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The gambler’s mentality is ultimately buried in the tea market! Pu'er tea, a financial black hole that can never be filled

Recently, due to the depreciation of the US dollar, Bitcoin has surged, with one Bitcoin costing 219,000 yuan. Many people are slapping themselves with red eyes. Why don't they buy Bitcoin when it is 3,000 yuan in the near future? They just miss an opportunity to get rich.

With this gambler’s mentality, tea is the most skillful game. In 2003, the six-star peacock of the class chapter was sold for 48.5 million.

That’s right, a piece of tea costs 48.5 million yuan. This is a super big gamble. The bet was won, and the three were poorer and the five were richer. The bet was lost, and overnight, he was in debt and his wife and children were separated.

- 01 -

The past and present life of Fangcun Tea Market

The most proficient player in tea finance is Guangzhou Fangcun, the legendary Tea Wall Street.

Here, no matter what kind of tea you want, no matter what price you want, it is all available. Fangcun’s tea leaves will last a lifetime. However, in Fangcun, many people have forgotten that tea was originally used for drinking.

Fangcun’s current status is due to 60 years of accumulation.

In 1956, the Central Ministry of Light Industry invested in the construction of Baihua Spice Factory, located in Fangcun. At that time, Fangcun mainly produced jasmine spices.

Some of these jasmine flowers are supplied to spice factories, and some are used to exchange flowers for food from other places. However, there were only two spice factories in the country at that time, one in Fangcun and one in Yunnan.

With endless jasmine flowers, the fast-thinking Fangcun people came up with a new way to combine it with locally grown green tea, and Fangcun Jasmine Tea was born.

Within a few years, Fangcun’s jasmine tea became as famous as spices (tea was quite scarce at the time).

People from Guangning, Guangdong heard that Fangcun tea was famous, so they went to Fangcun to open a workshop, transported Guangning tea to Fangcun, processed it into jasmine tea, and then sold it to the north, Hong Kong and Macao.

At that time, there were approximately 120 jasmine tea workshops. Today, Fangcun tea business has been in business for 60 years. It can be said that the jasmine tea business laid the foundation for Fangcun’s current status in the world.

In the 1980s, tea bosses from Zhejiang, Yunnan, Fujian and other parts of the country came to Fangcun to do business. Black tea, green tea and all kinds of tea were gathered in Fangcun.

At this time, most of the tea bosses in Fangcun were tea farmers. They used to make tea by themselves and sell it to tea merchants. One day, an idea came to them: Why should we sell to tea merchants? There is no middleman and we can make the difference by ourselves. , isn’t it better?

The tea farmers went to Fangcun, registered the trademark and opened a store. In addition, Guangzhou has the habit of drinking morning tea. In the 1980s, the trend of thought surged, various teahouses grew rapidly, and the tea business was booming.

As the tea business in Fangcun boomed, people from other places traveled thousands of miles to Fangcun to sell their tea. (In the past few years, Yunnan tea bosses and tea farmers would do this.)

In this way, the Fangcun tea market took shape. Fangcun, which is developing and growing, is still waiting for opportunities.

- 02 -

Fangcun, Pu’er Tea Carnival

In the 1990s, the planned economy transformed into a market economy, and Taiwanese came to the mainland to open factories.

Although the factory operation of these Taiwanese workers is not very good, and the treatment is only better than that of black factories, they always look superior to mainlanders (it is the same now, they are still living in the dream of the 1990s) .

However, the Taiwanese brought to Fangcun a tea table, tea art, a set of tea drinking habits, as well as standardization of tea, and the most important Pu'er tea.

It can be said that Fangcun made Pu'er tea popular, and Pu'er tea established Fangcun's status as a financial center. In the past 20 years, the financialization of Fangcun Pu'er tea can be divided into three stages.

The first stage: the era of Hong Kong and Taiwan businessmen becoming more and more fragrant

Under the control of Hong Kong and Taiwan businessmen, Pu'er tea made its debut in Fangcun, Guangzhou! This is the most successful hype the tea industry has ever seen.

