On June 26th, 10, official website of Shanghai Stock Exchange showed that the initial inquiry for IPO of Ant Group was completed. After nearly 1 10,000 accounts of investment institutions, the final A-share issue price is determined to be 68.8 yuan per share, and the total market value is 2. 1 trillion yuan, which is about 20%~30% lower than the 2.5 trillion to 3.2 trillion yuan previously estimated by many investment banks.
The issue price of Hong Kong stocks was also announced on the same day, priced at HK$ 80 per share, which was basically the same as that of A shares after excluding the impact of exchange rate.
According to the issue pricing, it is estimated that the fundraising scale of A shares before Green Shoes is11500 million yuan, and that after Green Shoes is132.2 billion yuan. Among them, the new scale of green shoes for institutional and individual investors is about 22 billion yuan. The listing of H shares * * * issued 65.438+67 million shares and * * * raised 65.438+33.6 million Hong Kong dollars.
According to the 9. 17 report "Innovation Details and Product Perspective", the issuance process is generally "1 1 trading day", that is, online subscription ants 10.29 and payment ants1kloc-0/.02. However, the time interval between issuance and listing is generally 8- 1 1 natural day, which means that the time of listing of ants is likely to be165438+1mid-October.
According to the arrangement of listing and issuance, the online "innovation" subscription of Ant Financial will be carried out on 65438129 October.
Generally speaking, the larger the scale of online issuance, the higher the winning rate of investors. Therefore, the success rate of Ant Group will depend on the landing of "green shoes".
According to the issuance plan, Ant will issue no more than 65.438+0.67 billion new shares in A shares, of which 65.438+0.34 billion shares will be used for initial strategic placement and 334 million shares will be used for "innovation" by institutional and individual investors (before the green shoe mechanism). According to the price per share, the "innovative" fundraising for A-share institutions and individual investors exceeded 22 billion yuan.
According to the data, the average online winning rate of all new shares issued by A shares in the past decade was 0.045%. Equivalent to 1 0,000 people playing new, only 4.5 people can hit.
Analysts said in the research report that due to the higher-than-expected strategic placement ratio, the calculation of ants' first-day turnover and new income needs to be greatly reduced. It is estimated that the expected yield of 300-500 million products added in a single day is around 1.2%~2% without considering the bottom warehouse.
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The Influence of Ant Group's Listing on A-shares
1. The ant colony is very large. Judging from the data disclosed at present, Ant Group is likely to surpass Maotai and become the first share in the A-share market. From this point of view, the huge scale of Ant Group determines that it is no longer a simple stock, but a short-term trend that can influence the plate and even the stock index.
This can be seen from the operation of Kweichow Moutai. The trend of Kweichow Moutai has influenced the trend of liquor plate. When Maotai fell, the liquor sector was not so good. Therefore, from this perspective, Ant Group will have a greater impact on the financial sector and the Internet technology sector in the future and may become the anchor of this sector.
2. The listing of Ant Group will have a certain rainbow attraction effect. Although the scale of Ant Group is very large, and the pricing is not low, from the feedback of all aspects, there is still room for the secondary market, and there is no limit to the price increase and decrease in the first five trading days.
Therefore, the market still has a certain enthusiasm for innovation and will lock in some funds and chips. In the current situation of low market liquidity, such rainbow absorption effect will suppress the short-term market.
3. After the listing of Ant Group, it will become the heavyweights of the stock index because of its volume, which has a key impact on the trend of the stock index. Now in the bull market consolidation period, the future trend of Ant Group is very important to the bull market. If the ant group can dance like an elephant, the market stock index will hit a new high.
However, if the performance of Ant Group is sluggish, the market stock index will inevitably be dragged down. Therefore, from this perspective, the short-term listing of Ant Group will have a rainbow effect on the stock index trend, and the long-term listing will also have a certain impact on the overall market trend. Personally, from the perspective of the operation of ant group, the medium and long-term impact is positive.