This is the current international economic situation

(1) The rapid growth of the world economy and the economic development of developed countries such as the United States, Eurozone countries, and Japan continue to influence the seven characteristics of the world economy. Maintaining a high growth rate is the development trend of developing countries' economies that drive each other.

In 2007, the world economy will continue to maintain a growth rate of nearly 4%. The U.S. economy has steadily declined. In 2006, exports to the United States, Germany, and beyond, and the information index was lower than the economic advantage of the Nordic subprime mortgage crisis, are constantly eroding and decomposing, and its negative effects are still expanding. Major Western countries face the most intense external competition since industrialization. Eurasia became the main stage of the world economy. According to statistics from the World Bank, Eurasia accounts for 62% of the world's economic aggregate, and its cumulative total wealth is twice that of the United States. Compared with 2003, the total GDP of the "New Europe" countries in 2006 ( GDP), nearly doubled. Most of the economies of developing countries, accounting for 80% of the world's population, have simultaneously entered a period of rapid growth. The status of the international trade system, international investment and international division of labor has been strengthened, further increasing their impact on the world economy and changing the The pattern of world economic growth. Developing countries account for about 20% of the global economy, rising to 30%, and their contribution to the world's economic growth rate.

(2) Financial innovation, especially the development and promotion of financial derivatives, the improvement of financial integration, and the "explosive growth" of the global financial industry.

The huge disorderly and speculative flow of international capital has not only caused great damage to the economies of developing countries, but also developed countries will not be spared. According to the latest report from McKinsey Consulting, the total core assets of the global financial industry are US$140 trillion. The capital market has further become the main body of the global financial market. Bank assets as a percentage of global financial assets fell from 42% in 1980 to 27% in 2005, further concentrating financial assets in developed countries. The proportion of financial assets as a percentage of gross national product in developed countries has jumped to an average of 330%. "Economic and financial" trends, on the one hand, promote the efficient allocation of world resources, and also increase the instability, speculation and risk of the global economy.

(3) The mobility of the international capital market and labor market has increased, creating a global market for the flow of global production factors.

More mature forms of capital flows in the international capital market are also increasing. An increasingly integrated global labor market. According to statistics from the International Labor Organization, in the next 10 years, developing countries will have a global labor market of 7 million people. The formation of reasonable and unreasonable global industrial chains and global economic growth models with uneven resource distribution are shaping a new global economic landscape. Overall, liberalized international trade, investment, and financial market liquidity achieve the optimal allocation process of production factors on a global scale. Globalization is seriously unbalanced, with the gap between poor and rich countries widening, income distribution and social cost distribution from country to country, polarizing losers and winners. The return on capital is at a new high and the return on labor is getting lower and lower, leading to inequality among countries. The international division of labor system that dominates the current international trade, investment, finance and labor force in developed countries. In contrast, developing countries have 3/4 of the world's population and only 1/4 of their total economic output. Black Africa, at least until mid-2047, has successfully escaped poverty. In the north, the United States, Europe and Japan are the three pillars of the international economic system. However, because the United States pursues economic unilateralism and attempts to monopolize international economic decision-making, the economic interests of the three parties conflict. The gap between the economic development levels of the southern camp is getting wider and wider. The basic needs and interests are significantly differentiated and concentrated on this issue of economic development. The phenomenon of diversification is obvious, and South-South cooperation has shown a high degree of complexity.

(4) Emerging market economies are becoming increasingly concrete and accelerating their integration into the global economy, injecting new vitality into economic globalization.

A large number of emerging market economies in developing countries have matured, the economies of independent countries in the Commonwealth have accelerated comprehensively, the economies of Africa, the Middle East, East Asia, and Latin America have begun to take off, and the domestic capital markets of these countries have begun to take off. To develop rapidly, reduce dependence on foreign investment, strengthen awareness of the protection and utilization of energy resources, and achieve diversification of trade structure with some export-oriented developing countries. The emerging "BRIC countries", "New Diamond 11" and other developing countries continue to lead the economic growth of developing countries and become the strongest economic growth point in the future, promoting the influence of globalization on development. According to exchange rates, this year, the GDP of India, Russia, and Brazil exceeded the US$1 trillion mark, and they were promoted to the top 12 economies in the world. From 2001 to 2007, China, Russia and India jumped up to fourth place in the average ranking of global gross domestic product (GDP), exports, foreign investment, foreign exchange reserves and stock market value. Exports from Asian countries to the United States accounted for 16.5% of total exports from 25.5% in 1993.

Developing countries worth mentioning continue to increase their attractiveness to international capital. Mutual investment among developing countries is growing rapidly, mainly within Asia and Asian investment in Africa. At present, the world's total foreign exchange reserves are as high as 5.4 trillion US dollars, most of which are in the hands of developing countries.

