henan in late May, it is even less optimistic. There is almost no large-scale rainfall.
According to meteorological data, the precipitation in Henan during this period is only 0.1 mm to 10 mm, while the rainfall in northern Anhui is also pitiful.
In comparison, southern Anhui is relatively lucky, with precipitation ranging from 100 mm to 200 mm. So overall, compared with Henan, Anhui has more precipitation on average, while Henan has less precipitation on average.
So generally speaking, the entire province of Henan is in a state of drought, half of Anhui Province is in a drought area, and most of Henan and parts of Anhui are still in severe drought.
From this year's rain distribution trend chart, we can easily see that rainfall is more at the north and south ends and less at the middle, so the distribution of rain is uneven, as has been the case over the years.
To sum up, most of Henan and northern Anhui are unlikely to experience widespread rainfall in the next half month and will still remain dry. According to historical experience, the above areas will not usher in real drought until July.
rainy season.
However, the Huanghuai region, that is, most of northern Anhui and Henan, is currently undergoing intense wheat harvest. Too much rainfall will not help the summer harvest.
We still have to wait patiently. Whether it will rain or not depends on future weather trends.