In 1999, Taiwan Pu'er tea collapsed. Businessmen from Hong Kong and Taiwan brought old tea to Fangcun. Tea merchants in Fujian and Jiangsu and Zhejiang also took notice, and the wave of speculation about Pu'er tea started again.

Before the show starts, let’s do a game first and go around Yunnan. I find that Yunnan people have no impression of Pu’er tea at all, and they recycle the old tea from Yunnan tea farmers at a low price. In case you want to buy it later What should I do if I come out to stir up trouble?

After recycling the old tea, I was still worried. There were still enterprises. At that time, the state-owned tea factory looked at the bustling world outside, but the tea factory itself was starving to death.

Hong Kong and Taiwan capital followed the trend and took control of the tea factory at the time at a low price. The old tea was recycled and the tea factory was controlled, which was completed in 2003-2004.

Subsequently, the auction created gods, and experts and scholars studied the magical effects of Pu'er tea and promoted tea culture.

In 2004, Lu Xun's son Zhou Haiying's 3 grams of Pu'er tea paste sold for a high price of 12,000, which shocked the tea market. It turns out that Pu'er tea is so valuable.

Various Taiwanese Pu'er tea masters began to appear on stage to promote Pu'er tea culture. Mainland friends applauded in the audience and passed the news one after another, praising Pu'er tea.

In the 2005 caravan incident in Beijing, Yunnan people led horses and carried Pu'er tea on their backs, appearing on the streets of the imperial capital and appearing in the news, promoting Pu'er tea to the whole country.

In 2006, 3,000 cakes of Pu'er tea traveled around the world on a European cruise ship, which opened the eyes of melon eaters to see how popular Pu'er tea can be.

Immediately, the steel boss switched to Pu'er tea, and the mine boss in Yunnan also invested in Pu'er tea. The team that used to pull coal to make a living pulled out a map of Yunnan from somewhere and planned to go to the tea mountains to make Pu'er tea. .

From 2003 to 2006, under the crazy momentum, about 20 billion private capital entered Pu'er tea. Companies in Yunnan that make scented tea and green tea have also switched to making Pu'er tea. There have been thousands more Pu'er tea companies in recent years.

These newly made tea leaves are continuously brought to tea warehouses in Guangzhou, Dongguan and other places. The dealers keep all the profits made.

However, the market at that time was like a blank sheet of paper, and Pu'er tea was in short supply. As long as it was Pu'er tea, people would buy it. At one time, it was so crazy that all the Pu'er tea that had been brewed was dried and steamed until soft. Re-press it into cakes and sell them.

In early 2007, Pu'er tea entered a crazy state. Pu'er tea in Fangcun Tea Market was promoted to the altar, and the price of some varieties increased a thousand times.

In the Fangcun tea market, some people made hundreds of thousands or millions in one day, and the crazy return on investment was a hundred times, which made the entire Fangcun red-eyed. Pu'er tea was everywhere in the city, and they completely lost their rationality.

At the same time, large manufacturers are frantically raising prices while driving to teahouses they control to collect tea, creating the illusion that Pu'er tea is in short supply. Just to attract more melon-eating people into Pu’er tea.

laymen also went to Fangcun. In order to stock up, some people put their life savings on Pu'er tea. Because large manufacturers strictly control shipments, Pu'er tea is hard to find.

Many people changed hands several times, giving the money to the tea boss, exchanging it for tea and taking it back to the newly rented warehouse. Looking at the warehouse full of Pu'er tea, I seem to see golden gold.

However, when the dealers raised the price of tea and made the people buy tea like crazy and wait to get rich, the dealers were preparing to sell the goods. The dealers sold the goods, and the big dealers followed suit. People who have no first-hand information still buy and buy.

The Pu'er tea market began to sell goods. In June 2007, the big-name raw cakes in Fangcun Tea Market began to plummet, and then the whole industry was implicated, and Pu'er tea collapsed. Many people spent their whole life buying Pu'er tea without waiting to make a fortune. Until now, those tea leaves are still lying peacefully in the warehouse.

The Hong Kong and Taiwan businessmen patted their butts and ran away.