Recently, developing countries have begun to reserve some forms of foreign investment in "sovereign wealth funds", the amount may be as high as 1.5 trillion US dollars, and the securities investment market and cross-border mergers and acquisitions are the main trends in developed countries and international capital markets. have an important impact.

(5) Northern and Southern countries have increased the cross-integration of development models, coordination in the multilateral economic field has become a trend, and the accelerating rise of emerging powers and economic forces is accelerating "multipolarization."

In the context of economic globalization, developed and developing countries make use of each other, and the status of North-South relations is intertwined Fan Wu. Russia's rapid revival and India's accelerated revitalization. After the end of the Cold War, the rise of emerging powers that initially formed the first echelon broke the prosperous situation. The ranking of countries that have entered or are approaching the economic era needs to continue to strengthen the common interests of developing and developed countries in maintaining world economic stability and trade liberalization, increasing interdependence and deepening the importance of the economy in finance and other Dialogue and cooperation in the field are increasingly urgent. "G8 (Group of Eight) + 5" has become an important high-end platform to promote North-South dialogue. The G20 (Group of 20) covers the world's leading developed and developing countries, a strong representative of the "North-South" that has developed and developed countries in recent years in response to the financial crisis Coordination has played a positive role in promoting the development of world economic and financial stability and other positions. Canada's initiative to establish the Global Summit Forum within the framework of the G20 further reflects the trend of the international community to strengthen coordinated multilateral dialogue.

(6) The rapid development of various regional or bilateral free trade arrangements, International trade, cross-border investment and more active free trade agreement negotiations are in the ascendant. As a result, emerging powers have become fashionable through free trade agreements and other forms of economic alliances.

The regional economic cooperation of each country should keep up with the trend of the times and rely on the relevant countries to make logical choices for regional development in order to reduce the disorderly impact of economic globalization. Regional economic cooperation and the trend of regional grouping will follow the trend of economic globalization. The development goes hand in hand. This usually promotes healthy economic interaction, and the possibility of the political powers restarting the war is almost zero. The developing countries in East Asia, Latin America, Africa and other regions are developing vigorously. As an important link, cooperation in the contact network between different regions has strengthened, and has become a regional cooperation momentum among some developing countries. Brazil, India, and South Africa have established a trilateral cooperation framework, which is increasingly close to Asia and Africa, Asia and Latin America, and Latin America. The economic relations between the countries in the Middle East and the Middle East are trying to accelerate the construction of regional groups through strong alliances and strong complementary models to achieve optimal allocation of market resources, seek to occupy a dominant position in the new world economic pattern, and promote the establishment of Free Trade Area of ??the Americas, the European Union announced that it will speed up the process of eastward enlargement and accelerate regional free trade negotiations and financial integration, with the two largest economies in Latin America organizing the South and the Andes** *The in-depth development mechanisms of the 13 and Shanghai Cooperation Organization serve as the two pillars of Asia. Future international economic relations will gradually unfold from competition between countries and competition between regional economic groups around the struggle and coordination of global economic and trade policies, to competition between economic groups in the financial system.

(7) The rise in international energy and resource prices has significantly accelerated structural adjustment. The international energy pattern and competition for energy and other strategic resources have become the biggest uncertainties affecting international economic relations.

In some domestic resources, especially countries rich in oil and natural gas resources, the opportunity to grasp the price of resource products not only obtains considerable income, but also strengthens the status and influence in the international economy. In recent years, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Iran, Venezuela and the United Arab Emirates have averagely ranked third in the world in terms of total gross domestic product (GDP) and per capita gross domestic product (GDP). Some oil-producing countries are strengthening control of domestic oil resources and reducing control of their oil resources from developed countries. Major oil-producing countries such as Iran and Venezuela have openly "challenged" U.S. energy as an important bargaining chip in international struggles. Currently, the United States controls nearly 70% of the world's oil resources in the Middle East, Central Asia, West Africa, and North America. The global energy strategic landscape is clearly tilted towards the United States, but in the landscape of the world energy market, Russia's influence plays a decisive role in OPEC's strategy and should not be underestimated. Japan strives to stabilize traditional oil sources and actively explores new channels. The EU and other countries are actively increasing strategic oil reserves and seeking energy cooperation. With the strong recovery and prosperity of the world economy, both sides will increase their dependence on energy. Depending on the oil and gas resources, pipelines and market prices, the United States, Europe, Japan and other countries will also launch a fierce international energy competition. At the same time, major emerging developing countries, rapidly growing energy demand and energy security, and the rapid development and growth pursuit of energy-related enterprises are breaking the monopoly of developed countries in the international energy industry.