From the 1930s to the present, people have different explanations about the causes of this great crisis from foreign countries to China. Chinese scholars are used to looking for it from the social system, thinking that it is the basic contradiction of the capitalist system, that is, the inevitable result of the contradictory movement between private possession of means of production and socialization of production. This view conforms to the Marxist analysis of the capitalist system, but fails to explain the difference between the great economic crisis in the 1930s and previous economic crises. With the deepening of research, in recent years, some China scholars are no longer confined to the social system level, looking for reasons from the specific conditions and characteristics of American economic operation in the 1920s and 1930s, and focusing more on specific economic problems such as excessive concentration of wealth, overheated economy and crazy stock trading at that time.
Western economists have different interpretations of this issue, but they almost unanimously deny that this is the inevitable result of the capitalist system. Their differences mainly lie in the economic policy mistakes that led to the crisis or some specific economic problems. One view is that the monetary policy mistakes adopted by the Federal Reserve to curb excessive stock speculation have led to a crisis; Another view emphasizes the negative impact of excessive securities speculation, widening income distribution gap and unbalanced economic structure on the American economy in the 1930s.
During the Great Depression, 10937 1 went bankrupt, and the net profit of private companies dropped from $8.4 billion in 1929 to $3.4 billion in 1932. 193 1 year, the total index of American industrial production decreased by 53.8% compared with 1929. At the beginning of 1933, four days before the death of former President Coolidge, he lamented: "Looking around, there is no hope." Even franklin roosevelt, who has always been optimistic about life, exclaimed when he saw the collapse of the Bank of Maryland: "I wonder if this cardboard house will collapse?" By March 1933, there were17 million completely unemployed workers in the United States, and the number of semi-unemployed people was countless. Farmers' cash income dropped from 162 USD to 48 USD per year, and about 10 19300 farmers went bankrupt. During the crisis, on the one hand, overproduction and tight consumption led to a backlog of goods; On the other hand, ordinary Americans are well-fed and living in poverty. In order to maintain the price of agricultural products, agricultural capitalists and large farmers destroyed a large number of "surplus" products, used wheat and corn instead of coal as fuel, and poured milk into the Mississippi River, turning the river into a "galaxy".
Homeless people in the city set up simple shelters with wooden boards, old iron sheets, tarpaulins and even kraft paper. The village where these huts gather is called "Hoover Village", the beggar's begging bag is called "Hoover Bag", the car pulled by animal power because it can't buy fuel is called "Hoover Car", and the newspaper covered by the tramp sleeping on the street bench is called "Hoover Blanket". There is a popular children's song on the street in new york: "Mellon blows the whistle and Hoover rings the bell. Wall Street signals that the United States is heading for hell! "
According to the estimation of Happiness magazine in September 1932, there are 34 million adults, men, women and children in the United States, accounting for about 28% of the total population of the country. They can't make a living (excluding rural population 1 1 10,000), and the homeless population reaches 2 million, only in new york. The children born in this period were short in stature and later called "the depressed generation". There are 330,000 out-of-school children in the United States. Girls risk pregnancy to support their families and go to the streets for prostitution at the price of 10 cents. Due to long-term malnutrition, the United States needs to recruit a large number of soldiers to participate in World War II, and 40% of the soldiers were eliminated because of their unqualified physique!
On Roosevelt's inauguration day, Hoover sent a message to the new government: "We are at the end of our tether."
This global economic crisis, which originated in the United States, has reduced the world's total industrial output value by 36% and world trade by 2/3.
The little blue brothers believe that in this economic crisis, the United States has successfully adjusted and adapted itself. Therefore, it is emphasized that the United States has strong self-regulation ability. But I want to emphasize three points: first, although the international status of the United States at that time was not the first in the world, it was not a trivial matter. Second, this crisis is worldwide, and no country can be immune to it, which makes it impossible for its own people to flow out when the United States has a crisis (because the situation in other countries is similar). Third, the crisis has only passed four years ... An important feature of people in immigrant countries is to have "contrast". Just as we flocked to the United States today, we made this immigration decision because our own country, the United States, is better. Those who can make this decision will make the same decision in the long-term reversal of the future situation: leave.
Regarding what I said, "First, the international status of the United States at that time was not the first in the world, but it was not a trivial matter." Let me add something. The World War I of1914-1918 was a godsend for the United States. In this life-and-death war on the European continent, the United States made a fortune and stayed away from the war. After this world war, although the global hegemony of Britain and France has not been subverted, the national strength gap between the United States and Britain and France has been greatly narrowed. Moreover, the integration of American economy and European economy (British and French generals said that all the soldiers ate canned beef from Chicago to participate in the war) made the economic crisis of 1929- 1933 inevitably sweep across Europe at the same time.