The second stage: the ancient pure era of Mingshan

Although Pu'er tea collapsed in 2007, Fangcun will never be depressed because of it. There are more than 10,000 tea shops in Fangcun, and most of the tea owners I have been tea speculators, recovered for a while, and immediately started speculating again. Although I have learned lessons from the crash, tea speculators can make money quickly.

At this time, Pu'er tea began to create a new concept, famous mountains and ancient pure materials, famous mountains and villages, and ancient trees pure materials. The general meaning is that Pu'er tea can become more fragrant as it ages. Only ancient tree tea is high-end and "healthier" to drink. Ancient tree tea from famous villages is a symbol of status.

After ten years of speculation, Mingshan Ancient Tree Tea has been speculated to produce Yunnan Tea Mountain Laobanzhang, Iceland and other famous ancient tree teas. Compared with 20 years ago, the price has increased thousands of times.

In 2000, tea in Lao Banzhang was 3 yuan/kg, but now it is 12,000 yuan/kg; tea in Iceland is now 40,000 yuan/kg, and in 10 years, the price has increased 1,500 times.

At the same time, many brands have also been launched. In 2007, there were only a handful of Pu'er tea brands. Nowadays, many popular brands emerged after 2007.

There are two types of brands. One type is those who sell tea from ancient trees honestly. Most of these people are tea dealers in Yunnan. Nowadays, they sell tea in their own small circles and have a hard time living.

The other type, that is, many big brands today, use Fangcun and the concept of ancient tree tea to take advantage of the situation to speculate. These brands, at the beginning, did not make tea in the place of origin, but kept opening stores in Fangcun.

As long as Fangcun accepts this brand, it means that the brand is half successful and already has collection value. Fangcun can quickly promote a brand to a high level of taste.

In 2013, famous mountains and ancient trees entered a period of intense speculation. There are many new teas available ranging from several hundred yuan per cake, to thousands of yuan per cake, or even tens of thousands of yuan per cake.

A piece of new tea, whether it costs tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands, will be digested by Fangcun immediately, and many manufacturers cannot even keep up with the supply. On the tea mountain, as long as it is tea from ancient trees, there is absolutely no need to worry about selling it. Many people make a lot of money.

However, in 2014, the concept of ancient tree tea suddenly fell, driving many speculators back to before liberation overnight.

In 2014, many emerging brands were hit hard and have now collapsed. There are just a few big names that have risen with the help of Fangcun.

As for the unsold ancient tree teas that have been driven up by prices, most of them are still piled in the warehouses of tea merchants of all sizes. No one knows when they will be sold out.

The third stage: the era of big-name finance

If businessmen from Hong Kong and Taiwan promote Pu'er tea to the whole country, Mingshan Guchun has enriched a group of tea farmers and found tea for thousands of small and medium-sized enterprises. found a way to survive. So, the big-name Pu'er tea in the financial era is completely a gambler.

After being addicted to ancient tree tea for two years, Pu'er tea has once again been revived with full blood. Big-name tea is ready. Coupled with the national macro-control, many speculators have taken a fancy to Pu'er tea.

In April 2016, the leader has long been eyeing online direct sales. 500 pieces of cooked tea were sold at a price of 6,000 yuan per piece; on April 18, 1,200 pieces of raw tea were sold at a price of 8,000 yuan. On sale at the price of /piece.

Futures continue to refresh prices. At the beginning of 2017, at the Fangcun Tea Market, the price of a set of raw and cooked tea exceeded 300,000. Many people were so angry that they slapped themselves in the face. Why did they sell it so early?

There have always been gamblers, but there have been particularly many in recent years. In 2013, Fangcun tea merchant Wang bet on 1301's 7742 at a price of 12,000, investing hundreds of thousands in one day. By the time of the ancient tree tea crisis in 2014, the price had dropped by more than half.

At this point, Wang was unwilling to give up and said: I mainly made a wrong bet. If I had spent hundreds of thousands to buy 101... now I can earn four to five million. In 2012, one piece only costs 8,000 yuan, now it has increased to more than 200,000 yuan.

