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What concept stocks will be driven by the 2022 World Cup?
After waiting for four years, the 20 10 World Cup in South Africa, which attracted the attention of hundreds of millions of fans, kicked off on June 1 1. This is a four-year "carnival" for fans, but it may become a "curse" for investors to keep the stock market falling. The so-called "World Cup curse" refers to the downward trend of the stock market during the World Cup. This phenomenon is called the curse of the World Cup on the stock market. However, there are also views that men will have passion after watching the World Cup, the stock market will be more popular, and there will be investment opportunities in concepts such as food, beverage and media. [Opinion ][20 10 World Cup in South Africa] The curse of the World Cup will reappear. Analysts believe that the arrival of the World Cup will often distract investors and lead to light trading. In fact, historical data shows that in the past 14 World Cup, the global stock market only rose three times, with a decline probability of 78.57%. The historical average growth rate in the month of trusteeship was-1.65%, which was significantly lower than the average growth rate of 0.3 1% in June of the past 56 years. The A-share market has also shown in the past that in the history of the four World Cups, there has been a downward trend or a downward trend. Now that the market continues to slump, A shares may be affected by the "World Cup curse" again. 3.5 billion yuan left the World Cup before the festival. Will the stock market be cursed? The launch of some World Cup concept stocks has made many investors look forward to the "World Cup Quotes". Unfortunately, according to statistics, during the previous World Cups, the global stock market only rose three times, and the probability of decline was as high as 78.57%, forming an unbreakable "World Cup curse". As for the "World Cup curse", it is generally understood in the industry that the interlocking events during the World Cup will distract investors' energy, especially the "distraction" of institutional investors, which will reduce operations, reduce trading volume and make the market performance dull. Watch the World Cup speculative beneficiary shares (attached shares). The World Cup is coming! 19 World Cup was held in ten stadiums in nine cities in South Africa from June 1 1 Sunday to July 12. This is the first World Cup held in South Africa. This is a grand event that attracts the attention of the whole of Africa, and it is also a four-year feast for fans all over the world. As far as investors are concerned, they can't just focus on the ball game. Can the World Cup bring good development opportunities to A-share listed companies? In fact, some brokers have recently begun to pay attention to the possible investment opportunities of the World Cup theme in the stock market. A shares pierced the curse of the World Cup, and the curse of the global stock market came from the turning point of the listing or adulthood of the Agricultural Bank of China in the quadrennial World Cup. According to the statistics of online foreign stock markets, in the past 14 World Cup, only three times the market performance showed an overall increase, and the probability of decline was 78.57%. On June 9, the A-share surge triggered by banking stocks pierced the curse of the World Cup, and A-shares began to fluctuate upward. At present, when the valuation of bank stocks is lower than 1664, it will enter the safe zone, although this year's real estate policy, loan tightening, bad debt risk after large-scale lending, asymmetric interest rate hike expectations, etc., may all affect the growth rate of bank performance. According to the latest forecasts of Bohai Securities Research Institute and Hongyuan Securities Research Institute, GDP growth this year may be around 9.5%. During the year, the closing price of the World Cup in global stock markets and the World Cup bear list fell. Greece -32.77% 1476.47 China 2569.94% Spain -22.96% 9798.2 France 35 16.64 Hong Kong 8.96% 19909.22 World Cup Bull List Closing price in the year Copenhagen 406538+0.82 Venezuela 500. Before the start of the 20 10 World Cup in South Africa, injuries became one of the topics concerned by fans. Beckham was out early, and Ballack, Ferdinand and Robben also decided to watch the whole cup. The news that the star can't participate in the World Cup due to injury keeps coming, so some netizens joked that the World Cup in South Africa has become an "injured World Cup". In fact, it's not just the stars of the World Cup team who are injured. Investors all over the world are constantly standing guard and even cutting meat. Under the spell of the World Cup, the stock markets in Europe, America, Asia-Pacific and other places all showed a "tragic" side, and major stock markets such as the United States, China, France, China, Hong Kong, Brazil, Japan, Australia, Britain, the Netherlands, Argentina and South Korea all fell from the beginning of the year. 14 World Cup global stock market fell 1 1 times. Statistics show that in the last 14 World Cup, the global stock market only rose three times, with a decline probability of 78.57%. Some investors also told reporters that there is no conflict between stock trading and watching the ball. The time difference between China and South Africa is 6 hours, except that the third group match starts at 2: 30am Beijing time. The first two games started at 9:30 a.m. and 22:00 p.m. Beijing time respectively, while the trading hours of A shares were from 9: 30 a.m. to 5: 00 p.m./kloc-0, with a short lunch break. "This is completely wrong. You can take care of both stock trading and watching the ball. " The curse of the World Cup is another setback for European stock markets. During recent World Cups, the major European stock indexes are basically in a downward trend. 1June 998 10 to July 12, just after the opening of the World Cup in France, the London stock market began to weaken. During the Olympic Games, Britain's FTSE 100 index fell by 6.6%. Although the Paris stock market fluctuated within a narrow range during the World Cup, the CAC40 index in Paris, France began to fall just after the World Cup in July 13. By the beginning of 10, France's CAC40 index had fallen by 30%. From May 3, 2002 to June 30, 2002, during the World Cup between Japan and South Korea, the European market plummeted, and the FTSE 100 index of Britain plummeted from 5085 on May 3, 2002 to 3626 on July 24. Both the Paris stock market and Frankfurt stock market fell sharply. During the 2006 World Cup in Germany, the "curse" reappeared, global stock markets plummeted, and commodity futures such as gold and oil also fell from high levels.