What exactly is the stock market? What caused the skyrocketing and plunging and suddenly stopped? Before the advent of the Internet, how was the information of transnational distant stock markets transmitted? The stock market is a barometer of the economy, and the quality of the market directly reflects people's current views on the economy and its current situation. In fact, it is normal for China to adjust the market. Europe's peripheral debt crisis, the United States is facing high inflation, and China is a country that relies heavily on imports and exports. If the stock market keeps rising, it's not normal. However, Premier Wen Jiabao's report at the two sessions made it clear that China's economy is generally improving, which means that the stock market is slowly rising after a period of adjustment, which is the general trend.

As for the recent plunge, the main reason is the adjustment of real estate. Is it necessary to adjust the real estate? This is inevitable. The subprime mortgage crisis in the United States was mainly caused by the real estate crash. At that time, China was in the stage of rapid economic development, and various financial derivatives, including house prices, were wildly hyped. The economic system of the United States is different from that of China. Fortunately, such a crisis first occurred in the United States, but the United States is not a country with small profits but quick turnover. This crisis may last for several years. If such a crisis happened in China, China's economic institutions would be difficult for more than a decade. So real estate adjustment is inevitable. In 2008, the financial crisis, China in 2009, the economy will enter a high-speed development at 10. If the real estate at such a high bubble end is not regulated, the consequences after the decline can be imagined. Therefore, in fact, this is not just a problem that ordinary people can't afford to buy a house, but a problem that must be solved as a government management.

At present, the sharp drop of A shares reflects this problem, that is, people are worried about the economy. How much impact will such a strong adjustment of real estate have on China's economy? I'm not sure about this either, because it's unprecedented and we won't know until we adjust it. However, we must believe that the purpose of the state's strong regulation at this time is definitely not to let China's economy collapse, but to avoid the second subprime mortgage crisis in the future, which will lead to a worse fall in China. I also believe that the country must have enough confidence to control the situation by regulating real estate at this time, so I personally have full confidence in China's economy.

As for the extent of the decline, I made a preliminary calculation. From the position of 65438+ 1664 on October 28th, 2008, plus the total market value of all new shares in the past year and a half, the current A-share index will probably be the same as 1664 around 2053, and then China A-shares will fall 20% deeper than the periphery, which means the current A-shares.

But then again, not everyone can see it deeply, and the correct view can't influence the development of the stock market, so it's better to operate cautiously and don't blindly copy the bottom. Technically, there are many bottom deviations on the 30.60-minute line, and the daily line does not come out. In 2008, it fell around 2700 points, and the result of continuous deviation fell to 1664. Today's closing shows that there are indeed funds entering at 2500 points, but we retail investors are still cautious. It is necessary for the index to stand above the 5-day moving average for three consecutive days before it involves positions below half a warehouse. Today is the first day.

Well, what I said is my own opinion. I wonder if it will help the landlord. If there is something wrong with the analysis, don't take it to heart. After all, I'm just a small retail investor, hehe.