For many citizens, if judging the fund's ups and downs is a concern, after all, it is related to their own income, then how can the fund judge the ups and downs? The following is how to judge the rise and fall of funds prepared by Bian Xiao for everyone, hoping to help everyone!
How does the fund judge the ups and downs?
1. Macro market environment: If the macro stock market is rising, then the fund is usually more likely to rise. On the contrary, if the stock market is not good, the fund may also fall;
2. Fund Awkwardness: If a fund's Awkwardness rises, then this fund will also be affected by it;
3. Performance of the fund manager: If the fund manager who manages the fund has excellent historical performance, there is a great chance for the fund to rise for a long time.
Does the foundation have a daily limit?
Funds generally have no daily limit. Funds are different from stocks. A fund is a portfolio of stocks. If the constituent stocks in the fund have a daily limit, the net value of the fund will also increase substantially, but it will not reach the daily limit. However, if all the constituent stocks in the fund have daily limit, the increase of the fund will approach the value of 10%. However, since all funds in Jiping will store a small amount of working capital or bank deposits as reserve funds, strictly speaking, no fund can reach the daily limit.
The difference between on-site funds and open-end funds lies in:
The trading mode of on-site funds, like stocks, is real-time price trading, and we can see the real-time changes of prices, both the real-time ups and downs of funds.
However, due to the different trading modes of open-end funds, for example, the trading rules of domestic funds are mostly T+ 1, while those of overseas funds are T+2, T+3 and T+5. Open-end funds have only one transaction price, and the main mode is trading day 15.
If the fund is purchased before the trading day 15, it will be traded according to the unit net value of that day. If the fund is purchased after 15 on the trading day, the unit net value of the next trading day will be traded. Weekends or holidays designated by the state will also be postponed to the next trading day.
On-site funds, like stocks, can see real-time price changes on the product trading page.
It is also very simple for open-end funds to check the fund's ups and downs on that day. As long as the fund is added as optional, it can be estimated whether the fund will rise or fall on the same day through the change of fund valuation. Of course, since it is a valuation, there may be errors, and it is not certain that the valuation accuracy of the fund is 100%. This is why some investors will ask why there is a deviation between valuation and net worth. We should know that the open-ended partial stock fund calculates its valuation through the fluctuation of stock price. This valuation is for reference only and cannot be used as the actual net value.
There will be tracking deviation between valuation and fund net value, but the difference will not be too big. In most cases, it is still possible to predict whether the fund will rise or fall on the same day through valuation. Mystery orange itself is like this, adding the fund as optional, and then deciding whether to increase or decrease the position through the rise and fall of the fund valuation.
How to judge whether the fund is up or down that day?
1. You can directly open the K-line chart and time-sharing chart of the fund to see the rise and fall of the fund on that day. Fund prices in the market are real-time and can be seen in time.
2. OTC funds have only one price every day, and the rise and fall of funds on that day can be judged according to the following indicators:
(1) Fund valuation. Although the fund valuation does not represent the fund's net value, investors can observe the trend of valuation and net value first. If both rise and fall together, the probability of net value rising on the day when the valuation rises sharply is high, and the probability of net value rising when the valuation falls sharply is low.
(2) Looking at the trend of the market and various iconic indexes, the index is the weighted average data of many stocks, so the trend of individual stocks will affect the rise and fall of the index, so the quality of the market on that day may reflect the rise and fall of the fund.
How does the fund see the ups and downs of the day in real time?
Real-time ups and downs of floor funds can be viewed in trading software. Floor funds have five quotations, so the price is real-time; OTC funds can't watch the real-time ups and downs, because OTC funds are invested by fund managers, and the stocks purchased by fund managers can't be announced in real time, only the positions held at the end of last quarter can be announced, so investors can only judge the ups and downs of the day according to the valuation of the fund.
How to check the fund's ups and downs:
1. Open the securities trading website App or the fund company official website, and search for the name or code of the fund. You can see the change of the unit net value of the fund, the rate of return and the rise and fall of the fund.
2. The rise and fall of the fund is displayed by the rise and fall of the net value of the fund, and the value is not updated in real time. Open-end funds publish unit net value once a day, and closed-end funds publish unit net value once a week. Only after the stock market and bond market close on that day can the total assets, fund liabilities and total share of the fund be calculated according to the closing price, so the net value of the fund unit will only be updated after the closing price on that day.
1. How does the fund view the day's ups and downs?
The rise and fall of the fund is shown by the rise and fall of the fund net value, but the fund net value is different from the stock price, and its value is not updated in real time. Open-end funds publish unit net value once a day, and closed-end funds publish unit net value once a week. Fund products do not need investors to stare at them in real time.
The calculation formula of fund unit net value is: fund unit net value = (total fund assets-fund liabilities)/total fund shares.
Because only after the closing of the stock market and bond market on that day can the total assets, liabilities and shares of the fund be calculated according to the closing price, and the net value of the fund unit will be updated after the closing price on that day.
The fund's net value is generally updated from T day 16:00 to 9:00 the next day. The renewal time of different funds is different, but generally it will not exceed 24 o'clock on T day. Investors can check the net value of the fund unit on that day through the fund company official website or the fund consignment platform.
Funds sold after 3 pm shall be calculated according to the net value after the close of the next trading day. During this period, when the market fluctuates, the income you saw on the day of selling may have fallen.
Second, the fund net value forecast
Because the net value of the fund will not be announced until after the close of the day, the subscription and redemption of the fund are traded at unknown prices.
For passive index funds, if investors want to know the ups and downs of the fund before the close, they can predict the ups and downs of the fund according to the corresponding index.
Investors can check the trend of the corresponding index on the same day in the stock trading software, preferably the real-time trend about 5- 10 minutes before the close.
However, it should be noted that the market is changing rapidly, and this forecasting method can only be used as a reference. Finally, the net value announced by the fund company shall prevail.