★ A short story to see through the economic crisis★

Read the following short story to fully understand how the economic crisis came about in 3 minutes:

Once upon a time there were two countries: A country of textiles and a country of airplanes. The textile country has a population of 100 million who can weave and make clothes, with an annual output of 200 million pairs of trousers. The Aircraft Country also has a population of 100 million. Not only can they weave, they can also build airplanes, with an annual output of 200 million pairs of trousers and ten airplanes.

The textile country has to sell 100 million pairs of trousers to the aircraft country before it can buy back an airplane. After the trade between the two countries, the social wealth is distributed as follows: the textile country owns 100 million pairs of trousers and one airplane, and the aircraft country owns 300 million pairs of trousers and nine airplanes. In textile countries, one person can only wear one pair of pants a year, and 100 million people can only squeeze into one plane. As for the airplane country, a person can wear three pairs of pants a year and ride on nine airplanes at will. It is cheaper than the people in the textile country to take the train! The people of the two countries have put in the same work and sweat, and the per capita wealth of the aircraft country is actually 3-5 times that of the textile country.

In the second year, Aircraft Nation changed its strategy and decided not to produce pants, because they found that as long as they sold a few more airplanes, they could buy hundreds of millions of pairs of pants, enough for people across the country. From then on, the people in the airplane country were liberated. They went to bars every day, went abroad for vacations, drank coffee, and invested in textile countries. . . . . . As for the people in the textile country, in order to make more money, they work more than ten hours a day to produce more trousers: 300 million pairs of trousers, 400 million pairs of trousers, and sell them to the airplane country to earn a pitiful living expenses.

The lives of ordinary people in the Airplane Country are becoming more and more prosperous, the working hours are getting shorter and shorter, there are fewer and fewer workers, the time to drink coffee is getting longer and longer, and the tourism, entertainment and service industries are developed. However, people in textile countries work longer and longer hours and have almost no time to drink coffee. The entertainment industry and service industry both serve a small number of wealthy people.

A few years have passed, and the Airplane Country has become increasingly wealthy. Even poor people and even homeless people can easily afford luxury houses. There is so much money, but the Textile Country continues to produce pants. , is almost producing 1 billion pairs of trousers per year. The aircraft country is facing a crisis. It is facing a crisis of too much money. No matter how much money you have, you can't just buy all the trousers. There is too much money to spend.

The judge may be confused. Is there a danger if there is too much money? Of course, having tens of trillions of dollars in the bank is not a good thing for bankers. He has to find a way to lend it out to make money, otherwise he has to pay interest. There is no way. Bankers are trying their best to encourage companies and people to take loans, and encourage the poor and homeless to take out loans to buy houses. There is no way, it is uncomfortable to have a lot of money. As a result, real estate rose first and then fell. Some poor people could not afford to repay their loans, so they simply sold their mansions for one yuan and moved back to luxury rental houses.

The more textile countries export, the poorer they become. Doesn’t the official understand it even more? The textile country did not become rich because of exports, but it made the aircraft country richer and richer. Because it sold more than 50% of the goods produced in its own country to other countries in exchange for 50-10% of the goods of other countries, the result was that the aircraft country became richer. Oil, textile countries are still living at the bottom, and the ones who suffer the most are the textile countries that trade more for less.

Textile countries are facing a greater crisis. They don’t make much money from exporting trousers, only 1-2 yuan for a pair of trousers. Once the aircraft country reduces imports, it will directly lead to countless people in the textile countries being laid off and unemployed.

This short story tells the top secret of the economic crisis: without high-tech industries and relying on an export economy that trades more for less, the more exports make the poorer, it is one of the crises that creates the polarization between rich and poor countries. source!

Only when a country masters high-tech products that others do not have, can it truly become a powerful and wealthy country, allowing other countries to work for itself instead of making wedding dresses for other countries.

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No. 1 reply: Recommended to participate in the discussion

Author: Yan Yan Lie Sun on 2008-12-29 09:51:35.0 Posted from: Send a short message

★ The secret of the Tang Dynasty becoming the world's most powerful country: Silk ★

Why was China’s Tang Dynasty so prosperous and powerful? Hundreds of nations worship? Because there was silk in the Tang Dynasty!