If, in this economic crisis, only the United States suffered, if Europe's economy was relatively independent of the United States at that time, and the economic crisis in the United States could not end within four years, can you and I imagine that there would not be a large-scale return of immigrants in the United States? But God really cares about America. 1929 when the economic crisis occurred in the United States, Europe had just emerged from the bloody World War I for only eleven years! As a result, Europe is inferior to the United States in economic strength and security environment, and the phenomenon of large-scale immigrant return has not occurred.
Here, we better understand the reasons why the United States is so keen on economic globalization: first, controlling global resources is used by it to pass on the contradictions of domestic capital interest groups. Second, the American economy is in recession, and the world economy is bound to decline simultaneously, which leads to no one can surpass it and prevent large-scale immigration from returning.
On the Independence of Canadian Provinces
Canada, an immigrant country that does not have the status of the world's largest country. Now we are faced with many problems of independence. The independence of Quebec will be a fait accompli and inevitable. Alberta's independence has not deepened, and the current situation is stable. Mxmx also mentioned the independence of Canadian provinces. In fact, in Canada, whether the contradictions between interest groups can be finally reconciled is a realistic problem.
conclusion
Therefore, my national strategic policy for China is to force out the irreconcilable contradictions among American interest groups, thus forcing the United States to split and disintegrate. In order to make the contradictions between American interest groups irreconcilable, weaken the sense of honor and pride of American citizens, and let American society have its own contradictions and conflicts from the bottom to the elite, the first thing to do is to pull the United States down from the position of the world's largest country. Under this premise, the self-adjustment and self-adaptation ability of the United States will drop sharply, and the internal contradictions of the pseudo-nation will be exposed (the storm in New Orleans is an exposure of the internal contradictions of the "Americans" pseudo-nation), creating conditions for irreconcilable contradictions among capital interest groups. At the same time, if China wants to maintain its own development momentum, it will not change because of the economic downturn in the United States. It is foreseeable that under the pressure of this high and low level difference, there will be a large-scale population outflow in the United States. Large-scale population outflow will hit the American economy again, increase the contradictions among interest groups, and accelerate the disintegration and division of the political entity of the United States. (So I finally chose the strategy of "strengthening China's scientific and technological innovation ability", which weakens the internal cohesion of the United States economically, weakens the sense of national belonging of the United States from the national consciousness (culture), weakens the ability and pride of the United States militarily, and does not seriously stimulate the United States politically)
In fact, the United States now also has the contradiction of capital interest groups, which is only passed on by controlling the world resources. Let me give you a simple example: these capitalists who speculate in foreign exchange and futures need a relatively peaceful environment, and the coming war is not conducive to their speculation and appreciation; Oil interest groups also need a peaceful environment, but war can also be an option; But arms interest groups need war, and peace is the biggest enemy of their capital. Let's see how they reconcile this contradiction. While benefiting oil interest groups, Saudi Arabia requires Saudi Arabia to invest oil income in the United States and hand it over to interest groups speculating in foreign exchange and futures, and at the same time requires Saudi Arabia to buy American arms to satisfy arms interest groups. Saudi Arabia, a "slave" of the United States, is serving all kinds of interest groups in the United States wholeheartedly. If Iraq does not obey, arms interest groups will benefit, and oil interest groups will naturally share a piece of the action. Interest groups that speculate on foreign exchange and futures will benefit from the soaring oil futures prices on the oil futures exchange (all of which are purposeful and planned).
Imagine, if China's global layout is completed, the view of "harmonious world" is established in the world, and China's scientific and technological innovation ability is ahead of that of the United States, how can the contradictions between American capital interest groups be passed on to foreign countries? !
If nothing else, suppose that China, Russian, Iraqi and Saudi Arabia can set up another China oil futures exchange to control the world oil price, then how can capital interest groups, arms interest groups and oil interest groups reconcile their contradictions in speculating on futures? I will wait and see! Of course, it is still difficult to achieve this at present, so we still have a long way to go.
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Speaking of "the American people", heh ~ ~, I think they exist as voting subjects in elections, not as subjects that decide national policies. They are just tools of capitalists, who induce them through public opinion as needed. From the initial support of the American people in the Iraq war to the current opposition, we have clearly seen that the American people have no brains at all. What if the American people are against the Iraq war now? The war has started, the division of interest groups has been realized, and the American people have been used. When capitalists have different opinions on the division of interests, the "American people" will play a role!