Or welcome the eighth RRR cut this year.
Recently, the influencing factors of the international crude oil market are intertwined, and the oil price fluctuates and consolidates.
Yang, an analyst of Lianchuang refined oil products, said: "On the one hand, multiple negative factors have led to pressure on oil prices. The global economic recession, high oil prices and epidemic situation all put pressure on oil consumption. On the other hand, some favorable factors still support oil prices. "
Yang predicted that according to the current crude oil price estimate, the new round of retail price of refined oil is likely to be lowered. "The recent expectations of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and IEA for different directions of crude oil demand indicate that there are differences in the crude oil market outlook, and it also shows that the market is still balancing the fundamentals of supply and demand. Affected by this, it is expected that crude oil prices will continue to fluctuate and adjust. "
Judging from the trend of international crude oil futures price this week, the average price of American oil and oil distribution fell in Zhou Du month on month. At present, the change rate of domestic reference crude oil is in a negative range.
According to Zhuo Chuang Information's calculation, as of the closing date of 1017, that is, the ninth working day of domestic refined oil pricing cycle, the change rate of reference crude oil is-1.95%, and the gasoline and diesel prices are expected to be lowered 100 yuan/ton, with the price adjustment window of/.
"This retail price limit adjustment of refined oil products will be the eighth reduction this year, and the travel cost of consumers will drop. For a small private car with a fuel tank capacity of 50L, it is estimated that a full tank of 92# gasoline will cost about 4 yuan less than before. "Yang Xia, a refined oil analyst at Zhuo Chuang Information, said.
Pay attention to the support of US crude oil futures at $80/barrel.
In the spot market, the domestic wholesale market of gasoline and diesel showed a downward trend as a whole this week, and the decline of diesel was relatively limited. At the same time, the domestic retail price remained stable, so the wholesale and retail price difference rose within a narrow range this week.
According to Jinlianchuang's data, as of June 165438+ 10/7, the average retail price of domestic 92# gasoline was 2202 yuan/ton, up by 88 yuan compared with June 165438+ 10. The average retail profit of 0# diesel is 292 yuan/ton, which is 65438 yuan +08 yuan/ton higher than that of110 in October.
Yang said that the tight supply of diesel resources in some parts of China has eased this week, and the direct price of diesel in some areas has loosened, but the overall price has basically remained at the wholesale price limit, and most of them are terminal direct sales; The demand for gasoline is difficult to change, and the sales pressure of the main units in the middle and late period is increasing, which leads to the overall downward trend of domestic gasoline prices. "The new round of refined oil price adjustment window is expected to be lowered. In addition, major companies in the middle and late stages have accelerated their sales progress. It is expected that the gasoline and diesel market will maintain a steady downward trend. "
Yang Xia believes that after the weak adjustment of international crude oil prices, it is still necessary to pay attention to the support of US crude oil futures at $80/barrel. At present, because there is still one working day before the current round of refined oil price adjustment window, the final adjustment range will also change, but the downward adjustment direction will remain basically unchanged. In addition, gas stations in some parts of China carry out irregular preferential promotions, and consumers can pay attention to such preferential policies at any time in order to save fuel costs.