In order to obtain Chinese silk, in an era before airplanes, trains, and automobiles, businessmen from all over the world traveled thousands of miles on camels, and forcibly stepped out of tens of thousands of miles of desert and Gobi to create a silk road. Road, exchange their country's most precious gold, jewelry, and jade for a few pieces of silk, and you can make a fortune by taking them back home. The Tang Dynasty was not only prosperous and powerful, but also famous all over the world.

China sold silk, tea, and porcelain to merchants from various countries in exchange for large amounts of gold and silver, resulting in a huge trade surplus in the ancient global economy. The Tang Dynasty was the economic center of the world at that time. European and Japanese models of modest learning.

Silk fabric technology has been monopolized by China for hundreds of years. Ancient Chinese dynasties have always strictly controlled the spread of technology in the silk weaving industry and sericulture, and prohibited their flow to foreign countries. The Tang Dynasty was the heyday of silk production, with output, quality and variety reaching unprecedented levels. Silk production organizations are divided into three types: palace handicraft industry, rural side industry and independent handicraft industry. The scale has been greatly expanded compared with the previous generation. At the same time, the foreign trade of silk has also developed tremendously. Not only has the number of "Silk Road" channels increased to three, but the frequency of trade has also increased unprecedentedly. The production and trade of silk made a huge contribution to the prosperity of the Tang Dynasty.

Look at what American middle school history books say about the trade issues between China and the West: The book says that as early as the Han Dynasty in China, the "Silk Road", an important channel for east-west trade, gradually took shape. The Han Dynasty transferred a large number of expensive of silk exported to West Asia. To protect the silk trade, the Chinese kept the silk-making process secret. China's rulers have always strictly restricted foreign merchants and only allowed them to operate in Guangzhou. China sold them silk, tea, and porcelain, but in exchange they got a lot of gold and silver, resulting in a huge trade surplus. In 1793, the British asked for increased trade rights, but Emperor Qianlong refused. He said: "I can't find anything in the West that China can use."

The Han and Tang dynasties obtained silk trade The unprecedented prosperity of the economy was due to the introduction of foreign grapes, figs, cucumbers, and walnuts from West Asia to China through the Silk Road. The Italian businessman Marco Polo came to China in 1271, and then Zheng He's voyages to the West brought back giraffes from Africa. The book is full of ink. . The book excerpts the description of Kublai Khan's palace from "The Travels of Marco Polo": "The roof of the palace is very high, the halls are inlaid with gold and silver, and the walls are carved with dragons, birds, herders, various beasts, and battle scenes. On the ceiling The same is true, everything is filled with gold and pictures. The hall is very wide and long, and can accommodate a banquet of 6,000 people. This shows how prosperous China was at that time, far exceeding the economic level of other countries in the world at that time.

Because the Tang Dynasty and Song Dynasty always led the world in selling high-tech products around the world: silk and porcelain. From the 17th to the mid-18th century, the whole of Europe and even Russia set off a "China fever". At that time, China was elected as a "model civilization" by the whole world. At that time, China's influence on the West was far greater than the West's influence on China.

History has proven that only by monopolizing high technology that other countries do not have can a country achieve real economic prosperity and strength, and it will naturally become a "model civilization" that is envied by the whole world.

If Zhang Wuchang "Economists" like Li Yining returned to the Tang Dynasty and offered advice to the court, advocating that silk should be used as a "world factory and introduce foreign investment." What would happen to the development of the Tang Dynasty? Within a few years, it was discovered that silk technology was leaked. Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia all began to produce silk on a large scale. The Tang Dynasty tried its best to increase silk production, but the international price of silk became lower and lower. Originally, a pound of silk could be sold for a pound of gold. , and finally fell to a pound of silver, a pound of copper, and a pound of iron.

Silk clothes that were originally only affordable to European royal families, nobles, and wealthy businessmen eventually became street stall items that even African refugees could afford. The Tang Dynasty mobilized the people across the country to produce silk frantically, but they found that they were getting poorer and poorer, and the profits of silk were reduced to almost no money. In 10-20 years, the overflow of silk caused an economic crisis in the world, and the world no longer needed so much silk. The Tang Dynasty A large number of silk factories in the Tang Dynasty closed down and workers lost their jobs, but the rich were the people all over the world. People all over the world had silk clothes to wear. Even the beggars on the roadside wore silk trousers. The unemployed people of the Tang Dynasty themselves could not necessarily afford to wear silk. .