Today’s big-name financial tea has been speculated into futures (the gap period between the manufacturer announcing the sale and the arrival of the goods in the market). Usually, Fangcun's futures are 5 days/10 days/15 days, and no more than one month.

Speculators buy and sell during this period. In this short period of one month, there are only two ways, to get rich instantly or to lose everything. Whether to make a profit or to lose money will be determined at the time of delivery.

What’s even more magical is that this kind of gambling is so crazy that it’s nothing. In 2019, Canghai New Tea was released. Speculators collected money to gamble on the goods. Before they got the goods, they issued an IOU to the buyer first. The buyer had to pay immediately and was not allowed to default. In this way, the buyer could not inspect the goods, and the speculators used it. A cardboard box can scare people.

At Fangcun Tea Market, even cardboard boxes have become a hot commodity. A box containing tea can be sold for 6,000 yuan (yes, it is a box).

In Fangcun, there is no shortage of speculative gamblers: they are short selling a certain type of tea. When I didn't get the goods, I signed a sales price with the next buyer for 15,000 yuan. As a result, when the tea arrived, the price rose to 35,000 yuan.

A loss of 20,000 yuan per item, and 300 items is a huge black hole. If you can’t bear it, you can only run away.

However, many people do not understand the truth behind fried tea at all, and just want to make a fortune through speculation. They have experienced the madness of buying for 100,000 and selling for 1 million, and the pain of buying for 1 million instead of buying for 100,000.

Don’t laugh at these people for being stupid. Too many people only regret that they got on the bus too late. At Fangcun Tea Market, the price is one per day, no matter day or night, some people cry and some revel.

From day to night, some people get rich overnight here; from night to day, some people lose their fortune and their wives and children are separated.

Compared with a small Bitcoin, Tea Finance is more like a bottomless black hole!

Write at the end:

A cup of Pu'er leads to two paths. A cup of drink can comfort life; a piece of finance attracts countless gamblers.

If you want to drink tea well, stay away from Pu'er finance; gamblers who want to make a quick buck will not discover the charm of Pu'er tea.

Tasting and finance, neither should we devalue Pu’er tea’s drinking attributes because of its financial attributes, which have caused countless gamblers to lose their fortunes. Nor should we imagine that the value of Pu'er tea will increase just because it gets more fragrant with age.

Pu'er is innocent, but the magic is the human heart.

Pu'er tea, different ways do not conspire against each other

Pu'er tea, drinking and finance, although they have the same roots, they have different ways and do not conspire against each other.

Some people drink Pu'er tea and find the spiritual sustenance of life in a cup of tea. Among thousands of teas in China, they find Pu'er tea with excellent aroma, taste, sweetness and production of body fluids. After picking up the Pu'er tea cup, you can never put it down again. This is the fascinating part of drinking Pu'er tea.

Some people play tea finance and get used to the tricks of fate in Fangcun, and become crazy gamblers. Once you lose money by gambling on tea, you will be a financial slave for the rest of your life.

Gamblers, gamble and cherish it

Fried tea is like taking drugs. Once you take the first sip, you will never stop. Winning a bet, getting quick money, and the deep excitement will make people lose themselves. After being intoxicated, I wanted to get a bigger one and kept betting.

Tea frying is a big gamble. You can make money quickly and lose money quickly. Some people are unknown and become rich instantly. Some people have tens of millions of dollars, but lose all their money overnight. Behind the unexpected fortunes made by a few people, there are countless families broken up and bloodshed overnight.

When gambling, you will lose nine times out of ten. If you lose too much, you will want to find more money to recover the loss. You will sell your house and car to get a mortgage, and you will put all your hopes on it to recover the loss. If you lose again, you will not be able to recover the loss. He got pregnant and forced himself into a desperate situation of gambling, either jumping off a building or committing a crime.

The easier it is to get something, the easier it is to lose; the more hard-earned something is, the longer it lasts.

When crazy gamblers brag to you about how much money they make from tea frying, you just quietly make a cup of Pu'er.

Smile and say: Congratulations!

That’s it!