Rubber 2017115 plunged again. This is the consistent characteristic of rubber. Up 1 month, down 1-2 days.

Fall to the rising point. Might as well be moderately optimistic.

The operating rate of the tire factory increased slightly. The middle reaches are stable.

Synthetic rubber rises rapidly with crude oil. The price of natural rubber rose by 2000 yuan, which is good for the price of natural rubber. It remains to be seen whether the high price can be maintained.

As of 20 17, 165438+ 10, 10, the inventory of natural rubber in the previous period was 499279 tons (10915), and the warehouse receipt was 40/kloc.

By the end of 2017 10/month10, the operating rate of all-steel tires of tire enterprises in Shandong area was 68. 15% (chain +0.46%, year-on-year-1.55%). The operating rate of semi-steel tires in domestic tire enterprises is 69.79% (-0.68% month-on-month and -3.88% year-on-year).

On the last trading day, at 16:00- 18:00 in the afternoon, the spot market quoted price of compound adhesive 1 1250 yuan (-400). The foundation is reduced, and the direction guide is not displayed.

Rubber prices have been bearish for a long time (more than 6 months).

But at present, the price of rubber has fallen back to the starting point. The price of rubber has reached an equilibrium range. Autumn will not be so smooth. If it falls below 10000, it will reach the absolute value area.

Operational recommendations:

2017165438+1October 15 is expected to reach 300,000 tons due to delivery, and part of it will inevitably flow to the spot market. Part of it belongs to buying spot futures and being stuck. Those that flow into the spot market have depressed the price of the spot market. Rubber 2017115 plummeted again, which reflected this suppression.

So after mid-June 1 1, there may be more trading opportunities.

When it stabilizes, it will be much shorter. At present, it is in the middle and late stage of the overall rise of bulk commodities.

Try not to chase too much (because most rubber rises slowly and falls sharply).