This is real economics. . . . . .

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Author: Yan Yan Lie Sun in 2008 -12-29 09:51:52.0 Posted from: Send a message

★ Japan’s road to becoming a powerful country ★

Before World War II, Japan was the world’s largest textile industry power. After World War II, it transformed into manufacturing. A big industrial country, it transformed into a high-tech country in the 1960s and 1970s. In other words, China is still stuck in Japan’s economic development ideas of the 1950s and 1960s!

Some people say that Japan is an export-oriented economy. This is obviously an ignorant lie. People can see such a sharp contrast: Japan's foreign trade is small (accounting for 15% of GDP), while China's foreign trade is huge (accounting for 60% of GDP);

Japanese exports are sold at a high price and imported at a low price, exchanging less for more. . China's exports are based on exporting at a low price and importing at a high price, exchanging more for less;

Article 1 of Japan's Foreign Investment Law, "Only foreign capital that is conducive to the independent and sound development of the Japanese economy and can improve the international balance of payments is allowed. Investment. "Foreign capital only accounts for 1%. China is open to all comers, with foreign capital exceeding 30%, and 21 of the 28 domestic industries controlled by foreign capital;

Japan has a "National Income Doubling Plan" and has never relied on foreign consumption. Priority will be given to domestic products. China has no similar plans and policies, its dependence on foreign countries is as high as 70%, and its nationals are second-class citizens.

It can be seen that the economic policies of China and Japan are completely different and completely opposite.

Only China in the world uses the country’s limited resources and the people’s blood and sweat to serve the world.

The United States exchanged airplanes for China’s trousers, and Japan exchanged cameras and cars for China’s trousers. China’s final outcome will be just like the textile country in the above story. Once the consumption of the airplane country drops, those who will be most hurt will be Instead, it is a textile country.

The content of history is constantly changing, but the laws of history have never changed. If a nation cannot manufacture high-tech products that other countries do not have, and cannot manufacture aircraft and silk that other countries do not have, we will never be able to To truly become prosperous and powerful, if we produce things that other countries can produce, compete on price, and sell our blood and sweat, this country will never be rich and powerful.

Why are the United States, Japan, and Germany prosperous and powerful? Simply comparing total GDP, China may surpass the United States in 10-20 years, but per capita wealth may never surpass these countries! Because the United States, Japan, and Germany can manufacture modern "silk": large aircraft, high-tech equipment, electronics, superconductors, liquid crystals, and automobiles.

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Author: Yan Yan Lie Sun in 2008 -12-29 09:52:09.0 Posted from: Send short message

★ Revisit "Science and technology is the primary productive force" ★

Comrade Deng Xiaoping proposed that "Technology is the primary productive force" "How far-sighted it is!

Decades have passed, why can’t our technological level still catch up? Today we are still at the technological level where 100,000 worker sisters have to work hard to make 100 million pairs of pants a year in exchange for one airplane? Willingly become a second-rate country?

Every powerful country in the world, including the United States, Japan, Germany, and Russia, firmly controls core scientific and technological secrets and never leaks them. The theory of "market exchange for technology" of China's traitorous economists not only fails No matter what technology is replaced, the market will be lost, and Roubaozi will never come back.

In the past two years, Jack Welch, the former president of GE in the United States, has been very popular, leading General Electric in the United States back to glory, and is known as the world's master of corporate management. In fact, his core secret is only one: let GE give up making the same products as others and make the best high-tech products that GE can only do! Produce "airplanes" and "silk" that others cannot make.

GE, the American General Electric Company, was founded to mass-produce electric lights after Edison invented the light bulb. Later, it gradually withdrew from the lighting industry and transformed into the production of refrigerators and televisions. Later, GE gave up these sunset industries. In the era of Jack Welch, there was a comprehensive transformation into the production of bulk high-tech products: medical equipment, aircraft engines, power generation equipment, etc. The development history of GE is actually a history of constantly pursuing high-tech products and abandoning low-tech products. As for the management theories he advocates, most of them are just bragging after success, so don't take them seriously. This is exactly what the saying goes: "One sentence of true teachings is more than ten thousand words of false teachings."

Technology is the primary productive force. If this is true for a successful enterprise, how can it not be true for a country?

