2. Wave principle: how deep it falls, how high it rises; If the quantity is sufficient, the price will go up. (Observing the stock market from the perspective of fund managers and institutions .....)
3, extremely static and extremely dynamic: narrow price range and shrinkage often indicate the coming of big market.
4. extremes meet: when the market reaches an extreme state, it will run in the opposite direction.
5. Consistency: When the long-term and short-term trends are consistent, it is the most powerful.
6. Turning and crossing: When there is a contradiction between short-term and long-term trends, it may change.
7. Cost principle: When the purchase cost is less than the market cost, the risk is small.
B. Main behaviors
1, main force collection: the indicators are in the middle and low grades, the volume and price are well matched, large orders often appear in the intraday trading, and there is a gap in the trading volume.
2, the main entrance: the stock is in the process of consolidation or decline, suddenly released a huge increase, the inner disk is obviously larger than the outer disk, the change of hands is positive, the main entrance is obvious.
3. Distribution of main force: it often opens higher and goes lower, the upside is weak, the moving average often falls below, and the volume and price are not well matched.
4. Main Force Withdrawal: The stock price plummeted and the volume and price were extremely poor. The external disk is much larger than the internal disk. If it is heavy, it is the main force to withdraw the order.
5. Main force pull-up: After the main force absorbs enough chips, it starts to shake the warehouse and wash the dishes. The most obvious feature is endless ups and downs, and the volume of transactions has shrunk wave after wave. When the form develops to the moving average and the bulls are arranged, the main force will often rise.
C, bottom morphological analysis
The sharp rise in stocks started from the bottom. When there is a bottoming process at the bottom, the purpose of bottoming is to adjust the moving average or clean up the chips. Only when the selling of the stock in the market reaches a very small level, or when news causes market participants to flee for their lives in the stock market and new forces intervene can the bottom be formed. So from the chart, one form is narrow shrinkage, and the other form is huge decline. Bottom formation can produce a strong rising market.
In actual combat, I summed up seven basic forms: the first one is? Platform bottom? What's the second one? Underwater moon? And the third one? Yang with yin? And the fourth one? Moving average star? What's the fifth one? Bottom line? And the sixth one? Three red soldiers? And the seventh one? Long tail line? . The bottom of a stock usually forms in three days. According to the classification of forms, no matter what form needs to match the trading volume of the moving average system, the bottom can be described as the stuck moving average or the short-term moving average is below the medium-and long-term moving average, but the bottom breakthrough is often caused by news, but is constructed by time and form. Here are seven forms of the bottom.
First, the bottom of the platform: the stock price leveled off for three consecutive days near the 5-day moving average, forcing the 5-day moving average and the 10 moving average to form a golden cross, or the 5-day moving average tilted, and the moving speed of the 10 moving average slowed down. The specific requirements are to collect small yinxian on the first day, xiaoyang or xiaoyin on the second day and xiaoyang on the third day. On the whole, all three K-lines are translational.
2. Submarine Moon: The specific requirements are to close the Yinxian or Yin Da line on the first day, the rising Xiaoyang or Cross star on the second and third days, and there are signs of increasing turnover on the third day. The Dayin line is like a big ship that sinks to the bottom of the sea, but it is strongly supported at the bottom and has more energy to keep rising than falling. Therefore, if the moving average system is upward and the mid-line indicator is optimistic, there is no reason to think that the big Yinxian line is the suspension of the market. It should be considered that this is caused by the deliberate suppression of the main force, so this situation can be considered as the rising sun of a new round of market.
3. Yang with Yin: that is, there is a negative line between the two positive lines, which means that the stock rise is suppressed on the first day and forced to adjust on the second day, but new forces are involved on the third day, so this rise is more reliable and there are many opportunities for a good market outlook.
Fourth, the star of the moving average: When the bottom moving average system has just been repaired, a cross star of yin or yang will often be collected near the moving average, which is a sign of the balance of long and short power, but it happens at the bottom, and it is easy to rebound or break through the next day, which is an unobtrusive form.
5. Three Red Soldiers: There are three xiaoyang lines near or below the moving average, and the transaction volume tends to gradually enlarge, indicating that the bottom is absorbing small-scale funds, and the market outlook will be optimistic.
6. Bottom line: It opened lower than the EMA and closed above the EMA on the same day, which was deliberately done by the main force for further market making. According to the principle of inertia, the market outlook should be bullish.
Seven, the long tail line: after the opening of the day, the stock market volume fell, but it was inexplicably pulled up by the bulls, leaving a long shadow line, which is a signal of the intervention of rebound funds. As long as the road of rising is resumed the next day, the rising space is obvious. The bottom is made up of shape, but volume plays a key role. Whether it is shrinkage or heavy volume, it must be regular. For example, wave after wave of shrinkage and moderate volume are all a good process. However, if the volume is irregular, or when it rises, the volume is large, but the increase is not large, no matter what form, it may become downward. For example, the fund plunged in 1997.
D, some experiences and views on stock analysis
First, it is better to increase the volume or decrease it. Of course, the volume is good, but it does not mean that you can buy in bulk. The buying and selling of volume are two different things, and the volume depends on the nature. If the volume is high, it is a signal of shipment, and the volume is small or extremely small, which is a quantitative change pattern with relatively small risk. First, because the quantity is small, it can be excluded. Second, because of the small quantity, it proves that the sale is light. Third, the small main force is easy to control and rises wildly. Therefore, seeing the continuous shrinkage, stocks with strong stock prices can follow up to do the midline.
The second is the prediction of the target value rising or falling. Most people in the stock market have rich associations and tend to go to extremes about the development of the situation. They can't tell whether it is a rebound or a start, a reversal or a decline. They only know that stocks double every year, but they never think about how many stocks can double. In fact, as long as you follow a normal mind and strictly follow the rules of stock trading, you will be able to advance and retreat freely.
The third is the judgment of the dead fork of the moving average indicator. This analysis must be combined with the long-term moving average. If the daily line is dead and the weekly line is golden, it proves that there is a short-term retracement, and retracement is a good opportunity to intervene, because the weekly K line indicates that even if it does not rise this week, the opportunity next week will be particularly good.
The fourth is the use of indicators. MACD is a mid-line indicator, and its ability to judge the market outlook is better than other indicators, among which the golden fork of DIF and DEA is quite effective; RSI is a short-term indicator. Generally, the golden fork near 50 is a short-term buying opportunity.
The fifth is to oppose short-term. Doing short-term work is actually a risky behavior. Most operators just watch 15 minutes or 60 minutes, and act rashly. They don't take weekly analysis seriously at all They are busy every day, but the fees they earn may still be expensive.