The investment in scientific and technological research and development in European and American countries accounts for the highest proportion of gross national product between 1.5 and 2.6. The highest year in China from 1950 to 1979 was 2.32, with an average of 1.28. At that time, China could build satellites, rockets, high-yield rice, and large aircraft. Now it is busy producing pants, shoes, and toys.

In China, in the 1980s and 1990s, China’s investment in science and technology decreased year after year, down to 0.6. Cars and computers can only be assembled and made into casings, and they can be branded as domestic products. By 1999, the United States bombed the Chinese embassy. We finally understand: "History tells us that some things cannot be bought with money." In the same year, the country held a celebration meeting for those who had made contributions to the two bombs and one satellite. The science and technology policy of "building ships is not as good as buying ships" that had lasted for 20 years began to slowly reverse

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Author: Yan Yan Lie Sun on 2008-12-29 09:52:27.0 Posted from: Send short message

★ There is no currency war, the war is technology★

Let’s talk about currency. Is China really poor? Do you really have no money? Let's see what is the nature of money!

Let’s see what bullshit theory makes the Chinese people have no money!

There is a very popular book recently called "Currency War", which says that the United States' abandonment of the gold standard is a conspiracy and that the U.S. dollar will continue to depreciate. It encourages everyone to collect gold to preserve its value. This view is actually outdated. Gold is just a rare metal, and there is no need to elevate its status so high.

The real "gold" of a country is actually high-tech products that others do not have.

Currency is just a symbol of barter trade. When the Tang Dynasty could make silk, whether the Tang Dynasty currency was iron coins or copper coins, it must be the hardest hard currency. Therefore, to the Tang Dynasty and the world, silk was gold currency. When other countries were able to produce silk, the Tang Dynasty's currency immediately devalued. If the Tang Dynasty still insisted on currency appreciation, it would definitely be in trouble.

The relationship between the Tang Dynasty and silk, and the relationship between the Song Dynasty and porcelain, is just like the relationship between the United States and oil and high technology today. When the United States controls high technology and oil, the dollar becomes a gold currency. , without the support of oil and high-tech, cutting-edge weapons, the dollar is as worthless as a stone. This is also the underlying reason why the United States did not hesitate to kill Saddam Hussein in Iraq for oil.

Keynes's monetary theory, currency issuance is not restricted by the gold standard or the silver standard. Each country can provide sufficient monetary funds for its own economic development without relying on foreign money at all. It solves the biggest bottleneck of economic development: the problem of money.

Keynes also put forward the demand-pull theory, explaining that as long as every country protects its workers, improves the consumption power of the working people, and expands the market consumption, corporate production will naturally increase, so why does it need to rely on external demand?

The United States and Western countries have long seen through this. They are wise and far-sighted in abandoning the gold standard. It is not a conspiracy, but a conspiracy! A country's real gold reserves are not gold bricks hidden in underground warehouses of banks, but intellectual property rights hidden in the National Patent Office, which are real high-tech products. Every time the United States builds a Boeing aircraft, it is equivalent to one more ton of gold reserves in the United States.

We need to understand one thing. Currency is just a symbol of barter transactions. As many commodities as a country can produce, it should create as much currency as possible to encourage people to consume.

So, there should be no countries in the world that are short of money, only countries that are short of goods! A country is poor and backward not because they lack money, but because they produce too few goods or their technological content is too low.

Don’t believe the bullshit theories of foreign economists and traitorous economists. They say that there can’t be bubbles in the stock market and that the country must control currency circulation. In fact, these theories have put China into the real trap of economic crisis. .

Look at the United States. Its annual GDP is only US$13 trillion, but it has a national debt of US$50 trillion. If China had the courage to issue 50 trillion treasury bonds to boost domestic demand, the economic crisis would not be so serious.

China made the right choice by shifting from a planned economy to a market economy and from seclusion to reform and development. But China’s path to a market economy is definitely not to return to before liberation! Let us return to the old semi-feudal and semi-colonial path. Globalization, privatization, liberalization, world factory, export-oriented economy, comparative advantage, etc. are just new packaging of this old path.

When Americans turn on their printing presses and print out dollars continuously, they can buy everything in China: pants, shoes, toys, factories, real estate, banks, and manpower. This is the biggest currency in the world. Chinese people will never succeed in such funny things!